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Argentina vs Uruguay• Friendlies, World

3.8:0.023:00Today · Estadio Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires2.4:1.2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65BTNX4.111XB26.061XBMargin at best1.4%Books10Markets79Rating74 · 26Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 20:06 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.634.116.062.2%
Betano1.654.055.802.5%
Dafabet1.623.955.604.9%
Pinnacle1.623.865.715.1%
Bet3651.603.905.506.3%
Betfair1.573.905.507.5%
Marathonbet1.553.905.757.5%
BetVictor1.533.705.759.8%
William Hill1.573.605.0011.5%
SBO1.493.535.1314.9%
Best of all books1.654.116.061.4%
Average1.583.855.587.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ArgentinaUruguay
Last 1012Form pts · last 573.8Goals for · last 52.40.0Goals against · last 51.261Attack rating39100Defence rating065Form rating3580H2H rating2090Goals model1074Overall rating26

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 05:30 UTC

Argentina

9W 0D 1L · goals 30:8 · per match 3.0 for, 0.8 against

6 OctHBenin3-0W
4 OctHBurkina Faso7-0W
1 OctHBolivia4-0W
19 JulASpain0-1L
15 JulAEngland2-1W
12 JulHSwitzerland3-1W
7 JulHEgypt3-2W
3 JulHCape Verde Islands3-2W
28 JunAJordan3-1W
22 JunHAustria2-0W

Uruguay

2W 5D 3L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

6 OctAIndia6-1W
28 SepASouth Korea4-1W
24 SepAJapan1-3L
27 JunHSpain0-1L
21 JunHCape Verde Islands2-2D
15 JunASaudi Arabia1-1D
31 MarAAlgeria0-0D
27 MarAEngland1-1D
19 NovAUSA1-5L
16 NovAMexico0-0D

Head to head

6Argentina wins
2draws
1Uruguay wins

9 meetings · goals 10:4 · last 9: 6W 2D 1L for Argentina

21 Mar 2025World Cup - Qualification South AmericaWorld Cup - Qualification South AmericaUruguay0-1Argentina
17 Nov 2023World Cup - Qualification South AmericaWorld Cup - Qualification South AmericaArgentina0-2Uruguay
12 Nov 2021World Cup - Qualification South AmericaWorld Cup - Qualification South AmericaUruguay0-1Argentina
10 Oct 2021World Cup - Qualification South AmericaWorld Cup - Qualification South AmericaArgentina3-0Uruguay
19 Jun 2021Copa AmericaCopa AmericaArgentina1-0Uruguay
18 Nov 2019FriendliesFriendliesArgentina2-2Uruguay
31 Aug 2017World Cup - Qualification South AmericaWorld Cup - Qualification South AmericaUruguay0-0Argentina
1 Sep 2016World Cup - Qualification South AmericaWorld Cup - Qualification South AmericaArgentina1-0Uruguay
16 Jun 2015Copa AmericaCopa AmericaArgentina1-0Uruguay

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.58X24%3.85217%5.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12 Nov 05:3013 Nov 20:401 1.58X 3.852 5.58
11.57 → 1.58 +0.6%X3.82 → 3.85 +0.8%25.62 → 5.58 -0.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.121.822.1%
Betano2.051.823.7%
Pinnacle2.101.745.1%
Bet3652.001.805.6%
SBO2.021.766.3%
Marathonbet2.021.747.0%
Betfair1.951.758.4%
BetVictor1.971.728.9%
Best of all books2.121.822.1%
Average2.031.775.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano2.001.757.1%
Bet3652.001.737.8%
1xBet2.031.708.1%
Betfair1.951.758.4%
William Hill1.951.758.4%
Marathonbet2.031.688.8%
BetVictor2.001.708.8%
Best of all books2.031.756.4%
Average1.991.728.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Argentina 50%Draw 50%Uruguay 0%

The statistical model rates Argentina at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Uruguay at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.58 | 3.85 | 5.58, which imply roughly 63.3% for a Argentina win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Argentina averaged 3.8 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Uruguay averaged 2.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Argentina.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Argentina

4-3-3

Goalkeeper

  • 12Gerónimo Rulli

Defence

  • 4Gonzalo Montiel
  • 2Leonardo Balerdi
  • 6Lisandro Martínez
  • 25Facundo Medina

Midfield

  • 14Exequiel Palacios
  • 20Alexis Mac Allister
  • 8Enzo Fernández

Attack

  • 18Nico Paz
  • 9Julián Alvarez
  • 11Thiago Almada
Substitutes (15)
  • 1Juan Musso
  • 23Emiliano Martínez
  • 33Román Vega
  • 26Mariano Troilo
  • 19Agustín Giay
  • 3Nicolás Tagliafico
  • 5Ezequiel Fernández
  • 24Valentín Barco
  • 17Gianluca Prestianni
  • 16Máximo Perrone
  • 7Giuliano Simeone
  • 29Santiago Castro
  • 30Franco Mastantuono
  • 21José Manuel López
  • 28Matías Soulé

Uruguay

4-4-1-1

Goalkeeper

  • 23Cristopher Fiermarín

Defence

  • 13Guillermo Varela
  • 4Ronald Araújo
  • 16Mathías Olivera
  • 22Joaquín Piquerez

Midfield

  • 141Agustín Canobbio
  • 14Lucas Torreira
  • 6Rodrigo Bentancur
  • 20Maximiliano Araújo

Attack

  • 10Giorgian de Arrascaeta
  • 9Darwin Núñez
Substitutes (14)
  • 1Santiago Mele
  • 12Ignacio de Arruabarrena
  • 15Santiago Mouriño
  • 24Juan Rodríguez
  • 3Sebastián Cáceres
  • 2José María Giménez
  • 11Facundo Pellistri
  • 5Facundo Bernal
  • 7Nicolás de la Cruz
  • 8Federico Valverde
  • 26Martín Satriano
  • 21Federico Viñas
  • 17Rodrigo Zalazar
  • 18Rodrigo Aguirre

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.583.855.58

Double chance

1XX212
1.132.311.23

Draw no bet

12
1.214.03

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.991.72

1st half

1X2
2.152.175.73

2nd half

1X2
1.922.515.40

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.3715.748.6
HT X4.225.5011.2
HT 224.016.89.66

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.488.903.14

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.04
1.51.323.20
2.52.031.77
3.53.581.27
4.56.991.08
5.512.41.02
6.519.01.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.047.75
11.057.19
1.251.194.06
1.751.422.71
21.532.41
2.251.791.99
2.752.331.56
32.871.41
3.253.141.31
3.754.361.17
46.021.09
4.256.261.07
58.651.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.701.45
-1.252.351.56
-12.031.76
-0.751.732.07
-0.51.582.34
-0.251.382.87
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.511.11.03
-2.756.641.07
-2.55.391.13
-2.254.711.16
-24.441.19
-1.753.291.31
01.204.19
+0.251.164.73
+0.51.155.50
+0.751.076.91
+1.51.0213.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.51.752.02

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.084.72
6.51.173.71
7.51.392.71
8.51.712.03
9.52.131.65
10.52.831.35
11.53.841.19
12.55.171.09
13.55.621.04
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.104.47
71.233.07
7.751.402.56
81.532.29
8.251.562.18
8.751.751.90
91.951.81
9.252.001.69
9.752.311.50
102.541.44
10.252.691.37
10.753.141.27
113.321.20
124.451.10
135.651.04

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