Şimal vs Araz• Cup, Azerbaijan

10:00Today

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.45MARX4.33BFR21.75B365Margin10.2%Books7Markets44

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	4.20	4.33	1.60	9.4%
Dafabet	4.20	4.20	1.61	9.7%
Betano	4.15	4.15	1.60	10.7%
1xBet	4.65	4.00	1.55	11.0%
Bet365	3.50	3.90	1.75	11.4%
Marathonbet	5.45	4.10	1.44	12.2%
William Hill	4.40	4.00	1.55	12.2%
Best of all books	5.45	4.33	1.75	-1.4%
Average	4.36	4.10	1.59	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ŞimalAraz

Last 108Form pts · last 510Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating00H2H rating00Goals model00Overall rating0

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 15:30 UTC

Şimal

4W 3D 3L · goals 19:16 · per match 1.9 for, 1.6 against

22 Oct	H	Baku Sportinq	5-2	W
15 Oct	A	Mingəçevir	4-1	W
9 Oct	H	Xankəndi FK	1-1	D
17 Sep	H	Şahdağ	1-4	L
11 Sep	A	MOIK	1-1	D
4 Sep	H	Cəbrayıl	1-2	L
27 May	H	Qaradağ Lökbatan	2-1	W
21 May	A	Cəbrayıl	3-2	W
14 May	H	Difai Ağsu	0-1	L
6 May	H	MOIK	1-1	D

Araz

1W 2D 7L · goals 10:21 · per match 1.0 for, 2.1 against

23 Oct	H	Qabala	1-2	L
16 Oct	A	Sumqayıt	1-2	L
9 Oct	H	Kapaz	0-2	L
20 Sep	A	Şamaxı FK	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Turan	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Qarabag	2-3	L
31 Aug	H	Sabah FA	0-1	L
23 Aug	A	Neftchi Baku	0-5	L
15 Aug	H	Imisli FK	0-0	D
23 May	H	Zira	3-2	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Şimal and Araz on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.36X22%4.10257%1.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.50 → 4.36 +74.4%X3.60 → 4.10 +13.9%22.30 → 1.59 -30.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betfair	1.29	3.30	7.8%
1xBet	1.30	3.10	9.2%
Pinnacle	1.38	2.69	9.6%
Betano	1.57	2.15	10.2%
Marathonbet	1.35	2.74	10.6%
Best of all books	1.57	3.30	-6.0%
Average	1.40	2.73	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.37	2.98	6.5%
Betfair	1.36	2.88	8.3%
William Hill	1.36	2.80	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.34	2.83	10.0%
Best of all books	1.37	2.98	6.5%
Average	1.36	2.87	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Şimal 33%Draw 33%Araz 33%

The statistical model rates Şimal at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and Araz at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.36 | 4.10 | 1.59, which imply roughly 22.9% for a Şimal win versus the model's 33%.

Over their last five matches, Şimal averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Araz averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: No predictions available.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.36	4.10	1.59

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.13	1.17	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
2.83	1.39

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.36	2.87

1st half

1	X	2
4.37	2.57	2.01

2nd half

1	X	2
3.90	2.92	1.93

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.38	13.9	16.5
HT X	9.81	7.50	5.06
HT 2	28.3	13.5	2.51

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.17	19.8	1.66

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	20.0
1.5	1.10	6.23
2.5	1.40	2.73
3.5	1.78	1.90
4.5	2.75	1.37
5.5	4.90	1.14

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.19	3.78
2	1.19	4.15
2.25	1.33	2.95
2.75	1.51	2.39
3	1.65	2.13
3.25	1.84	1.88
3.75	2.31	1.55
4	2.59	1.47
4.25	2.57	1.41
5	4.40	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.58	1.43
+0.25	2.06	1.74
+0.5	2.10	1.65
+0.75	1.67	2.17
+1	1.85	1.82
+1.5	1.43	2.58

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.50	1.01
-2	8.80	1.01
-1.5	5.45	1.10
-1	4.70	1.13
-0.75	3.31	1.25
0	2.73	1.45
+1.25	1.39	2.97
+1.75	1.39	2.65
+2	1.14	5.38
+2.5	1.16	4.63

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.85	1.85

Next Cup matches

27 Oct	Qabala – Mingəçevir
27 Oct	Səbail – Zira

All Cup fixtures and the table