Molde vs Stromsgodset• NM Cupen, Norway

8.0:0.017:00Today · Aker Stadion, Molde5.0:0.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.211XBX7.00BFR211.0B365Margin at best6.0%Books10Markets67Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L56.8

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 01:27 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.21	7.00	9.80	7.1%
1xBet	1.21	6.65	9.95	7.7%
Betano	1.21	6.60	9.75	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.20	6.65	10.0	8.4%
BetVictor	1.18	7.00	10.5	8.6%
Pinnacle	1.19	6.90	8.96	9.7%
Bet365	1.18	6.00	11.0	10.5%
William Hill	1.20	6.00	9.50	10.5%
Betfair	1.14	7.00	10.5	11.5%
SBO	1.18	5.61	7.24	16.4%
Best of all books	1.21	7.00	11.0	6.0%
Average	1.19	6.54	9.72	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MoldeStromsgodset

Last 1010Form pts · last 5128.0Goals for · last 55.00.0Goals against · last 50.562Attack rating38100Defence rating050Form rating5060H2H rating400Goals model059Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 26 Oct 18:00 UTC

Molde

8W 1D 1L · goals 44:10 · per match 4.4 for, 1.0 against

25 Oct	H	Fredrikstad	5-1	W
18 Oct	H	Start	6-1	W
11 Oct	A	Lillestrom	2-2	D
4 Oct	H	Kristiansund BK	3-0	W
19 Sep	H	Aalesund	1-2	L
16 Sep	A	Trygg/Lade	5-0	W
13 Sep	A	Ham-Kam	5-1	W
6 Sep	H	KFUM Oslo	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Valerenga	4-3	W
22 Aug	A	Midsund	11-0	W

Stromsgodset

8W 1D 1L · goals 30:8 · per match 3.0 for, 0.8 against

25 Oct	A	Strommen	0-1	L
18 Oct	H	Haugesund	5-0	W
14 Oct	H	Kongsvinger	5-1	W
11 Oct	A	Lyn	5-1	W
3 Oct	H	Asane	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Raufoss	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Sandnes ULF	4-1	W
8 Sep	A	Asker	4-1	W
5 Sep	A	ODD Ballklubb	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Sogndal	3-2	W

Head to head

16Molde wins

4draws

3Stromsgodset wins

23 meetings · goals 54:21 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Molde

24 Sep 2025NM Cupen	NM Cupen	Stromsgodset1-1Molde
31 Aug 2025Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Stromsgodset3-1Molde
19 Jul 2025Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Molde4-1Stromsgodset
1 Dec 2024Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Stromsgodset1-0Molde
1 Apr 2024Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Molde4-0Stromsgodset
24 Sep 2023Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Stromsgodset1-1Molde
28 Jun 2023NM Cupen	NM Cupen	Molde3-0Stromsgodset
13 May 2023Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Molde3-2Stromsgodset
31 Jul 2022Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Molde3-0Stromsgodset
10 Apr 2022Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Stromsgodset1-3Molde

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg177%1.19X14%6.5429%9.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.28 → 1.19 -7.0%X5.62 → 6.54 +16.4%27.59 → 9.72 +28.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.22	4.20	5.8%
BetVictor	1.20	4.10	7.7%
Betano	1.23	3.70	8.3%
Betfair	1.20	4.00	8.3%
1xBet	1.21	3.58	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.21	3.58	10.6%
Best of all books	1.23	4.20	5.1%
Average	1.21	3.86	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Betano	1.60	2.22	7.5%
1xBet	1.55	2.30	8.0%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.55	2.26	8.8%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
William Hill	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Best of all books	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Average	1.56	2.28	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Molde 45%Draw 45%Stromsgodset 10%

The statistical model rates Molde at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Stromsgodset at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.19 | 6.54 | 9.72, which imply roughly 84% for a Molde win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Molde averaged 8 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Stromsgodset averaged 5 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Molde and +3.5 goals (goal line signal: over 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.19	6.54	9.72

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.04	4.17	1.08

Draw no bet

1	2
1.06	8.45

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.28

1st half

1	X	2
1.50	3.20	7.51

2nd half

1	X	2
1.41	3.77	7.18

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.58	19.4	52.2
HT X	4.48	11.6	21.7
HT 2	16.4	21.2	17.6

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.27	37.5	3.49

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	26.0
1.5	1.05	8.28
2.5	1.21	3.86
3.5	1.60	2.23
4.5	2.30	1.54
5.5	3.73	1.23
6.5	6.38	1.10
7.5	11.3	1.04
8.5	23.0	1.01
9.5	41.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	15.5
1.75	1.03	7.30
2	1.04	6.95
2.25	1.12	4.71
2.75	1.25	3.36
3	1.30	3.07
3.25	1.45	2.51
3.75	1.72	2.01
4	1.88	1.81
4.25	2.09	1.64
4.75	2.61	1.41
5	3.08	1.28
5.25	3.34	1.24
6	5.55	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	2.51	1.45
-2.5	2.21	1.58
-2.25	2.02	1.70
-2	1.81	1.91
-1.75	1.65	2.11
-1.5	1.54	2.35

16 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	6.15	1.06
-4	5.70	1.10
-3.75	4.33	1.17
-3.5	3.52	1.24
-3.25	3.34	1.27
-3	3.06	1.31
-1.25	1.42	2.63
-1	1.33	3.11
-0.75	1.29	3.40
-0.5	1.30	3.54
-0.25	1.11	5.33
0	1.03	7.40
+0.25	1.10	5.15
+0.75	1.01	8.90
+1	1.02	8.70
+1.5	1.01	9.40

Next NM Cupen matches

28 Oct	Tromsdalen Uil – Lyn
28 Oct	Sarpsborg 08 FF – Valerenga
28 Oct	Kristiansund BK – Aalesund
28 Oct	Rosenborg – Ham-Kam
28 Oct	Ranheim – Fredrikstad
28 Oct	Pors Grenland – Kongsvinger

All NM Cupen fixtures and the table

Latest NM Cupen results

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