Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga• NM Cupen, Norway

2.0:0.017:00Today · Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg5.5:1.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.12BTNX3.80BFR23.05DAFMargin at best6.3%Books10Markets56Rating31 · 69Exp. goals L54.5

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.15	3.75	3.00	6.5%
Dafabet	2.11	3.85	3.00	6.7%
Pinnacle	2.14	3.70	2.99	7.2%
1xBet	2.10	3.74	2.98	7.9%
BetVictor	2.10	3.80	2.90	8.4%
Marathonbet	2.08	3.74	2.96	8.6%
Bet365	2.10	3.75	2.88	9.0%
Betfair	2.05	3.80	2.80	10.8%
William Hill	2.10	3.40	2.90	11.5%
SBO	2.03	3.36	2.64	16.9%
Best of all books	2.15	3.85	3.00	5.8%
Average	2.10	3.69	2.91	9.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sarpsborg 08 FFValerenga

Last 109Form pts · last 5102.0Goals for · last 55.50.0Goals against · last 51.527Attack rating73100Defence rating050Form rating5015H2H rating850Goals model031Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 18:01 UTC

Sarpsborg 08 FF

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

25 Oct	H	Aalesund	2-1	W
18 Oct	H	Rosenborg	0-3	L
11 Oct	A	Aalesund	4-2	W
30 Sep	A	Follo	2-0	W
18 Sep	H	KFUM Oslo	1-3	L
13 Sep	A	Fredrikstad	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Valerenga	2-2	D
30 Aug	A	Tromso	0-0	D
22 Aug	A	Sparta Sarpsborg	2-0	W
16 Aug	H	Sandefjord	1-2	L

Valerenga

4W 3D 3L · goals 27:20 · per match 2.7 for, 2.0 against

24 Oct	A	Bodo/Glimt	1-0	W
18 Oct	H	Brann	3-1	W
12 Oct	A	KFUM Oslo	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Fredrikstad	1-1	D
17 Sep	A	Skeid	4-1	W
12 Sep	A	Lillestrom	0-2	L
6 Sep	A	Sarpsborg 08 FF	2-2	D
30 Aug	H	Molde	3-4	L
23 Aug	A	Christiania BK	7-2	W
16 Aug	A	Aalesund	5-5	D

Head to head

7Sarpsborg 08 FF wins

6draws

11Valerenga wins

24 meetings · goals 31:42 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Sarpsborg 08 FF

6 Sep 2026Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08 FF2-2Valerenga
16 May 2026Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Valerenga3-2Sarpsborg 08 FF
17 Aug 2025Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Valerenga4-0Sarpsborg 08 FF
6 Apr 2025Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08 FF1-1Valerenga
1 Feb 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Valerenga1-0Sarpsborg 08 FF
9 Mar 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Valerenga5-3Sarpsborg 08 FF
5 Nov 2023Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Sarpsborg 08 FF3-2Valerenga
16 Apr 2023Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Valerenga0-2Sarpsborg 08 FF
27 Jan 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Valerenga4-1Sarpsborg 08 FF
29 Oct 2022Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Valerenga3-3Sarpsborg 08 FF

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.08X25%3.71231%2.96

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.46	2.65	6.2%
Bet365	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Betano	1.45	2.60	7.4%
BetVictor	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Betfair	1.36	2.88	8.3%
1xBet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Best of all books	1.46	2.88	3.2%
Average	1.42	2.67	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.40	2.80	7.1%
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
William Hill	1.40	2.75	7.8%
1xBet	1.39	2.77	8.0%
Betano	1.40	2.72	8.2%
BetVictor	1.36	2.88	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.72	8.7%
Best of all books	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Average	1.39	2.77	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sarpsborg 08 FF 10%Draw 45%Valerenga 45%

The statistical model rates Sarpsborg 08 FF at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Valerenga at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.08 | 3.71 | 2.96, which imply roughly 27% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Sarpsborg 08 FF averaged 2 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Valerenga averaged 5.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Valerenga and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.10	3.69	2.91

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.36	1.66	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.60	2.23

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.39	2.77

1st half

1	X	2
2.52	2.43	3.30

2nd half

1	X	2
2.37	2.80	3.05

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.26	12.8	24.0
HT X	5.86	6.68	7.34
HT 2	19.8	13.2	4.70

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.73	20.8	2.04

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.7
1.5	1.11	5.69
2.5	1.42	2.67
3.5	2.10	1.69
4.5	3.42	1.27
5.5	6.25	1.09
6.5	11.6	1.04
7.5	26.0	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	11.5
1.75	1.11	4.95
2	1.13	4.50
2.25	1.27	3.15
2.75	1.52	2.34
3	1.66	2.09
3.25	1.87	1.85
3.75	2.34	1.52
4	2.81	1.37
4.25	3.07	1.29
4.75	4.06	1.17
5	5.35	1.09
5.25	5.65	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.37	1.52
-0.5	2.10	1.70
-0.25	1.85	1.88
0	1.60	2.24
+0.25	1.46	2.54
+0.5	1.40	2.89

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.90	1.04
-2.25	7.00	1.10
-2	6.30	1.08
-1.75	4.43	1.16
-1.5	3.52	1.24
-1.25	3.24	1.28
-1	2.94	1.35
+0.75	1.25	3.47
+1	1.14	4.72
+1.25	1.12	5.19
+1.5	1.10	5.62
+1.75	1.03	7.20
+2	1.01	9.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.34	3.10
10.5	1.57	2.30
11.5	1.97	1.81
12.5	2.47	1.50
13.5	3.30	1.31

Next NM Cupen matches

28 Oct	Tromsdalen Uil – Lyn
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28 Oct	Pors Grenland – Kongsvinger

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