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CD Motagua vs Juticalpa• Liga Nacional, Honduras

#31.0:0.42-0FT25/10 · Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles, Tegucigalpa1.2:2.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.28B365X5.80DAF28.751XBMargin at best6.8%Books9Markets58Rating76 · 24Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.275.808.407.9%
Bet3651.285.757.508.8%
BetVictor1.255.758.509.2%
1xBet1.225.708.7510.9%
Betano1.285.107.5011.1%
William Hill1.255.008.5011.8%
Betfair1.225.508.5011.9%
Marathonbet1.215.708.3012.2%
Pinnacle1.235.267.7413.2%
Best of all books1.285.808.756.8%
Average1.255.518.1910.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CD MotaguaJuticalpa
Last 10#3Table position#122.08Points per game0.5010Form pts · last 531.0Goals for · last 51.20.4Goals against · last 52.245Attack rating5585Defence rating1577Form rating2393H2H rating776Goals model2476Overall rating24

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 09:01 UTC

CD Motagua

5W 3D 2L · goals 11:4 · per match 1.1 for, 0.4 against

30 OctALD Alajuelense1-2L
25 OctHJuticalpa2-0W
23 OctHLD Alajuelense0-0D
17 OctAPlatense FC2-0W
10 OctHAtlético Choloma2-1W
20 SepAReal Espana0-1L
17 SepAAlianza0-0D
13 SepHGénesis1-0W
10 SepHAlianza3-0W
5 SepAAtletico Independiente0-0D

Juticalpa

2W 0D 8L · goals 10:22 · per match 1.0 for, 2.2 against

25 OctACD Motagua0-2L
17 OctHAtlético Choloma1-2L
9 OctAPlatense FC1-2L
21 SepHCD Marathon3-2W
14 SepAAtletico Independiente1-2L
7 SepHGénesis0-3L
29 AugHLobos Upnfm1-0W
22 AugAEstrella Roja2-5L
17 AugAOlancho0-1L
9 AugHCD Olimpia1-3L

Head to head

19CD Motagua wins
6draws
2Juticalpa wins

27 meetings · goals 67:26 · last 10: 9W 1D 0L for CD Motagua

2 Aug 2026Liga NacionalLiga NacionalJuticalpa0-3CD Motagua
19 Apr 2026Liga NacionalLiga NacionalCD Motagua2-1Juticalpa
25 Feb 2026Liga NacionalLiga NacionalJuticalpa1-2CD Motagua
7 Dec 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalJuticalpa1-7CD Motagua
21 Sep 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalCD Motagua0-0Juticalpa
13 Apr 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalCD Motagua5-1Juticalpa
12 Feb 2025Liga NacionalLiga NacionalJuticalpa0-3CD Motagua
24 Nov 2024Liga NacionalLiga NacionalJuticalpa1-3CD Motagua
18 Sep 2024Liga NacionalLiga NacionalCD Motagua3-0Juticalpa
21 Apr 2019Liga NacionalLiga NacionalJuticalpa2-3CD Motagua

Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 2 Nov 03:10 UTC

In the Liga Nacional table, CD Motagua sit 3rd with 25 points from 12 games, while Juticalpa are 12th with 6 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1CD Olimpia1292126:8+1829
2Real Espana1283122:10+1227
3CD Motagua1281319:9+1025
4CD Marathon1264218:11+722
5Estrella Roja1244421:22-116
6Lobos Upnfm1243515:16-115
7Olancho1127211:11013
8Atlético Choloma1241712:15-313
9Génesis1232715:16-111
10Atletico Independiente1225511:21-1011
11Platense FC1122711:25-148
12Juticalpa12201011:28-176

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg172%1.25X16%5.51211%8.19

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

24 Oct 10:0125 Oct 18:301 1.25X 5.512 8.19
11.19 → 1.25 +5.0%X6.20 → 5.51 -11.1%210.8 → 8.19 -23.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.442.627.6%
BetVictor1.303.257.7%
Betfair1.293.307.8%
Pinnacle1.362.779.6%
1xBet1.273.1410.6%
Marathonbet1.273.1410.6%
Best of all books1.443.30-0.3%
Average1.323.048.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.602.256.9%
BetVictor1.572.258.1%
William Hill1.572.258.1%
1xBet1.562.229.1%
Marathonbet1.562.1810.0%
Best of all books1.602.256.9%
Average1.572.238.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

CD Motagua 45%Draw 45%Juticalpa 10%

The statistical model rated CD Motagua at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Juticalpa at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.25 | 5.51 | 8.19, which imply roughly 80% for a CD Motagua win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Nacional table: CD Motagua are 3rd (25 pts, 19-9 goals), Juticalpa 12th (6 pts, 11-28).

Over their last five matches, CD Motagua averaged 1 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Juticalpa averaged 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : CD Motagua or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.255.518.19

Double chance

1XX212
1.063.321.10

Draw no bet

12
1.105.93

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.572.23

1st half

1X2
1.632.856.78

2nd half

1X2
1.513.366.35

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.7818.650.5
HT X4.339.4116.9
HT 216.019.313.3

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.2724.03.43

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0119.5
1.51.067.55
2.51.323.04
3.51.801.89
4.52.791.35
5.54.751.17
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0114.0
1.751.048.15
21.066.05
2.251.223.71
2.751.322.88
31.402.57
3.251.642.07
3.751.961.71
42.231.53
4.252.491.43
4.753.201.26
54.151.16

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-2.52.611.39
-2.252.261.58
-22.091.61
-1.751.881.81
-1.51.721.94
-1.251.522.26
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-4.58.601.03
-47.051.05
-3.54.701.12
-3.254.521.17
-34.051.17
-2.752.801.37
-11.342.81
-0.751.293.07
-0.251.134.50
01.046.85

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
10.51.851.85

Latest Liga Nacional results

2 NovOlancho 4-1 Platense FC
1 NovCD Motagua 2-0 CD Marathon
1 NovAtlético Choloma 0-3 CD Olimpia
31 OctReal Espana 3-1 Juticalpa
31 OctLobos Upnfm 4-3 Génesis
31 OctEstrella Roja 3-1 Atletico Independiente