Lillestrom vs Sogndal• NM Cupen, Norway

4.0:0.517:00Today4.5:0.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.10WHX10.6PIN223.0BTNMargin at best4.7%Books10Markets92Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L54.8

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.09	9.80	19.0	7.2%
William Hill	1.10	9.00	19.0	7.3%
Bet365	1.09	9.00	21.0	7.6%
Betano	1.10	7.80	23.0	8.1%
Pinnacle	1.08	10.6	16.2	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.07	9.70	20.5	8.6%
BetVictor	1.07	9.50	21.0	8.7%
1xBet	1.07	9.70	20.0	8.8%
Betfair	1.06	9.50	18.0	10.4%
SBO	1.07	7.34	12.0	15.4%
Best of all books	1.10	10.6	23.0	4.7%
Average	1.08	9.19	19.0	8.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LillestromSogndal

Last 108Form pts · last 574.0Goals for · last 54.50.5Goals against · last 50.547Attack rating5350Defence rating5060Form rating4071H2H rating290Goals model059Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 01:30 UTC

Lillestrom

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:18 · per match 1.8 for, 1.8 against

25 Oct	H	Brann	3-2	W
22 Oct	H	Real Sociedad	0-6	L
18 Oct	A	Sandefjord	2-0	W
15 Oct	A	Sparta Praha	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	Molde	2-2	D
1 Oct	A	Bærum	5-1	W
20 Sep	A	Viking	0-3	L
17 Sep	H	Torreense	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Valerenga	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Brann	2-1	W

Sogndal

2W 3D 5L · goals 14:17 · per match 1.4 for, 1.7 against

25 Oct	H	Kongsvinger	3-1	W
21 Oct	H	Raufoss	2-1	W
18 Oct	A	Egersund	3-3	D
14 Oct	H	ODD Ballklubb	0-1	L
11 Oct	A	Asane	1-2	L
20 Sep	A	Stabaek	1-2	L
16 Sep	A	Sotra	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Strommen	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Haugesund	0-2	L
30 Aug	H	Stromsgodset	2-3	L

Head to head

5Lillestrom wins

2draws

2Sogndal wins

9 meetings · goals 13:8 · last 9: 5W 2D 2L for Lillestrom

13 Sep 20251. Division	1. Division	Sogndal1-5Lillestrom
28 Jun 20251. Division	1. Division	Lillestrom0-0Sogndal
12 Mar 2023NM Cupen	NM Cupen	Sogndal1-2Lillestrom
4 Nov 20201. Division	1. Division	Sogndal0-1Lillestrom
4 Aug 20201. Division	1. Division	Lillestrom0-2Sogndal
15 Oct 2017Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Lillestrom1-0Sogndal
30 Apr 2017Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Sogndal0-1Lillestrom
25 Sep 2016Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Lillestrom1-2Sogndal
29 May 2016Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Sogndal2-2Lillestrom

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg185%1.08X10%9.1925%19.0

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.17 → 1.08 -7.7%X6.60 → 9.19 +39.2%212.5 → 19.0 +51.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.25	4.00	5.0%
Pinnacle	1.38	2.83	7.8%
Betano	1.26	3.50	7.9%
Betfair	1.22	3.80	8.3%
BetVictor	1.22	3.80	8.3%
1xBet	1.21	3.58	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.21	3.58	10.6%
Best of all books	1.38	4.00	-2.5%
Average	1.25	3.58	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.00	1.75	7.1%
William Hill	2.00	1.75	7.1%
Bet365	2.20	1.62	7.2%
BetVictor	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	1.98	1.74	8.0%
Betano	2.00	1.72	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.72	8.6%
Best of all books	2.20	1.75	2.6%
Average	2.02	1.72	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lillestrom 45%Draw 45%Sogndal 10%

The statistical model rates Lillestrom at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sogndal at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.08 | 9.19 | 18.97, which imply roughly 92.6% for a Lillestrom win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Lillestrom averaged 4 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Sogndal averaged 4.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Lillestrom or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.08	9.19	19.0

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.02	7.13	1.04

Draw no bet

1	2
1.02	15.1

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.02	1.72

1st half

1	X	2
1.35	3.49	12.5

2nd half

1	X	2
1.26	4.33	11.8

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.37	26.0	88.6
HT X	4.31	13.4	36.9
HT 2	20.2	33.4	36.4

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.14	33.5	5.05

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	20.3
1.5	1.05	7.98
2.5	1.25	3.58
3.5	1.64	2.14
4.5	2.41	1.50
5.5	3.91	1.20
6.5	6.93	1.09
7.5	12.8	1.03
8.5	26.0	1.01
9.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	14.5
1.75	1.03	7.40
2	1.04	6.95
2.25	1.13	4.66
2.75	1.33	3.00
3	1.38	2.80
3.25	1.47	2.45
3.75	1.77	1.94
4	1.95	1.74
4.25	2.16	1.60
4.75	2.73	1.37
5	3.28	1.25
5.25	3.50	1.22
6	6.05	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-3.25	2.41	1.49
-3	2.18	1.60
-2.75	1.95	1.76
-2.5	1.77	1.97
-2.25	1.59	2.21
-2	1.44	2.59

16 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-5.5	8.00	1.02
-5	7.40	1.03
-4.75	5.25	1.16
-4.5	4.42	1.16
-4.25	4.10	1.18
-4	3.78	1.21
-3.75	3.06	1.31
-3.5	2.59	1.42
-1.75	1.36	2.87
-1.5	1.37	2.87
-1.25	1.28	3.48
-1	1.14	5.20
-0.75	1.08	6.13
-0.5	1.19	4.50
-0.25	1.07	6.82
0	1.02	12.8

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.01	7.28
8.5	1.12	4.46
9.5	1.29	3.04
10.5	1.54	2.32
11.5	1.89	1.84
12.5	2.34	1.52
13.5	3.04	1.30
14.5	4.19	1.14
15.5	6.13	1.04

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8	1.02	6.77
9	1.15	4.06
10	1.36	2.75
11	1.68	2.06
12	2.10	1.65
13	2.76	1.36
14	3.87	1.17
15	5.75	1.05

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