Səbail vs 
Zira• Cup, Azerbaijan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 06:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 3.70 | 1.60 | 9.5% |
| Dafabet | 5.20 | 3.65 | 1.58 | 9.9% |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.57 | 10.0% |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.85 | 10.4% |
| Betano | 5.00 | 3.55 | 1.60 | 10.7% |
| 1xBet | 5.44 | 3.42 | 1.58 | 10.9% |
| Marathonbet | 5.30 | 3.42 | 1.56 | 12.2% |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.50 | 1.57 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 5.44 | 3.80 | 1.85 | -1.2% |
| Average | 4.94 | 3.57 | 1.61 | 10.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 15:30 UTC
Səbail
5W 3D 2L · goals 18:9 · per match 1.8 for, 0.9 against
| 21 Oct | A | Şahdağ | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Oct | A | Zaqatala | 3-1 | W |
| 8 Oct | H | Karvan | 1-1 | D |
| 17 Sep | A | Baku Sportinq | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Sep | H | Mingəçevir | 2-1 | W |
| 3 Sep | A | Xankəndi FK | 1-1 | D |
| 22 May | A | Mingəçevir | 1-4 | L |
| 15 May | H | Şahdağ | 0-0 | D |
| 6 May | A | Zaqatala | 3-0 | W |
| 30 Apr | H | Cəbrayıl | 6-0 | W |
Zira
4W 4D 2L · goals 13:13 · per match 1.3 for, 1.3 against
| 23 Oct | H | Sumqayıt | 3-2 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Kapaz | 1-1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Şamaxı FK | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Turan | 0-1 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Qarabag | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Sabah FA | 0-5 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Neftchi Baku | 1-0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Imisli FK | 3-1 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | Safa Baku | 2-0 | W |
| 30 Jul | H | Paide | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
39 meetings · goals 24:63 · last 10: 0W 2D 8L for Səbail
| 10 May 2025Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Səbail0-1Zira |
| 9 Mar 2025Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Zira1-0Səbail |
| 21 Dec 2024Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Səbail0-1Zira |
| 4 Aug 2024Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Zira4-1Səbail |
| 25 May 2024Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Zira1-0Səbail |
| 8 Feb 2024Cup | Cup | Zira3-0Səbail |
| 30 Jan 2024Cup | Cup | Səbail1-2Zira |
| 22 Jan 2024Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Səbail0-0Zira |
| 28 Oct 2023Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Zira2-2Səbail |
| 19 Aug 2023Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Səbail1-2Zira |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 5.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 1.86 | 7.8% |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 1.91 | 7.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 1.82 | 9.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 1.83 | 9.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 1.83 | 9.3% |
| Betano | 1.82 | 1.82 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.95 | 1.91 | 3.6% |
| Average | 1.85 | 1.85 | 8.3% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.85 | 1.85 | 8.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 1.83 | 8.7% |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 1.83 | 8.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 1.85 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.82 | 1.82 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.85 | 1.85 | 8.1% |
| Average | 1.84 | 1.84 | 8.9% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Səbail at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Zira at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.94 | 3.57 | 1.61, which imply roughly 28% for the draw versus the model's 50%.
Over their last five matches, Səbail averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Zira averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Zira.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.94 | 3.57 | 1.61 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.09 | 1.14 | 1.22 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 3.38 | 1.28 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.84 | 1.84 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.32 | 2.17 | 2.18 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.90 | 2.50 | 1.92 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 7.81 | 14.5 | 22.0 |
| HT X | 10.2 | 5.68 | 4.53 |
| HT 2 | 42.8 | 14.0 | 2.53 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.84 | 9.60 | 1.51 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 10.2 |
| 1.5 | 1.23 | 3.53 |
| 2.5 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| 3.5 | 3.14 | 1.30 |
| 4.5 | 6.50 | 1.08 |
| 5.5 | 12.0 | 1.02 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 7.90 |
| 1.75 | 1.30 | 3.03 |
| 2 | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| 2.25 | 1.62 | 2.10 |
| 2.75 | 2.05 | 1.64 |
| 3 | 2.44 | 1.45 |
| 3.25 | 2.72 | 1.36 |
| 3.75 | 3.72 | 1.20 |
| 4 | 5.07 | 1.10 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.25 | 2.50 | 1.49 |
| +0.5 | 2.07 | 1.68 |
| +0.75 | 1.91 | 1.79 |
| +1 | 1.67 | 2.02 |
| +1.25 | 1.49 | 2.34 |
| +1.5 | 1.40 | 2.60 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 8.80 | 1.01 |
| -1 | 8.85 | 1.01 |
| -0.75 | 5.75 | 1.07 |
| -0.25 | 4.20 | 1.17 |
| 0 | 3.61 | 1.22 |
| +1.75 | 1.28 | 3.12 |
| +2 | 1.14 | 4.35 |
| +2.5 | 1.10 | 5.15 |
Next Cup matches
| 27 Oct | Şimal – Araz |
| 27 Oct | Qabala – Mingəçevir |