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Lobos Upnfm vs CD Olimpia• Liga Nacional, Honduras

#61.4:0.40-1FT25/10 · Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca2.2:0.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.95DAFX3.40B36521.88DAFMargin at best7.9%Books9Markets45Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 21:02 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet3.953.401.887.9%
BetVictor3.903.401.839.7%
Betano3.803.251.8710.6%
Betfair3.803.301.8510.7%
1xBet3.783.321.8410.9%
Bet3653.753.401.8011.6%
William Hill3.753.201.8512.0%
Marathonbet3.683.321.8212.2%
Pinnacle3.693.121.8712.6%
Best of all books3.953.401.887.9%
Average3.793.301.8510.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Lobos UpnfmCD Olimpia
Last 10#6Table position#11.25Points per game2.4210Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 52.20.4Goals against · last 50.639Attack rating6160Defence rating4045Form rating557H2H rating9341Goals model5934Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 07:00 UTC

Lobos Upnfm

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:11 · per match 1.1 for, 1.1 against

25 OctHCD Olimpia0-1L
18 OctAAtletico Independiente4-0W
11 OctHCD Marathon0-0D
18 SepAPlatense FC2-0W
13 SepHAtlético Choloma1-0W
6 SepAReal Espana0-2L
29 AugAJuticalpa0-1L
22 AugACD Motagua1-4L
15 AugHEstrella Roja2-2D
8 AugHOlancho1-1D

CD Olimpia

7W 1D 2L · goals 20:6 · per match 2.0 for, 0.6 against

29 OctHCS Cartagines2-2D
25 OctALobos Upnfm1-0W
22 OctACS Cartagines0-1L
16 OctHReal Espana2-1W
10 OctAGénesis1-0W
20 SepHAtletico Independiente4-0W
18 SepHFirpo3-0W
13 SepACD Marathon0-1L
11 SepAFirpo3-0W
4 SepHPlatense FC4-1W

Head to head

6Lobos Upnfm wins
7draws
28CD Olimpia wins

41 meetings · goals 28:76 · last 10: 1W 1D 8L for Lobos Upnfm

3 Aug 2026Liga NacionalLiga NacionalCD Olimpia2-0Lobos Upnfm
2 Apr 2026Liga NacionalLiga NacionalCD Olimpia0-0Lobos Upnfm
7 Feb 2026Liga NacionalLiga NacionalLobos Upnfm0-1CD Olimpia
5 Oct 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalLobos Upnfm1-2CD Olimpia
27 Jul 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalCD Olimpia2-0Lobos Upnfm
6 Mar 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalCD Olimpia2-0Lobos Upnfm
18 Jan 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalLobos Upnfm0-1CD Olimpia
10 Nov 2024Liga NacionalLiga NacionalLobos Upnfm0-2CD Olimpia
14 Sep 2024Liga NacionalLiga NacionalCD Olimpia3-1Lobos Upnfm
25 Apr 2024Liga NacionalLiga NacionalLobos Upnfm1-0CD Olimpia

Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 2 Nov 03:10 UTC

In the Liga Nacional table, Lobos Upnfm sit 6th with 15 points from 12 games, while CD Olimpia are 1st with 29 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1CD Olimpia1292126:8+1829
2Real Espana1283122:10+1227
3CD Motagua1281319:9+1025
4CD Marathon1264218:11+722
5Estrella Roja1244421:22-116
6Lobos Upnfm1243515:16-115
7Olancho1127211:11013
8Atlético Choloma1241712:15-313
9Génesis1232715:16-111
10Atletico Independiente1225511:21-1011
11Platense FC1122711:25-148
12Juticalpa12201011:28-176

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.79X27%3.30249%1.85

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

24 Oct 10:0125 Oct 18:301 3.79X 3.302 1.85
14.19 → 3.79 -9.5%X3.48 → 3.30 -5.2%21.73 → 1.85 +6.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.001.805.6%
Pinnacle1.941.787.7%
Betfair1.951.758.4%
BetVictor1.931.759.0%
1xBet1.961.729.2%
Marathonbet1.961.729.2%
Betano1.901.759.8%
Best of all books2.001.805.6%
Average1.951.758.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.801.917.9%
BetVictor1.831.878.1%
1xBet1.821.859.0%
William Hill1.801.859.6%
Marathonbet1.821.829.9%
Best of all books1.831.917.0%
Average1.811.868.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lobos Upnfm 10%Draw 45%CD Olimpia 45%

The statistical model rated Lobos Upnfm at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and CD Olimpia at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.79 | 3.30 | 1.85, which imply roughly 30.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Nacional table: Lobos Upnfm are 6th (15 pts, 15-16 goals), CD Olimpia 1st (29 pts, 26-8).

Over their last five matches, Lobos Upnfm averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; CD Olimpia averaged 2.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or CD Olimpia.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.793.301.85

Double chance

1XX212
1.801.201.26

Draw no bet

12
2.871.36

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.811.86

1st half

1X2
4.432.102.43

2nd half

1X2
4.012.382.22

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 16.4815.323.0
HT X8.324.974.81
HT 236.815.02.97

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.598.551.63

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.038.70
1.51.303.12
2.51.951.75
3.53.471.25
4.57.351.06
5.514.01.02
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.046.95
1.251.174.05
1.751.362.72
21.482.36
2.251.731.94
2.752.231.55
32.701.37
3.253.031.30
3.754.041.18
45.801.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
02.711.36
+0.252.111.60
+0.51.871.83
+0.751.682.04
+11.402.60
+1.251.312.95
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.101.02
-17.301.03
-0.754.601.16
-0.253.151.27
+1.51.243.34
+1.751.154.25
+21.066.10
+2.51.046.85

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
9.51.742.01
101.981.82

Latest Liga Nacional results

2 NovOlancho 4-1 Platense FC
1 NovCD Motagua 2-0 CD Marathon
1 NovAtlético Choloma 0-3 CD Olimpia
31 OctReal Espana 3-1 Juticalpa
31 OctLobos Upnfm 4-3 Génesis
31 OctEstrella Roja 3-1 Atletico Independiente