Kapaz vs
Baku Sportinq• Cup, Azerbaijan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 05:36 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.11 | 8.00 | 17.0 | 8.5% |
| Dafabet | 1.08 | 8.20 | 18.0 | 10.3% |
| Betfair | 1.07 | 8.50 | 18.0 | 10.8% |
| Betano | 1.11 | 7.10 | 15.0 | 10.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.07 | 8.00 | 16.3 | 12.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.07 | 8.00 | 16.0 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.11 | 8.50 | 18.0 | 7.4% |
| Average | 1.09 | 7.97 | 16.7 | 10.7% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 08:00 UTC
Kapaz
4W 2D 4L · goals 9:12 · per match 0.9 for, 1.2 against
| 24 Oct | A | Safa Baku | 2-1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Zira | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Oct | A | Araz | 2-0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Sumqayıt | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Qabala | 1-0 | W |
| 4 Sep | H | Şamaxı FK | 1-4 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Turan | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Sabah FA | 0-2 | L |
| 23 May | H | Neftchi Baku | 0-1 | L |
| 15 May | A | Araz | 0-2 | L |
Baku Sportinq
2W 2D 6L · goals 11:21 · per match 1.1 for, 2.1 against
| 22 Oct | A | Şimal | 2-5 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | MOIK | 1-3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Cəbrayıl | 0-2 | L |
| 17 Sep | H | Səbail | 0-1 | L |
| 10 Sep | A | Zaqatala | 0-3 | L |
| 3 Sep | H | Karvan | 0-3 | L |
| 22 May | A | Şahdağ | 1-1 | D |
| 15 May | H | Zaqatala | 3-0 | W |
| 7 May | A | Cəbrayıl | 3-2 | W |
| 30 Apr | H | Difai Ağsu | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
1 meeting · goals 2:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Kapaz
| 29 Nov 2023Cup | Cup | Kapaz2-0Baku Sportinq |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 3.25 | 6.0% |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 3.30 | 7.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.30 | 2.97 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.30 | 2.97 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.33 | 3.30 | 5.5% |
| Average | 1.30 | 3.12 | 8.7% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.20 | 1.60 | 8.0% |
| 1xBet | 2.11 | 1.62 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 1.60 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.20 | 1.62 | 7.2% |
| Average | 2.14 | 1.61 | 9.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Kapaz at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Baku Sportinq at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.09 | 7.97 | 16.71, which imply roughly 91.7% for a Kapaz win versus the model's 50%.
Over their last five matches, Kapaz averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Baku Sportinq averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Kapaz or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | 7.97 | 16.7 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | 5.56 | 1.06 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.02 | 9.25 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.14 | 1.61 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | 3.22 | 11.8 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.27 | 4.07 | 11.5 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 1.42 | 29.8 | 103.3 |
| HT X | 4.15 | 12.2 | 35.0 |
| HT 2 | 20.3 | 31.8 | 32.3 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | 24.5 | 4.81 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | – | 19.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.06 | 7.50 |
| 2.5 | 1.31 | 3.12 |
| 3.5 | 1.81 | 1.86 |
| 4.5 | 2.70 | 1.36 |
| 5.5 | 4.70 | 1.14 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.09 | 5.40 |
| 2.75 | 1.35 | 2.74 |
| 3 | 1.43 | 2.46 |
| 3.25 | 1.62 | 2.09 |
| 3.75 | 1.96 | 1.69 |
| 4 | 2.24 | 1.52 |
| 4.25 | 2.47 | 1.43 |
| 4.75 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 5 | 3.96 | 1.17 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3 | 2.41 | 1.45 |
| -2.75 | 2.08 | 1.62 |
| -2.5 | 1.87 | 1.81 |
| -2.25 | 1.69 | 1.96 |
| -2 | 1.51 | 2.26 |
| -1.75 | 1.41 | 2.52 |
6 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -4 | 4.40 | 1.14 |
| -3.75 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| -3.5 | 2.88 | 1.32 |
| -3.25 | 2.67 | 1.38 |
| -1.5 | 1.34 | 2.78 |
| -1 | 1.11 | 4.80 |
Next Cup matches
| 27 Oct | Şimal – Araz |
| 27 Oct | Qabala – Mingəçevir |
| 27 Oct | Səbail – Zira |
| 28 Oct | MOIK – Şahdağ |