Leones de Rosario vs 
Mercedes• Primera C, Argentina
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 26 Oct 04:07 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.91 | 3.20 | 4.30 | 6.9% |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.00 | 4.10 | 10.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 3.04 | 4.38 | 11.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.00 | 4.20 | 11.2% |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.10 | 4.00 | 11.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 3.04 | 4.25 | 12.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 2.75 | 4.00 | 20.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.91 | 3.20 | 4.38 | 6.4% |
| Average | 1.83 | 3.02 | 4.18 | 11.8% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 06:01 UTC
Leones de Rosario
5W 2D 3L · goals 10:7 · per match 1.0 for, 0.7 against
| 17 Oct | A | Mercedes | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Fénix | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Oct | A | Sportivo Barracas | 2-0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Lujan | 0-1 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | General Lamadrid | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Lugano | 0-0 | D |
| 4 Sep | A | Yupanqui | 1-0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Atletico Atlas | 1-0 | W |
| 25 Aug | H | Deportivo Muñiz | 2-1 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Canuelas | 0-1 | L |
Mercedes
5W 2D 3L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against
| 17 Oct | H | Leones de Rosario | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Lugano | 1-0 | W |
| 5 Oct | A | Deportivo Paraguayo | 1-1 | D |
| 25 Sep | H | Puerto Nuevo | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | Leandro N. Alem | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Sep | H | Deportivo Español | 1-1 | D |
| 4 Sep | H | Defensores de Cambaceres | 0-3 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Juventud Unida | 1-4 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Sacachispas | 2-0 | W |
| 18 Aug | A | Claypole | 0-1 | L |
Head to head
1 meeting · goals 1:2 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Leones de Rosario
| 17 Oct 2026Primera C | Primera C | Mercedes2-1Leones de Rosario |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 1.44 | 7.6% |
| 1xBet | 2.56 | 1.40 | 10.5% |
| Marathonbet | 2.56 | 1.40 | 10.5% |
| Best of all books | 2.62 | 1.44 | 7.6% |
| Average | 2.58 | 1.41 | 9.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 1.53 | 7.4% |
| 1xBet | 2.27 | 1.54 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 2.27 | 1.52 | 9.8% |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 1.44 | 19.4% |
| Best of all books | 2.38 | 1.54 | 7.0% |
| Average | 2.23 | 1.51 | 11.2% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Leones de Rosario at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Mercedes at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.83 | 3.03 | 4.18, which imply roughly 33% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Leones de Rosario averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Mercedes averaged 1.2 scored and 0.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mercedes and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | 3.02 | 4.18 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | 1.79 | 1.29 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.30 | 2.88 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.23 | 1.51 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.58 | 1.88 | 5.03 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 2.17 | 4.66 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.02 | 17.2 | 52.0 |
| HT X | 4.50 | 4.04 | 8.65 |
| HT 2 | 33.3 | 18.2 | 7.30 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.65 | 6.08 | 2.90 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.08 | 6.10 |
| 1.5 | 1.50 | 2.26 |
| 2.5 | 2.58 | 1.41 |
| 3.5 | 5.13 | 1.11 |
| 4.5 | 10.3 | 1.04 |
| 5.5 | 15.0 | 1.01 |
| 6.5 | 21.0 | – |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.08 | 5.50 |
| 1 | 1.12 | 4.80 |
| 1.25 | 1.31 | 2.93 |
| 1.75 | 1.65 | 2.01 |
| 2 | 1.87 | 1.68 |
| 2.25 | 2.26 | 1.53 |
| 2.75 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 3 | 4.33 | 1.14 |
| 3.25 | 4.70 | 1.15 |
| 4 | 8.90 | 1.02 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.25 | 3.13 | 1.30 |
| -1 | 2.72 | 1.40 |
| -0.75 | 2.10 | 1.63 |
| -0.5 | 1.78 | 1.80 |
| -0.25 | 1.57 | 2.21 |
| 0 | 1.31 | 3.06 |
9 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8.30 | 1.02 |
| -2 | 7.30 | 1.03 |
| -1.75 | 4.63 | 1.14 |
| -1.5 | 3.57 | 1.23 |
| +0.25 | 1.23 | 3.62 |
| +0.5 | 1.21 | 4.25 |
| +0.75 | 1.13 | 5.90 |
| +1 | 1.01 | 8.80 |
| +1.5 | 1.01 | 9.30 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| 9 | 1.92 | 1.88 |
Next Primera C matches
| 26 Oct | Centro Español – Central Cordoba |
| 26 Oct | Sacachispas – Sportivo Barracas |