Ecuador vs 
Costa Rica• Friendlies, World
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 20:06 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.24 | 6.20 | 12.0 | 5.1% |
| Pinnacle | 1.25 | 5.83 | 11.9 | 5.5% |
| Betano | 1.25 | 5.40 | 11.3 | 7.4% |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 6.00 | 12.0 | 8.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.21 | 5.55 | 12.5 | 8.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 5.50 | 13.0 | 9.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 5.75 | 10.0 | 10.7% |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 5.00 | 11.0 | 11.1% |
| SBO | 1.20 | 5.13 | 9.06 | 13.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.25 | 6.20 | 13.0 | 3.8% |
| Average | 1.22 | 5.60 | 11.4 | 8.7% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Nov 15:01 UTC
Ecuador
3W 4D 3L · goals 9:10 · per match 0.9 for, 1.0 against
| 5 Oct | H | Panama | 1-1 | D |
| 1 Oct | A | Japan | 0-0 | D |
| 24 Sep | A | South Korea | 0-3 | L |
| 1 Jul | A | Mexico | 0-2 | L |
| 25 Jun | H | Germany | 2-1 | W |
| 21 Jun | H | Curaçao | 0-0 | D |
| 14 Jun | A | Ivory Coast | 0-1 | L |
| 7 Jun | H | Guatemala | 3-0 | W |
| 31 May | H | Saudi Arabia | 2-1 | W |
| 31 Mar | A | Netherlands | 1-1 | D |
Costa Rica
2W 2D 6L · goals 11:20 · per match 1.1 for, 2.0 against
| 5 Oct | H | Haiti | 2-0 | W |
| 2 Oct | A | Nicaragua | 3-0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Haiti | 0-2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Curaçao | 3-4 | L |
| 10 Jun | A | England | 0-3 | L |
| 1 Jun | A | Colombia | 1-3 | L |
| 31 Mar | H | Iran | 0-5 | L |
| 27 Mar | A | Jordan | 2-2 | D |
| 19 Nov | H | Honduras | 0-0 | D |
| 14 Nov | A | Haiti | 0-1 | L |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 6:2 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Ecuador
| 21 Jun 2023Friendlies | Friendlies | Costa Rica1-3Ecuador |
| 21 Jun 2023Friendlies | Friendlies | Ecuador3-1Costa Rica |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.72 | 2.11 | 5.5% |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 6.4% |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 2.15 | 6.4% |
| Betano | 1.70 | 2.10 | 6.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 2.06 | 7.4% |
| SBO | 1.63 | 2.17 | 7.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.66 | 2.05 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.72 | 2.17 | 4.2% |
| Average | 1.68 | 2.11 | 6.9% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.45 | 1.53 | 6.2% |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 6.7% |
| Betano | 2.37 | 1.52 | 8.0% |
| William Hill | 2.38 | 1.50 | 8.7% |
| Marathonbet | 2.35 | 1.51 | 8.8% |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 1.53 | 8.8% |
| Best of all books | 2.50 | 1.53 | 5.4% |
| Average | 2.39 | 1.51 | 7.8% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Ecuador at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Costa Rica at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.22 | 5.60 | 11.42, which imply roughly 82% for a Ecuador win versus the model's 50%.
Over their last five matches, Ecuador averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Costa Rica averaged 0.8 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Ecuador.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | 5.60 | 11.4 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.05 | 3.75 | 1.12 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.05 | 8.96 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.39 | 1.52 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.66 | 2.54 | 9.75 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | 3.01 | 9.29 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 1.70 | 22.3 | 79.5 |
| HT X | 3.76 | 7.76 | 21.5 |
| HT 2 | 22.9 | 23.6 | 20.3 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.23 | 13.4 | 4.64 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 11.2 |
| 1.5 | 1.21 | 4.11 |
| 2.5 | 1.68 | 2.11 |
| 3.5 | 2.73 | 1.41 |
| 4.5 | 5.07 | 1.15 |
| 5.5 | 9.54 | 1.05 |
| 6.5 | 16.1 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 41.0 | – |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.01 | 8.70 |
| 1 | – | 9.20 |
| 1.25 | 1.09 | 5.30 |
| 1.75 | 1.23 | 3.42 |
| 2 | 1.38 | 2.82 |
| 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.41 |
| 2.75 | 1.86 | 1.87 |
| 3 | 2.15 | 1.64 |
| 3.25 | 2.42 | 1.49 |
| 3.75 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 4 | 4.15 | 1.16 |
| 4.25 | 4.45 | 1.14 |
| 4.75 | 6.05 | 1.06 |
| 5 | 8.50 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2.80 | 1.39 |
| -2.25 | 2.49 | 1.48 |
| -2 | 2.20 | 1.62 |
| -1.75 | 1.90 | 1.85 |
| -1.5 | 1.70 | 2.08 |
| -1.25 | 1.56 | 2.32 |
12 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.75 | 6.68 | 1.08 |
| -3.5 | 5.38 | 1.13 |
| -3.25 | 4.80 | 1.15 |
| -3 | 4.43 | 1.17 |
| -2.75 | 3.39 | 1.28 |
| -1 | 1.36 | 2.99 |
| -0.75 | 1.29 | 3.31 |
| -0.5 | 1.26 | 3.72 |
| -0.25 | 1.16 | 4.88 |
| 0 | 1.12 | 7.80 |
| +0.25 | 1.07 | 7.05 |
| +0.5 | 1.05 | 10.0 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.25 | 3.51 |
| 7.5 | 1.49 | 2.44 |
| 8 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
| 8.5 | 1.89 | 1.86 |
| 9 | 2.17 | 1.64 |
| 9.5 | 2.44 | 1.49 |
| 10.5 | 3.37 | 1.27 |
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