VVV Venlo vs Vitesse• KNVB Beker, Netherlands

19:00Today · Seacon - De Koel, Venlo

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.10WHX3.86PIN23.25DAFMargin at best4.3%Books9Markets58Rating46 · 55

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 01:20 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.07	3.85	3.25	5.1%
Bet365	2.05	3.80	3.20	6.3%
Betano	2.05	3.80	3.15	6.8%
1xBet	2.07	3.82	2.99	7.9%
Marathonbet	2.05	3.82	2.97	8.6%
BetVictor	2.05	3.70	3.00	9.1%
Pinnacle	2.04	3.86	2.92	9.2%
William Hill	2.10	3.60	2.90	9.9%
Betfair	2.00	3.75	2.90	11.1%
Best of all books	2.10	3.86	3.25	4.3%
Average	2.05	3.78	3.03	8.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VVV VenloVitesse

Last 1010Form pts · last 540Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating038H2H rating620Goals model046Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 15:01 UTC

VVV Venlo

7W 1D 2L · goals 29:16 · per match 2.9 for, 1.6 against

24 Oct	A	Dordrecht	4-2	W
16 Oct	H	Jong AZ	4-4	D
9 Oct	A	Jong Ajax	3-0	W
4 Oct	H	Roda	2-0	W
26 Sep	A	FC Volendam	2-3	L
18 Sep	A	Jong Utrecht	3-1	W
11 Sep	H	FC OSS	3-1	W
4 Sep	A	Helmond Sport	2-4	L
30 Aug	H	Emmen	4-0	W
23 Aug	H	De Graafschap	2-1	W

Vitesse

4W 1D 5L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

23 Oct	H	Emmen	0-2	L
16 Oct	A	FC Eindhoven	1-0	W
9 Oct	A	FC Volendam	0-2	L
3 Oct	H	NAC Breda	2-2	D
26 Sep	A	Heracles	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Jong PSV U21	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Roda	0-1	L
4 Sep	H	FC OSS	2-1	W
28 Aug	A	Den Bosch	4-1	W
21 Aug	H	Almere City FC	0-3	L

Head to head

4VVV Venlo wins

4draws

12Vitesse wins

20 meetings · goals 25:45 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for VVV Venlo

14 Feb 2026Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Vitesse2-2VVV Venlo
31 Oct 2025Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	VVV Venlo1-2Vitesse
12 Jan 2025Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	Vitesse1-4VVV Venlo
16 Aug 2024Eerste Divisie	Eerste Divisie	VVV Venlo0-1Vitesse
22 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Vitesse2-2VVV Venlo
2 Mar 2021KNVB Beker	KNVB Beker	Vitesse2-0VVV Venlo
27 Feb 2021Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Vitesse4-1VVV Venlo
27 Jan 2021Eredivisie	Eredivisie	VVV Venlo4-1Vitesse
22 Dec 2019Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Vitesse3-0VVV Venlo
19 Oct 2019Eredivisie	Eredivisie	VVV Venlo0-4Vitesse

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.04X24%3.77230%3.02

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.14 → 2.04 -4.7%X3.74 → 3.77 +0.8%22.84 → 3.02 +6.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.48	2.60	6.0%
Betano	1.53	2.45	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.46	2.58	7.3%
Betfair	1.44	2.60	7.9%
BetVictor	1.44	2.60	7.9%
1xBet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Best of all books	1.53	2.60	3.8%
Average	1.46	2.54	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.40	2.80	7.1%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
William Hill	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betano	1.47	2.50	8.0%
1xBet	1.41	2.69	8.1%
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.64	8.8%
Best of all books	1.47	2.80	3.7%
Average	1.42	2.65	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

VVV Venlo 10%Draw 45%Vitesse 45%

The statistical model rates VVV Venlo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Vitesse at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.04 | 3.77 | 3.02, which imply roughly 26.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, VVV Venlo averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Vitesse averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Vitesse.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.05	3.78	3.03

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.70	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.57	2.27

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.42	2.65

1st half

1	X	2
2.52	2.41	3.43

2nd half

1	X	2
2.31	2.75	3.20

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.14	13.3	26.4
HT X	5.52	6.48	7.66
HT 2	20.8	13.5	5.02

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.73	19.8	2.07

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.4
1.5	1.12	5.38
2.5	1.46	2.54
3.5	2.17	1.64
4.5	3.68	1.23
5.5	6.70	1.07
6.5	13.6	1.03
7.5	27.5	1.01
8.5	51.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	11.5
1.75	1.11	4.90
2	1.14	4.40
2.25	1.29	3.09
2.75	1.55	2.27
3	1.72	1.99
3.25	1.92	1.79
3.75	2.44	1.48
4	2.98	1.32
4.25	3.29	1.25
4.75	4.46	1.14
5	6.05	1.06
5.25	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.83	1.36
-0.75	2.30	1.54
-0.5	2.01	1.75
-0.25	1.81	1.91
0	1.56	2.29
+0.25	1.43	2.62

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	12.0	1.02
-2.5	7.20	1.06
-2.25	6.40	1.12
-2	6.37	1.07
-1.75	4.48	1.16
-1.5	3.53	1.24
-1.25	3.17	1.29
+0.5	1.38	2.90
+0.75	1.26	3.51
+1	1.11	5.25
+1.25	1.10	5.72
+1.5	1.09	6.10
+1.75	1.02	7.80
+2	1.02	8.80
+2.5	1.02	10.2

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.32	3.20
9.5	1.55	2.37
10.5	1.90	1.83
11.5	2.47	1.50
12.5	3.30	1.30

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