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Bærum vs Lillestrom• NM Cupen, Norway

4.0:0.01-5FT01/103.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

126.0WHX11.0BFR21.09BTNMargin at best4.7%Books7Markets69Rating54 · 47 levelExp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 12:48 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet15.58.701.145.7%
Betano12.06.701.178.7%
BetVictor13.07.501.148.7%
Marathonbet13.06.701.168.8%
William Hill13.07.001.158.9%
Bet36512.06.501.179.2%
Betfair14.07.501.129.8%
Best of all books15.58.701.173.4%
Average13.27.231.158.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BærumLillestrom
Last 100Form pts · last 584.0Goals for · last 53.00.0Goals against · last 50.057Attack rating430Defence rating050Form rating500H2H rating00Goals model054Overall rating47

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:20 UTC

Bærum

3W 1D 6L · goals 20:22 · per match 2.0 for, 2.2 against

10 OctAAsker2-4L
4 OctHIF Ready1-2L
1 OctHLillestrom1-5L
26 SepAVålerenga II0-2L
19 SepHUnion Carl Berner1-2L
13 SepALokomotiv Oslo2-5L
5 SepHNordstrand1-0W
30 AugAKonnerud1-1D
22 AugHMjondalen4-0W
15 AugASF Grei7-1W

Lillestrom

5W 2D 3L · goals 19:14 · per match 1.9 for, 1.4 against

18 OctASandefjord2-0W
15 OctASparta Praha1-1D
11 OctHMolde2-2D
1 OctABærum5-1W
20 SepAViking0-3L
17 SepHTorreense1-2L
12 SepHValerenga2-0W
5 SepABrann2-1W
2 SepAAurskog Finstadbru3-0W
30 AugHFredrikstad1-4L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Bærum and Lillestrom on record.

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg14%22.1X10%9.55286%1.07

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

30 Sep 14:111 Oct 13:311 22.1X 9.552 1.07
113.2 → 22.1 +67.0%X7.23 → 9.55 +32.1%21.15 → 1.07 -7.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betfair1.293.803.8%
Bet3651.363.105.8%
1xBet1.293.327.6%
BetVictor1.223.808.3%
Marathonbet1.243.3410.6%
Betano1.322.8211.2%
Best of all books1.363.80-0.2%
Average1.293.367.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.101.677.5%
Betfair1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.722.017.9%
William Hill1.652.108.2%
Marathonbet1.721.988.6%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
Betano1.901.7210.8%
Best of all books2.102.10-4.8%
Average1.791.937.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bærum 33%Draw 33%Lillestrom 33%

The statistical model rated Bærum at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and Lillestrom at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 22.06 | 9.55 | 1.07, which imply roughly 4.5% for a Bærum win versus the model's 33%.

Over their last five matches, Bærum averaged 4 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Lillestrom averaged 3 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: No predictions available.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
13.27.231.15

Double chance

1XX212
4.481.031.07

Draw no bet

12
9.531.04

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.791.93

1st half

1X2
8.963.191.50

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
3.8828.51.23

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0121.0
1.51.077.12
2.51.293.36
3.51.752.00
4.52.631.42
5.54.411.17
6.57.931.06
7.521.01.01
8.541.0–
9.551.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1.751.066.28
21.066.10
2.251.174.27
2.751.302.97
31.412.62
3.251.542.33
3.751.831.85
41.981.69
4.252.241.56
4.752.791.34
53.281.25
5.253.711.21
65.801.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+1.52.481.45
+1.752.281.54
+22.061.69
+2.251.821.87
+2.51.662.05
+2.751.522.32
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
012.01.04
+0.256.171.08
+0.55.001.17
+0.754.201.17
+13.841.21
+1.252.931.33
+31.382.73
+3.251.332.97
+3.51.283.24
+3.751.203.88
+41.135.05
+4.251.135.90
+4.51.095.35
+51.018.70

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