Atletico Independiente vs 
CD Marathon• Liga Nacional, Honduras
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 00:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 4.40 | 3.55 | 1.75 | 8.0% |
| BetVictor | 4.50 | 3.50 | 1.70 | 9.6% |
| Betfair | 4.60 | 3.60 | 1.65 | 10.1% |
| William Hill | 4.50 | 3.30 | 1.73 | 10.3% |
| Betano | 4.15 | 3.40 | 1.75 | 10.7% |
| 1xBet | 4.56 | 3.54 | 1.65 | 10.8% |
| Bet365 | 4.10 | 3.50 | 1.70 | 11.8% |
| Marathonbet | 4.45 | 3.54 | 1.63 | 12.1% |
| Best of all books | 4.60 | 3.60 | 1.75 | 6.7% |
| Average | 4.41 | 3.49 | 1.69 | 10.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 07:00 UTC
Atletico Independiente
2W 5D 3L · goals 10:17 · per match 1.0 for, 1.7 against
| 25 Oct | H | CD Marathon | 2-2 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Lobos Upnfm | 0-4 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Olancho | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | CD Olimpia | 0-4 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Juticalpa | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | CD Motagua | 0-0 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Platense FC | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Génesis | 1-1 | D |
| 16 Aug | A | Real Espana | 1-1 | D |
| 10 Aug | H | Atlético Choloma | 2-1 | W |
CD Marathon
4W 4D 2L · goals 17:12 · per match 1.7 for, 1.2 against
| 28 Oct | A | Alianza | 0-0 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Atletico Independiente | 2-2 | D |
| 21 Oct | H | Alianza | 2-1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Olancho | 2-1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Lobos Upnfm | 0-0 | D |
| 21 Sep | A | Juticalpa | 2-3 | L |
| 18 Sep | A | LD Alajuelense | 1-3 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | CD Olimpia | 1-0 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | LD Alajuelense | 2-2 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | Estrella Roja | 5-0 | W |
Head to head
1 meeting · goals 0:1 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Atletico Independiente
| 4 Aug 2026Liga Nacional | Liga Nacional | CD Marathon1-0Atletico Independiente |
Liga Nacional tableAperturaupdated 2 Nov 03:10 UTC
In the Liga Nacional table, Atletico Independiente sit 10th with 11 points from 12 games, while CD Marathon are 4th with 22 points from 12.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26:8 | +18 | 29 |
| 2 | Real Espana | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 | CD Motagua | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19:9 | +10 | 25 |
| 4 | CD Marathon | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 | Estrella Roja | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 16 |
| 6 | Lobos Upnfm | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Olancho | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Atlético Choloma | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12:15 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Génesis | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Atletico Independiente | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 11 | Platense FC | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:25 | -14 | 8 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11:28 | -17 | 6 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 5.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.88 | 1.79 | 9.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 1.78 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.89 | 1.78 | 9.1% |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 1.75 | 9.5% |
| Betano | 1.90 | 1.75 | 9.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.91 | 1.90 | 5.0% |
| Average | 1.89 | 1.79 | 8.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.85 | 1.85 | 8.1% |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 1.85 | 8.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 1.87 | 8.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 1.85 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.82 | 1.82 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.85 | 1.87 | 7.5% |
| Average | 1.83 | 1.85 | 8.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Atletico Independiente at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and CD Marathon at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.41 | 3.49 | 1.69, which imply roughly 28.7% for the draw versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the Liga Nacional table: Atletico Independiente are 10th (11 pts, 11-21 goals), CD Marathon 4th (22 pts, 18-11).
Over their last five matches, Atletico Independiente averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; CD Marathon averaged 2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or CD Marathon.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.41 | 3.49 | 1.69 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.97 | 1.16 | 1.23 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 3.20 | 1.31 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.83 | 1.85 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.80 | 2.14 | 2.28 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.46 | 2.43 | 2.07 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 7.35 | 15.5 | 22.0 |
| HT X | 9.69 | 5.43 | 4.54 |
| HT 2 | 40.0 | 15.8 | 2.65 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.68 | 10.6 | 1.54 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 9.75 |
| 1.5 | 1.26 | 3.39 |
| 2.5 | 1.90 | 1.79 |
| 3.5 | 3.32 | 1.27 |
| 4.5 | 6.65 | 1.07 |
| 5.5 | 14.0 | 1.02 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 8.50 |
| 1.25 | 1.18 | 4.30 |
| 1.75 | 1.32 | 2.88 |
| 2 | 1.42 | 2.49 |
| 2.25 | 1.65 | 2.01 |
| 2.75 | 2.16 | 1.58 |
| 3 | 2.59 | 1.39 |
| 3.25 | 2.93 | 1.32 |
| 3.75 | 4.10 | 1.16 |
| 4 | 5.75 | 1.07 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.25 | 2.43 | 1.44 |
| +0.5 | 1.93 | 1.70 |
| +0.75 | 1.79 | 1.89 |
| +1 | 1.62 | 2.10 |
| +1.25 | 1.40 | 2.56 |
| +1.5 | 1.31 | 2.92 |
9 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 9.90 | 1.01 |
| -1 | 9.00 | 1.02 |
| -0.25 | 3.88 | 1.18 |
| 0 | 3.34 | 1.24 |
| +1.75 | 1.20 | 3.68 |
| +2 | 1.09 | 5.25 |
| +2.25 | 1.13 | 5.00 |
| +2.5 | 1.06 | 6.15 |
| +3 | 1.01 | 10.0 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 1.77 | 2.01 |
| 10 | 2.02 | 1.78 |