Central Stallions vs Deren• Premier League, Mongolia

#23.4:1.83-3LiveToday2.2:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80WHX4.33B36523.291XBMargin at best9.0%Books5Markets44Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L54.3

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Nov 06:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	1.80	4.20	3.20	10.6%
1xBet	1.78	4.10	3.29	11.0%
Bet365	1.80	4.33	3.00	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.76	4.10	3.22	12.3%
William Hill	1.80	3.80	3.20	13.1%
Best of all books	1.80	4.33	3.29	9.0%
Average	1.79	4.11	3.18	11.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Central StallionsDeren

Last 10#2Table position#32.40Points per game2.009Form pts · last 573.4Goals for · last 52.21.8Goals against · last 51.261Attack rating3940Defence rating6056Form rating4460H2H rating4045Goals model5551Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Nov 16:01 UTC

Central Stallions

8W 0D 2L · goals 36:11 · per match 3.6 for, 1.1 against

29 Oct	A	Hunters	7-1	W
25 Oct	H	Ulaanbaatar	0-1	L
18 Oct	A	Ulaanbaatar	0-2	L
11 Oct	H	Deren	2-1	W
4 Oct	H	Khovd Western	8-4	W
1 Oct	A	Erchim	4-1	W
26 Sep	H	Ulaangom City	4-1	W
21 Sep	A	Khovd	6-0	W
17 Sep	H	Hunters	3-0	W
12 Sep	A	Amtat FC	2-0	W

Deren

6W 2D 2L · goals 28:10 · per match 2.8 for, 1.0 against

29 Oct	A	Ulaanbaatar	0-1	L
25 Oct	H	Hunters	2-0	W
14 Oct	H	Erchim	5-0	W
11 Oct	A	Central Stallions	1-2	L
4 Oct	H	Khovd	3-3	D
1 Oct	A	Khovd Western	5-1	W
27 Sep	H	Amtat FC	5-2	W
20 Sep	A	Ulaangom City	5-0	W
17 Sep	H	Ulaanbaatar	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Hunters	2-1	W

Head to head

5Central Stallions wins

1draws

5Deren wins

11 meetings · goals 14:39 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for Central Stallions

11 Oct 2026Premier League	Premier League	Central Stallions2-1Deren
3 Jul 2026Premier League	Premier League	Central Stallions0-3Deren
24 Jun 2026Premier League	Premier League	Deren2-0Central Stallions
14 Jun 2026Premier League	Premier League	Deren1-2Central Stallions
30 Oct 2025Premier League	Premier League	Central Stallions1-0Deren
2 Jul 2025Premier League	Premier League	Central Stallions1-3Deren
12 Apr 2025Premier League	Premier League	Deren1-1Central Stallions
24 Sep 2024Premier League	Premier League	Central Stallions0-21Deren
5 May 2024Premier League	Premier League	Deren0-1Central Stallions
3 Mar 2024Premier League	Premier League	Central Stallions3-2Deren

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 1 Nov 16:01 UTC

In the Premier League table, Central Stallions sit 2nd with 24 points from 10 games, while Deren are 3rd with 20 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ulaanbaatar	10	9	1	0	41:4	+37	28
2	Central Stallions	10	8	0	2	36:11	+25	24
3	Deren	10	6	2	2	28:10	+18	20
4	Hunters	10	5	0	5	32:26	+6	15
5	Amtat FC	11	4	1	6	20:41	-21	13
6	Erchim	10	4	0	6	19:33	-14	12
7	Khovd	10	3	1	6	30:33	-3	10
8	Khovd Western	10	3	0	7	20:40	-20	9
9	Ulaangom City	9	0	1	8	8:36	-28	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.79X22%4.11228%3.18

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.82 → 1.79 -1.6%X4.29 → 4.11 -4.2%23.13 → 3.18 +1.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.28	3.50	6.7%
Betfair	1.25	3.60	7.8%
1xBet	1.26	3.20	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.26	3.20	10.6%
Best of all books	1.28	3.60	5.9%
Average	1.26	3.38	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.29	3.30	7.8%
William Hill	1.30	3.20	8.2%
1xBet	1.30	3.12	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.30	3.04	9.8%
Best of all books	1.30	3.30	7.2%
Average	1.30	3.17	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Central Stallions 45%Draw 45%Deren 10%

The statistical model rates Central Stallions at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Deren at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.79 | 4.11 | 3.18, which imply roughly 55.9% for a Central Stallions win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Central Stallions are 2nd (24 pts, 36-11 goals), Deren 3rd (20 pts, 28-10).

Over their last five matches, Central Stallions averaged 3.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Deren averaged 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Central Stallions or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.79	4.11	3.18

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.27	1.84	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.50	2.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.30	3.17

1st half

1	X	2
2.22	2.72	3.39

2nd half

1	X	2
2.07	2.98	3.29

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.78	13.7	21.7
HT X	5.67	8.33	8.50
HT 2	15.0	13.7	4.92

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.63	33.5	2.13

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	23.0
1.5	1.07	7.25
2.5	1.26	3.38
3.5	1.75	1.96
4.5	2.60	1.41
5.5	4.63	1.16

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.06	6.05
2.75	1.34	2.83
3	1.41	2.55
3.25	1.60	2.14
3.75	1.94	1.72
4	2.20	1.55
4.25	2.45	1.44
4.75	3.14	1.27
5	3.96	1.17

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.59	1.40
-1	2.32	1.51
-0.75	1.98	1.68
-0.5	1.84	1.92
-0.25	1.59	2.12
0	1.41	2.53

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.30	1.09
-2	4.60	1.13
-1.75	3.42	1.23
-1.5	2.88	1.32
+0.25	1.33	2.84
+1	1.08	5.45
+1.5	1.06	6.25

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.73	2.00
10	1.98	1.82

Latest Premier League results

1 Nov	Khovd 0-3 Khovd Western
29 Oct	Ulaanbaatar 1-0 Deren
24 Oct	Khovd Western 1-3 Amtat FC
14 Oct	Ulaanbaatar 8-0 Khovd Western
11 Oct	Central Stallions 2-1 Deren
4 Oct	Central Stallions 8-4 Khovd Western