Qabala vs
Mingəçevir• Cup, Azerbaijan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 06:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.08 | 9.50 | 34.0 | 6.1% |
| Betfair | 1.04 | 11.0 | 34.0 | 8.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 3.84 | 4.92 | 10.9% |
| Betano | 1.08 | 7.80 | 18.0 | 11.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 3.80 | 6.05 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.44 | 7.80 | 18.0 | -12.2% |
| Average | 1.24 | 7.19 | 19.4 | -0.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 19:30 UTC
Qabala
3W 1D 6L · goals 7:16 · per match 0.7 for, 1.6 against
| 23 Oct | A | Araz | 2-1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Sabah FA | 0-4 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Sumqayıt | 1-4 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Neftchi Baku | 0-3 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Kapaz | 0-1 | L |
| 4 Sep | H | Imisli FK | 2-1 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Şamaxı FK | 0-0 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | Safa Baku | 0-1 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | Turan | 0-1 | L |
| 28 May | H | Mingəçevir | 2-0 | W |
Mingəçevir
3W 1D 6L · goals 12:20 · per match 1.2 for, 2.0 against
| 21 Oct | A | Xankəndi FK | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Şimal | 1-4 | L |
| 9 Oct | A | MOIK | 0-3 | L |
| 17 Sep | H | Cəbrayıl | 0-3 | L |
| 10 Sep | A | Səbail | 1-2 | L |
| 4 Sep | H | Zaqatala | 2-2 | D |
| 28 May | A | Qabala | 0-2 | L |
| 22 May | H | Səbail | 4-1 | W |
| 15 May | H | MOIK | 3-1 | W |
| 5 May | A | Şahdağ | 0-2 | L |
Head to head
5 meetings · goals 13:1 · last 5: 5W 0D 0L for Qabala
| 28 May 2026Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Qabala2-0Mingəçevir |
| 29 Oct 2025Cup | Cup | Qabala5-1Mingəçevir |
| 28 Mar 2025Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Qabala2-0Mingəçevir |
| 24 Dec 2024Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Mingəçevir0-2Qabala |
| 26 Sep 2024Birinci Dasta | Birinci Dasta | Qabala2-0Mingəçevir |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a -0.3% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 7.8% |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 3.00 | 8.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 1.98 | 9.0% |
| Pinnacle | 1.38 | 2.67 | 9.9% |
| Betano | 1.53 | 2.22 | 10.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 2.42 | 10.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.71 | 3.00 | -8.2% |
| Average | 1.46 | 2.51 | 8.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.75 | 1.40 | 7.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 1.96 | 9.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.55 | 2.20 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.72 | 2.20 | 3.6% |
| Average | 2.01 | 1.85 | 3.8% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Qabala at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Mingəçevir at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.24 | 7.19 | 19.39, which imply roughly 80.6% for a Qabala win versus the model's 50%.
Over their last five matches, Qabala averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Mingəçevir averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Qabala or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.24 | 7.19 | 19.4 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.04 | 4.58 | 1.10 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.02 | 11.9 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 2.01 | 1.85 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | 3.25 | 18.1 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.61 | 3.24 | 7.69 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 1.61 | 31.8 | 129.5 |
| HT X | 4.25 | 11.1 | 39.9 |
| HT 2 | 23.0 | 37.3 | 40.5 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.26 | 15.0 | 4.28 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 14.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.14 | 4.89 |
| 2.5 | 1.47 | 2.51 |
| 3.5 | 1.94 | 1.86 |
| 4.5 | 3.52 | 1.29 |
| 5.5 | 7.75 | 1.07 |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 8.90 |
| 1.75 | 1.23 | 3.42 |
| 2 | 1.23 | 3.56 |
| 2.25 | 1.41 | 2.62 |
| 2.75 | 1.59 | 2.20 |
| 3 | 1.78 | 1.92 |
| 3.25 | 1.99 | 1.75 |
| 3.75 | 2.55 | 1.46 |
| 4 | 3.20 | 1.32 |
| 4.25 | 2.77 | 1.35 |
| 4.75 | 2.46 | 1.40 |
| 5 | 5.55 | 1.08 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.25 | 1.87 | 1.76 |
| -1.75 | 2.19 | 1.91 |
| -1.5 | 2.14 | 1.64 |
| -1.25 | 2.13 | 1.59 |
| -1 | 1.89 | 1.80 |
| -0.75 | 1.64 | 2.04 |
14 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5 | 2.45 | 1.40 |
| -4.25 | 2.26 | 1.48 |
| -4 | 2.32 | 1.51 |
| -3.75 | 2.26 | 1.48 |
| -3.5 | 6.38 | 1.22 |
| -3 | 3.98 | 1.51 |
| -2.75 | 1.52 | 2.17 |
| -2.5 | 2.76 | 1.73 |
| -2.25 | 1.48 | 2.35 |
| -2 | 2.47 | 1.83 |
| -0.25 | 1.33 | 2.85 |
| 0 | 1.16 | 4.21 |
| +0.25 | 1.12 | 4.75 |
| +1.5 | 1.01 | 9.40 |
Next Cup matches
| 27 Oct | Şimal – Araz |
| 27 Oct | Səbail – Zira |