Aurora vs
Real Tomayapo• Primera División, Bolivia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 18:00 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 4.75 | 7.50 | 7.9% |
| Betano | 1.40 | 4.45 | 6.50 | 9.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.38 | 4.65 | 6.10 | 10.4% |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.50 | 10.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 4.40 | 6.71 | 10.6% |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 4.60 | 6.50 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.40 | 4.75 | 7.50 | 5.8% |
| Average | 1.37 | 4.51 | 6.64 | 10.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 14:41 UTC
Aurora
4W 3D 3L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against
| 20 Oct | A | Independiente Petrolero | 0-4 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Real Oruro | 0-1 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Nacional Potosí | 2-2 | D |
| 7 Oct | H | ABB | 2-0 | W |
| 3 Oct | A | Real Potosí | 1-1 | D |
| 30 Sep | H | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 2-2 | D |
| 25 Sep | A | ABB | 1-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Universitario de Vinto | 4-2 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Guabirá | 1-3 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 2-0 | W |
Real Tomayapo
3W 2D 5L · goals 8:19 · per match 0.8 for, 1.9 against
| 17 Oct | H | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 1-0 | W |
| 9 Oct | A | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 0-0 | D |
| 6 Oct | A | Real Oruro | 0-4 | L |
| 3 Oct | A | Always Ready | 0-4 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Nacional Potosí | 1-1 | D |
| 27 Sep | H | Real Oruro | 2-1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Independiente Petrolero | 1-5 | L |
| 17 Sep | H | Oriente Petrolero | 0-2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Bolívar | 1-2 | L |
| 10 Sep | H | Always Ready | 2-0 | W |
Head to head
10 meetings · goals 9:14 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Aurora
| 16 May 2026Primera División | Primera División | Real Tomayapo0-2Aurora |
| 19 Sep 2025Primera División | Primera División | Aurora1-2Real Tomayapo |
| 4 May 2025Primera División | Primera División | Real Tomayapo0-0Aurora |
| 13 Dec 2024Primera División | Primera División | Real Tomayapo2-1Aurora |
| 26 Aug 2024Primera División | Primera División | Aurora0-0Real Tomayapo |
| 24 Aug 2023Primera División | Primera División | Aurora1-2Real Tomayapo |
| 11 Apr 2023Primera División | Primera División | Real Tomayapo2-1Aurora |
| 19 Aug 2022Primera División | Primera División | Real Tomayapo3-0Aurora |
| 17 Oct 2021Primera División | Primera División | Aurora1-2Real Tomayapo |
| 11 May 2021Primera División | Primera División | Real Tomayapo1-2Aurora |
Primera División tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 25 Oct 21:01 UTC
In the Primera División table, Aurora sit 6th with 31 points from 22 games, while Real Tomayapo are 16th with 20 points from 22.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolívar | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 51 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 50:15 | +35 | 48 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41:24 | +17 | 45 |
| 4 | Real Potosí | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 30:16 | +14 | 38 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 38:28 | +10 | 34 |
| 6 | Aurora | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 33:30 | +3 | 31 |
| 7 | Guabirá | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 34:44 | -10 | 30 |
| 8 | Independiente Petrolero | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 31:39 | -8 | 29 |
| 9 | Blooming | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 31:25 | +6 | 28 |
| 10 | Nacional Potosí | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32:31 | +1 | 28 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 36:51 | -15 | 27 |
| 12 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 24:43 | -19 | 24 |
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 29:43 | -14 | 21 |
| 14 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 20 |
| 15 | ABB | 23 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 20 |
| 16 | Real Tomayapo | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16:39 | -23 | 20 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 6.2% |
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 2.33 | 8.3% |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 2.40 | 8.3% |
| Betano | 1.55 | 2.27 | 8.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 2.21 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.57 | 2.40 | 5.4% |
| Average | 1.54 | 2.31 | 8.4% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.73 | 2.05 | 6.6% |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 1.91 | 7.9% |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 1.95 | 8.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 1.96 | 8.5% |
| Betano | 1.72 | 1.95 | 9.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.80 | 2.05 | 4.3% |
| Average | 1.75 | 1.96 | 8.1% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Aurora at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Real Tomayapo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.37 | 4.55 | 6.67, which imply roughly 73% for a Aurora win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera División table: Aurora are 6th (31 pts, 33-30 goals), Real Tomayapo 16th (20 pts, 16-39).
Over their last five matches, Aurora averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Real Tomayapo averaged 0.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Aurora.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Confirmed Lineups
Aurora
4-1-4-1Coach: David Díaz
Goalkeeper
- 12R. Cordano
Defence
- 9M. Rangel
- 22J. Velázquez
- 19J. Sánchez
- 7H. Vaca
Midfield
- 5A. Amarilla
- 16D. Barro
- 14H. Sánchez
- 70J. Torrico
- 8Leonardo Viviani
Attack
- 10R. Ramallo
Substitutes (12)
- 20A. Pacheco
- 23I. Huayhuata
- 18S. Rojas
- 6S. Carrasco
- 32S. Altamirano
- 51Cristhian Abastoflor
- 27A. Flores
- 69A. Terrazas
- 1J. Terrazas
- 4I. Vidaurre
- 28O. Vaca
- 11H. Mojica
Real Tomayapo
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Alfonso
Goalkeeper
- 1L. Cárdenas
Defence
- 19Robson
- 24D. Robles
- 17M. Bejarano
- 14V. Gálvez
Midfield
- 28D. Wayar
- 8J. Mamani
- 7Cristhian Arabe
- 32R. Suárez
- 99A. Cervantes
Attack
- 27Ruan Costa
Substitutes (9)
- 13M. Barbery
- 55G. Barbieri
- 35J. Castillo
- 36J. Chavez
- 15J. Guerra
- 33K. Mamani
- 20C. Padilla
- 21D. Ramallo
- 64J. Velasquez
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.37 | 4.51 | 6.64 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.08 | 2.80 | 1.16 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.13 | 5.18 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.96 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | 2.49 | 6.33 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.69 | 2.90 | 5.73 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 1.99 | 16.0 | 46.3 |
| HT X | 4.08 | 7.19 | 13.9 |
| HT 2 | 18.5 | 17.3 | 12.1 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.36 | 17.0 | 3.10 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 15.9 |
| 1.5 | 1.17 | 4.53 |
| 2.5 | 1.54 | 2.31 |
| 3.5 | 2.37 | 1.52 |
| 4.5 | 4.08 | 1.20 |
| 5.5 | 7.53 | 1.07 |
| 6.5 | 17.0 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 34.0 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 10.0 |
| 1.75 | 1.17 | 3.98 |
| 2 | 1.22 | 3.50 |
| 2.25 | 1.38 | 2.72 |
| 2.75 | 1.66 | 2.05 |
| 3 | 1.87 | 1.83 |
| 3.25 | 2.11 | 1.63 |
| 3.75 | 2.73 | 1.37 |
| 4 | 3.34 | 1.24 |
| 4.25 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| 4.75 | 4.85 | 1.11 |
| 5 | 6.50 | 1.05 |
| 5.25 | 6.75 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.75 | 2.36 | 1.52 |
| -1.5 | 2.07 | 1.68 |
| -1.25 | 1.85 | 1.88 |
| -1 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| -0.75 | 1.46 | 2.52 |
| -0.5 | 1.38 | 2.86 |
15 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5 | 8.80 | 1.01 |
| -4 | 8.30 | 1.02 |
| -3.75 | 6.43 | 1.08 |
| -3.5 | 6.08 | 1.10 |
| -3.25 | 6.55 | 1.08 |
| -3 | 6.18 | 1.09 |
| -2.75 | 4.38 | 1.17 |
| -2.5 | 3.56 | 1.25 |
| -2.25 | 3.30 | 1.29 |
| -2 | 2.92 | 1.35 |
| -0.25 | 1.25 | 3.49 |
| 0 | 1.13 | 5.28 |
| +0.25 | 1.11 | 5.70 |
| +0.5 | 1.11 | 6.60 |
| +1 | 1.01 | 10.5 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.06 | 5.68 |
| 7.5 | 1.21 | 3.54 |
| 8.5 | 1.45 | 2.49 |
| 9.5 | 1.80 | 1.93 |
| 10.5 | 2.24 | 1.56 |
| 11.5 | 2.96 | 1.31 |
| 12.5 | 4.20 | 1.14 |
| 13.5 | 6.34 | 1.03 |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.08 | 5.18 |
| 8 | 1.27 | 3.17 |
| 8.75 | 1.48 | 2.36 |
| 9 | 1.57 | 2.22 |
| 9.25 | 1.67 | 2.08 |
| 9.75 | 1.84 | 1.82 |
| 10 | 2.00 | 1.72 |
| 10.25 | 2.09 | 1.61 |
| 10.75 | 2.38 | 1.46 |
| 11 | 2.68 | 1.38 |
| 12 | 3.84 | 1.18 |
| 13 | 5.92 | 1.05 |
Next Primera División matches
| 25 Oct | Oriente Petrolero – The Strongest |
| 26 Oct | Nacional Potosí – Guabirá |