England U21 vs Portugal U21• Friendlies, World

0.0:0.00-1LiveToday · Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol4.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.88BTNX3.88PIN23.70BVCMargin at best6.0%Books10Markets86Rating42 · 59Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 16:04 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.87	3.75	3.55	8.3%
Pinnacle	1.79	3.88	3.70	8.7%
Betano	1.88	3.65	3.50	9.2%
BetVictor	1.80	3.75	3.70	9.2%
Betfair	1.80	3.80	3.50	10.4%
1xBet	1.78	3.72	3.58	11.0%
Bet365	1.83	3.70	3.40	11.1%
Marathonbet	1.76	3.72	3.50	12.3%
William Hill	1.80	3.50	3.50	12.7%
SBO	1.80	3.40	3.36	14.7%
Best of all books	1.88	3.88	3.70	6.0%
Average	1.81	3.69	3.53	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

England U21Portugal U21

Last 108Form pts · last 5120.0Goals for · last 54.00.0Goals against · last 50.00Attack rating1000Defence rating00Form rating10050H2H rating500Goals model042Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 05:30 UTC

England U21

7W 2D 1L · goals 23:7 · per match 2.3 for, 0.7 against

6 Oct	A	Republic of Ireland U21	1-3	L
2 Oct	H	Slovakia U21	0-0	D
25 Sep	H	Kazakhstan U21	4-2	W
31 Mar	H	Moldova U21	4-1	W
27 Mar	A	Andorra U21	1-1	D
18 Nov	A	Slovakia U21	4-0	W
14 Nov	H	Republic of Ireland U21	2-0	W
13 Oct	H	Andorra U21	1-0	W
10 Oct	A	Moldova U21	4-0	W
8 Sep	A	Kazakhstan U21	2-0	W

Portugal U21

8W 1D 1L · goals 34:2 · per match 3.4 for, 0.2 against

6 Oct	H	Czech Republic U21	2-0	W
30 Sep	H	Gibraltar U21	4-0	W
25 Sep	A	Bulgaria U21	1-2	L
3 Jun	H	Northern Ireland U21	4-0	W
31 Mar	H	Scotland U21	3-0	W
27 Mar	A	Azerbaijan U21	4-0	W
18 Nov	A	Czech Republic U21	0-0	D
14 Oct	A	Gibraltar U21	11-0	W
10 Oct	H	Bulgaria U21	3-0	W
9 Sep	A	Scotland U21	2-0	W

Head to head

1England U21 wins

0draws

1Portugal U21 wins

2 meetings · goals 1:2 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for England U21

2 Jul 2023UEFA U21 Championship	UEFA U21 Championship	England U211-0Portugal U21
28 Mar 2021UEFA U21 Championship	UEFA U21 Championship	Portugal U212-0England U21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.81X24%3.69226%3.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.84 → 1.81 -1.6%X3.73 → 3.69 -1.1%23.46 → 3.53 +2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.54	2.35	7.5%
Betfair	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Betano	1.55	2.25	9.0%
BetVictor	1.53	2.29	9.0%
1xBet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Best of all books	1.57	2.40	5.4%
Average	1.52	2.33	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betfair	1.50	2.40	8.3%
BetVictor	1.47	2.45	8.8%
1xBet	1.47	2.44	9.0%
Betano	1.50	2.35	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.39	9.9%
William Hill	1.44	2.40	11.1%
Best of all books	1.53	2.45	6.2%
Average	1.48	2.40	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

England U21 10%Draw 45%Portugal U21 45%

The statistical model rates England U21 at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Portugal U21 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.81 | 3.69 | 3.53, which imply roughly 27.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, England U21 averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Portugal U21 averaged 4 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Portugal U21 and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.81	3.69	3.53

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.86	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.39	2.78

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.48	2.40

1st half

1	X	2
2.31	2.38	3.83

2nd half

1	X	2
2.13	2.71	3.56

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.78	13.3	29.6
HT X	5.00	6.39	8.58
HT 2	18.6	13.9	5.87

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.60	17.8	2.30

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	15.9
1.5	1.14	4.84
2.5	1.52	2.33
3.5	2.29	1.55
4.5	3.91	1.20
5.5	7.28	1.06
6.5	17.0	1.02
7.5	29.0	1.01

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	10.5
1.75	1.14	4.40
2	1.18	3.92
2.25	1.35	2.83
2.75	1.63	2.11
3	1.83	1.86
3.25	2.04	1.67
3.75	2.62	1.41
4	3.14	1.27
4.25	3.51	1.23
4.75	4.71	1.12
5	6.40	1.05
5.25	6.70	1.05
6	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.68	1.40
-1	2.38	1.50
-0.75	2.01	1.72
-0.5	1.80	1.95
-0.25	1.58	2.22
0	1.38	2.79

17 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.35	1.01
-3	9.85	1.01
-2.75	6.80	1.04
-2.5	5.87	1.09
-2.25	5.55	1.10
-2	5.15	1.12
-1.75	3.71	1.22
-1.5	2.99	1.33
+0.25	1.30	3.15
+0.5	1.34	3.10
+0.75	1.16	4.39
+1	1.07	6.60
+1.25	1.06	6.80
+1.5	1.04	7.80
+1.75	1.01	8.68
+2	1.02	9.30
+2.5	1.01	10.5

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	6.70
6.5	1.18	3.86
7.5	1.40	2.60
8.5	1.87	1.85
9.5	2.20	1.56
10.5	2.98	1.31
11.5	4.20	1.14
12.5	6.46	1.03

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.03	6.41
6	1.04	6.12
6.25	1.10	4.70
6.75	1.19	3.70
7	1.22	3.50
7.25	1.31	2.97
7.75	1.45	2.49
8	1.65	2.18
8.25	1.63	2.13
8.75	1.82	1.88
9	1.95	1.76
9.25	2.07	1.67
9.75	2.37	1.50
10	2.62	1.40
10.25	2.77	1.36
10.75	3.28	1.25
11	3.82	1.18
11.25	4.01	1.16
11.75	4.90	1.09
12	6.02	1.04
12.25	6.24	1.04

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