France U21 vs Italy U21• Friendlies, World

1.0:1.70-0LiveToday · Stade Francis Le Basser, Laval1.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.82BTNX3.91PIN23.80B365Margin at best6.8%Books10Markets87Rating64 · 36Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 12:04 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.81	3.85	3.75	7.9%
Pinnacle	1.79	3.91	3.71	8.4%
Betano	1.82	3.80	3.65	8.7%
BetVictor	1.80	3.90	3.60	9.0%
Betfair	1.75	3.90	3.60	10.6%
1xBet	1.74	3.70	3.79	10.9%
Bet365	1.75	3.50	3.80	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.72	3.70	3.70	12.2%
William Hill	1.75	3.50	3.60	13.5%
SBO	1.79	3.54	3.26	14.8%
Best of all books	1.82	3.91	3.80	6.8%
Average	1.77	3.73	3.65	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

France U21Italy U21

Last 1012Form pts · last 5151.0Goals for · last 51.01.7Goals against · last 50.075Attack rating250Defence rating10050Form rating50100H2H rating00Goals model064Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 06:30 UTC

France U21

7W 2D 1L · goals 24:10 · per match 2.4 for, 1.0 against

6 Oct	H	Switzerland U21	7-1	W
3 Oct	H	Luxembourg U21	3-2	W
29 Sep	A	Estonia U21	2-0	W
27 Sep	H	Japan U18	1-3	L
25 Sep	H	Ukraine U18	1-0	W
25 Sep	A	Iceland U21	1-1	D
23 Sep	H	Austria U18	1-1	D
30 Mar	H	Iceland U21	2-1	W
26 Mar	A	Luxembourg U21	5-1	W
17 Nov	H	Faroe Islands U21	1-0	W

Italy U21

9W 0D 1L · goals 31:6 · per match 3.1 for, 0.6 against

5 Oct	H	Poland U21	6-2	W
1 Oct	A	Armenia U21	1-0	W
8 Jun	H	Albania U21	1-0	W
31 Mar	A	Sweden U21	4-0	W
26 Mar	H	North Macedonia U21	4-0	W
18 Nov	A	Montenegro U21	4-1	W
14 Nov	A	Poland U21	1-2	L
14 Oct	H	Armenia U21	5-1	W
10 Oct	H	Sweden U21	4-0	W
9 Sep	A	North Macedonia U21	1-0	W

Head to head

1France U21 wins

0draws

0Italy U21 wins

1 meeting · goals 2:1 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for France U21

22 Jun 2023UEFA U21 Championship

UEFA U21 Championship

France U212-1Italy U21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.77X24%3.72225%3.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.63 → 1.77 +8.6%X4.25 → 3.73 -12.2%23.93 → 3.64 -7.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.48	2.60	6.0%
Pinnacle	1.43	2.66	7.5%
BetVictor	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Betfair	1.36	2.88	8.3%
Betano	1.45	2.52	8.6%
1xBet	1.38	2.62	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.38	2.62	10.6%
Best of all books	1.48	2.88	2.3%
Average	1.41	2.66	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betfair	1.36	2.88	8.3%
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
Betano	1.44	2.55	8.7%
1xBet	1.39	2.69	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.63	10.0%
William Hill	1.40	2.50	11.4%
Best of all books	1.44	2.88	4.2%
Average	1.40	2.65	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

France U21 45%Draw 45%Italy U21 10%

The statistical model rates France U21 at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Italy U21 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.77 | 3.72 | 3.67, which imply roughly 56.5% for a France U21 win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, France U21 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game; Italy U21 averaged 1 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : France U21 or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.77	3.73	3.65

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.90	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.39	2.78

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.40	2.65

1st half

1	X	2
2.24	2.44	3.86

2nd half

1	X	2
2.03	2.85	3.63

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.69	13.2	28.0
HT X	5.07	6.66	8.90
HT 2	18.1	13.9	6.07

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.57	20.5	2.33

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	17.5
1.5	1.10	5.73
2.5	1.41	2.66
3.5	2.06	1.67
4.5	3.34	1.27
5.5	6.15	1.09
6.5	13.0	1.04
7.5	26.0	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	12.0
1.75	1.09	5.25
2	1.12	4.75
2.25	1.25	3.28
2.75	1.49	2.37
3	1.63	2.11
3.25	1.84	1.86
3.75	2.30	1.53
4	2.67	1.39
4.25	2.98	1.31
4.75	3.95	1.17
5	5.20	1.10
5.25	5.50	1.08
6	8.30	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.60	1.42
-1	2.27	1.57
-0.75	1.98	1.75
-0.5	1.77	1.95
-0.25	1.55	2.26
0	1.36	2.87

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.50	1.01
-3	8.85	1.02
-2.75	6.77	1.06
-2.5	5.45	1.11
-2.25	5.05	1.13
-2	4.62	1.15
-1.75	3.46	1.24
-1.5	2.89	1.35
+0.25	1.28	3.29
+0.5	1.25	3.80
+0.75	1.14	4.83
+1	1.06	6.93
+1.5	1.04	8.27

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.05	5.94
6.5	1.21	3.57
7.5	1.44	2.47
8.5	1.81	1.89
9.5	2.33	1.50
10.5	3.17	1.27
11.5	4.72	1.10
12.5	7.26	1.01

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.06	5.66
6	1.07	5.38
6.25	1.14	4.22
6.75	1.24	3.36
7	1.27	3.16
7.25	1.37	2.73
7.75	1.53	2.31
8	1.60	2.17
8.25	1.72	2.00
8.75	1.94	1.77
9	2.09	1.66
9.25	2.22	1.58
9.75	2.56	1.42
10	2.88	1.33
10.25	3.04	1.29
10.75	3.64	1.20
11	4.32	1.13
11.25	4.52	1.12
11.75	5.58	1.06
12	7.00	1.02
12.25	7.03	1.02

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