Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá• Primera División, Bolivia

#101.4:1.622:00Today1.2:2.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.42PINX5.00B36526.50B365Margin at best5.8%Books9Markets91Rating61 · 40Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Oct 04:27 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.40	5.00	6.40	7.1%
Bet365	1.38	5.00	6.50	7.8%
Betano	1.42	4.60	6.00	8.8%
BetVictor	1.36	4.75	6.50	10.0%
Pinnacle	1.42	4.46	5.68	10.4%
1xBet	1.38	4.60	6.10	10.6%
Betfair	1.33	4.75	6.50	11.6%
Marathonbet	1.37	4.60	5.85	11.8%
William Hill	1.40	4.20	6.00	11.9%
Best of all books	1.42	5.00	6.50	5.8%
Average	1.38	4.66	6.17	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nacional PotosíGuabirá

Last 10#10Table position#71.27Points per game1.367Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 52.654Attack rating4662Defence rating3858Form rating4250H2H rating5072Goals model2861Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 17:30 UTC

Nacional Potosí

3W 3D 4L · goals 21:16 · per match 2.1 for, 1.6 against

22 Oct	A	Oriente Petrolero	2-3	L
18 Oct	H	Bolívar	0-1	L
11 Oct	A	Aurora	2-2	D
8 Oct	A	Always Ready	3-2	W
3 Oct	H	Real Oruro	2-0	W
30 Sep	A	Real Tomayapo	1-1	D
25 Sep	H	Always Ready	9-0	W
22 Sep	H	Real Potosí	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Real Potosí	2-2	D
16 Sep	H	Always Ready	0-4	L

Guabirá

4W 1D 5L · goals 13:21 · per match 1.3 for, 2.1 against

18 Oct	H	Oriente Petrolero	1-1	D
12 Oct	A	Gualberto Villarroel SJ	1-4	L
8 Oct	H	The Strongest	2-1	W
4 Oct	H	Oriente Petrolero	2-1	W
29 Sep	A	Universitario de Vinto	1-3	L
26 Sep	A	The Strongest	1-2	L
21 Sep	H	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2-1	W
16 Sep	H	Aurora	3-1	W
13 Sep	A	Always Ready	0-6	L
9 Sep	A	Oriente Petrolero	0-1	L

Head to head

11Nacional Potosí wins

4draws

8Guabirá wins

23 meetings · goals 43:32 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for Nacional Potosí

17 May 2026Primera División	Primera División	Guabirá2-1Nacional Potosí
24 Aug 2025Primera División	Primera División	Guabirá1-0Nacional Potosí
14 Apr 2025Primera División	Primera División	Nacional Potosí3-0Guabirá
25 Oct 2024Primera División	Primera División	Nacional Potosí3-0Guabirá
26 May 2024Primera División	Primera División	Guabirá1-1Nacional Potosí
25 Nov 2023Primera División	Primera División	Guabirá6-1Nacional Potosí
28 May 2023Primera División	Primera División	Nacional Potosí6-0Guabirá
4 Oct 2022Primera División	Primera División	Nacional Potosí3-1Guabirá
23 Jul 2022Primera División	Primera División	Guabirá2-1Nacional Potosí
29 Apr 2022Primera División	Primera División	Guabirá1-2Nacional Potosí

Primera División tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 26 Oct 03:30 UTC

In the Primera División table, Nacional Potosí sit 10th with 28 points from 22 games, while Guabirá are 7th with 30 points from 22.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Always Ready	23	15	6	2	55:16	+39	51
2	Bolívar	22	16	3	3	56:22	+34	51
3	The Strongest	23	13	6	4	42:26	+16	45
4	Real Potosí	23	10	8	5	30:16	+14	38
5	Oriente Petrolero	23	11	4	8	40:29	+11	37
6	Aurora	23	8	10	5	34:30	+4	34
7	Guabirá	22	8	6	8	34:44	-10	30
8	Independiente Petrolero	23	8	5	10	31:39	-8	29
9	Blooming	23	6	10	7	31:25	+6	28
10	Nacional Potosí	22	8	4	10	32:31	+1	28
11	Real Oruro	23	8	3	12	37:56	-19	27
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	23	7	3	13	24:43	-19	24
13	Universitario de Vinto	22	6	3	13	29:43	-14	21
14	Gualberto Villarroel SJ	23	4	8	11	27:40	-13	20
15	ABB	23	6	2	15	33:51	-18	20
16	Real Tomayapo	23	5	5	13	16:40	-24	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.38X19%4.66215%6.17

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.38 → 1.38 0.0%X4.88 → 4.66 -4.5%26.12 → 6.17 +0.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.70	6.5%
BetVictor	1.44	2.63	7.5%
Betfair	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Pinnacle	1.48	2.45	8.4%
Betano	1.40	2.67	8.9%
1xBet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Best of all books	1.48	2.70	4.6%
Average	1.43	2.58	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
1xBet	1.59	2.19	8.6%
Betano	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.15	9.4%
Best of all books	1.67	2.25	4.3%
Average	1.60	2.18	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nacional Potosí 45%Draw 45%Guabirá 10%

The statistical model rates Nacional Potosí at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Guabirá at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.38 | 4.66 | 6.17, which imply roughly 72.5% for a Nacional Potosí win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Nacional Potosí are 10th (28 pts, 32-31 goals), Guabirá 7th (30 pts, 34-44).

Over their last five matches, Nacional Potosí averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Guabirá averaged 1.2 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Nacional Potosí or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.38	4.66	6.17

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.72	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.15	4.91

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.18

1st half

1	X	2
1.82	2.60	5.83

2nd half

1	X	2
1.67	3.07	5.25

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.95	16.3	43.6
HT X	4.32	7.96	13.8
HT 2	17.1	17.0	10.9

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.36	20.8	3.01

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	18.0
1.5	1.11	5.51
2.5	1.43	2.58
3.5	2.10	1.66
4.5	3.41	1.27
5.5	6.18	1.09
6.5	13.0	1.04
7.5	26.0	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	11.0
1.75	1.12	4.75
2	1.14	4.33
2.25	1.30	3.05
2.75	1.55	2.27
3	1.69	2.01
3.25	1.90	1.78
3.75	2.39	1.48
4	2.69	1.38
4.25	3.06	1.29
4.75	4.05	1.17
5	5.30	1.09
5.25	5.55	1.08
6	8.40	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.33	1.52
-1.5	2.05	1.69
-1.25	1.83	1.87
-1	1.60	2.18
-0.75	1.46	2.48
-0.5	1.39	2.85

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4	10.5	1.01
-3.5	6.25	1.08
-3.25	5.90	1.09
-3	5.65	1.10
-2.75	4.10	1.18
-2.5	3.33	1.27
-2.25	3.06	1.31
-2	2.83	1.36
-0.25	1.25	3.42
0	1.13	4.93
+0.25	1.11	5.37
+0.5	1.12	6.25
+1	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.05	5.79
7.5	1.20	3.60
8.5	1.44	2.52
9.5	1.75	1.99
10.5	2.21	1.58
11.5	2.92	1.32
12.5	4.12	1.15
13.5	6.19	1.04

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.06	5.54
7	1.07	5.29
7.25	1.14	4.22
7.75	1.23	3.41
8	1.26	3.22
8.25	1.35	2.80
8.75	1.49	2.39
9	1.56	2.25
9.25	1.67	2.08
9.75	1.86	1.84
10	1.99	1.77
10.25	2.10	1.65
10.75	2.39	1.49
11	2.63	1.40
11.25	2.78	1.36
11.75	3.26	1.25
12	3.76	1.18
12.25	3.94	1.17
12.75	4.77	1.10
13	5.78	1.05
13.25	5.99	1.05

Next Primera División matches

27 Oct

Bolívar – Universitario de Vinto

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

25 Oct	Oriente Petrolero 2-1 The Strongest
25 Oct	Aurora 1-0 Real Tomayapo
25 Oct	Always Ready 5-1 Real Oruro
24 Oct	Independiente Petrolero 4-2 ABB
24 Oct	San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2-1 Real Potosí
24 Oct	Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-1 Blooming