Japan vs Brazil• Friendlies, World

1.6:0.410:15Tomorrow · National Stadium, Kallang3.4:1.2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.05BTNX3.95DAF21.981XBMargin at best0.5%Books9Markets79Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 20:06 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.92	3.84	1.98	2.1%
Dafabet	4.00	3.95	1.84	4.7%
Betano	4.05	3.65	1.88	5.3%
Pinnacle	3.88	3.83	1.87	5.4%
Marathonbet	3.72	3.65	1.88	7.5%
Betfair	3.90	3.80	1.80	7.5%
Bet365	3.90	3.70	1.80	8.2%
William Hill	3.70	3.60	1.85	8.9%
BetVictor	3.90	3.70	1.75	9.8%
Best of all books	4.05	3.95	1.98	0.5%
Average	3.89	3.75	1.85	6.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

JapanBrazil

Last 1010Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 53.40.4Goals against · last 51.232Attack rating6875Defence rating2554Form rating4620H2H rating8042Goals model5842Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Nov 04:00 UTC

Japan

6W 3D 1L · goals 17:8 · per match 1.7 for, 0.8 against

5 Oct	H	New Zealand	2-1	W
1 Oct	H	Ecuador	0-0	D
28 Sep	H	Venezuela	2-1	W
24 Sep	H	Uruguay	3-1	W
29 Jun	A	Brazil	1-2	L
25 Jun	H	Sweden	1-1	D
21 Jun	A	Tunisia	4-0	W
14 Jun	A	Netherlands	2-2	D
31 May	H	Iceland	1-0	W
31 Mar	A	England	1-0	W

Brazil

7W 2D 1L · goals 27:10 · per match 2.7 for, 1.0 against

3 Oct	A	India	4-0	W
29 Sep	A	Australia	4-2	W
25 Sep	A	Australia	1-1	D
5 Jul	H	Norway	1-2	L
29 Jun	H	Japan	2-1	W
24 Jun	A	Scotland	3-0	W
20 Jun	H	Haiti	3-0	W
13 Jun	H	Morocco	1-1	D
6 Jun	H	Egypt	2-1	W
31 May	H	Panama	6-2	W

Head to head

1Japan wins

0draws

4Brazil wins

5 meetings · goals 5:11 · last 5: 1W 0D 4L for Japan

29 Jun 2026World Cup	World Cup	Brazil2-1Japan
14 Oct 2025Friendlies	Friendlies	Japan3-2Brazil
6 Jun 2022Friendlies	Friendlies	Japan0-1Brazil
10 Nov 2017Friendlies	Friendlies	Japan1-3Brazil
15 Jun 2013Confederations Cup	Confederations Cup	Brazil3-0Japan

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.89X25%3.75251%1.85

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.75 → 3.89 +3.7%X3.68 → 3.75 +1.9%21.89 → 1.85 -2.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.76	2.21	2.1%
Betano	1.70	2.22	3.9%
Pinnacle	1.69	2.14	5.9%
Betfair	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Marathonbet	1.68	2.11	6.9%
BetVictor	1.65	2.07	8.9%
Best of all books	1.76	2.22	1.9%
Average	1.69	2.16	5.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Betano	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
BetVictor	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.59	2.21	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.18	8.8%
William Hill	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.60	2.21	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Japan 10%Draw 45%Brazil 45%

The statistical model rates Japan at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Brazil at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.89 | 3.75 | 1.85, which imply roughly 26.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Japan averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Brazil averaged 3.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Brazil.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.89	3.75	1.85

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.90	1.26	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
2.89	1.37

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.21

1st half

1	X	2
4.17	2.32	2.38

2nd half

1	X	2
3.76	2.61	2.18

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.40	14.2	21.0
HT X	8.54	5.82	4.94
HT 2	32.6	13.7	2.89

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.35	13.5	1.63

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.5
1.5	1.20	4.20
2.5	1.69	2.16
3.5	2.67	1.44
4.5	4.85	1.16
5.5	8.89	1.05
6.5	14.8	1.02
7.5	26.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.32
1.25	1.10	5.35
1.75	1.24	3.56
2	1.33	3.10
2.25	1.50	2.47
2.75	1.86	1.91
3	2.12	1.69
3.25	2.37	1.53
3.75	3.10	1.32
4	3.98	1.21
4.25	4.26	1.17
4.75	5.65	1.09
5	7.80	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.84	1.40
+0.25	2.22	1.62
+0.5	1.94	1.85
+0.75	1.70	2.10
+1	1.49	2.57
+1.25	1.38	2.93

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	13.0	1.01
-1.5	7.81	1.05
-1.25	6.94	1.07
-1	6.72	1.08
-0.75	4.47	1.17
-0.5	3.68	1.27
-0.25	3.22	1.32
+1.5	1.32	3.24
+1.75	1.21	3.99
+2	1.11	5.58
+2.25	1.10	5.97
+2.5	1.09	6.25
+2.75	1.03	7.30
+3.5	1.02	11.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	2.07	1.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.07	5.55
6.5	1.19	3.80
7.5	1.39	2.67
8.5	1.73	2.00
9.5	2.19	1.60
10.5	2.90	1.33
11.5	3.80	1.17
12.5	4.57	1.09
13.5	5.67	1.04

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.09	4.55
7	1.22	3.12
7.25	1.29	3.04
7.75	1.41	2.55
8	1.51	2.33
8.25	1.57	2.16
8.75	1.78	1.88
9	1.97	1.79
9.25	2.03	1.65
9.75	2.33	1.48
10	2.54	1.44
10.25	2.74	1.35
11	3.27	1.20
12	4.39	1.10
13	5.59	1.04

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