Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard• KNVB Beker, Netherlands

17:45Today · Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.91WHX3.85DAF23.90DAFMargin at best4.0%Books9Markets66Rating74 · 26

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 01:20 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.88	3.85	3.90	4.8%
Betano	1.91	3.80	3.80	5.0%
Bet365	1.85	3.90	3.80	6.0%
1xBet	1.90	3.62	3.62	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.88	3.62	3.60	8.6%
William Hill	1.91	3.40	3.60	9.5%
Betfair	1.85	3.60	3.60	9.6%
BetVictor	1.87	3.70	3.40	9.9%
Pinnacle	1.89	3.46	3.24	12.7%
Best of all books	1.91	3.90	3.90	3.6%
Average	1.88	3.66	3.62	8.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sparta RotterdamFortuna Sittard

Last 104Form pts · last 5110Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating075H2H rating250Goals model074Overall rating26

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 15:01 UTC

Sparta Rotterdam

2W 3D 5L · goals 17:24 · per match 1.7 for, 2.4 against

25 Oct	H	Ajax	1-2	L
17 Oct	H	Willem II	3-2	W
10 Oct	A	GO Ahead Eagles	3-3	D
19 Sep	H	Heerenveen	0-4	L
13 Sep	A	PSV Eindhoven	1-4	L
4 Sep	H	PEC Zwolle	2-2	D
29 Aug	A	Excelsior	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Utrecht	3-3	D
14 Aug	A	Telstar	3-1	W
9 Aug	H	Feyenoord	0-1	L

Fortuna Sittard

6W 2D 2L · goals 17:16 · per match 1.7 for, 1.6 against

25 Oct	H	Excelsior	1-0	W
18 Oct	A	NEC Nijmegen	2-2	D
10 Oct	H	Twente	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Genk	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Willem II	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Ajax	1-5	L
6 Sep	A	ADO Den Haag	3-2	W
28 Aug	A	Groningen	3-2	W
22 Aug	H	AZ Alkmaar	0-2	L
15 Aug	H	Cambuur	3-1	W

Head to head

6Sparta Rotterdam wins

6draws

2Fortuna Sittard wins

14 meetings · goals 22:12 · last 10: 5W 4D 1L for Sparta Rotterdam

7 Feb 2026Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Fortuna Sittard2-2Sparta Rotterdam
22 Nov 2025Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Sparta Rotterdam1-1Fortuna Sittard
29 Mar 2025Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Fortuna Sittard0-3Sparta Rotterdam
28 Sep 2024Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Sparta Rotterdam1-1Fortuna Sittard
30 Mar 2024Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Sparta Rotterdam4-0Fortuna Sittard
13 Jan 2024Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Fortuna Sittard0-2Sparta Rotterdam
3 Feb 2023Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Fortuna Sittard0-0Sparta Rotterdam
29 Oct 2022Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Sparta Rotterdam3-1Fortuna Sittard
16 Apr 2022Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Fortuna Sittard3-0Sparta Rotterdam
12 Sep 2021Eredivisie	Eredivisie	Sparta Rotterdam3-1Fortuna Sittard

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.89X25%3.64226%3.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.72 → 1.89 +9.9%X3.87 → 3.64 -5.9%24.28 → 3.61 -15.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.60	2.40	4.2%
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.57	2.21	8.9%
Pinnacle	1.55	2.23	9.4%
1xBet	1.53	2.21	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.21	10.6%
Best of all books	1.62	2.40	3.4%
Average	1.57	2.25	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.52	2.42	7.1%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betfair	1.53	2.38	7.4%
William Hill	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.51	2.39	8.1%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.35	8.8%
Best of all books	1.53	2.42	6.7%
Average	1.52	2.39	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sparta Rotterdam 50%Draw 50%Fortuna Sittard 0%

The statistical model rates Sparta Rotterdam at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Fortuna Sittard at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.89 | 3.64 | 3.61, which imply roughly 52.9% for a Sparta Rotterdam win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Sparta Rotterdam averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Fortuna Sittard averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sparta Rotterdam or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.88	3.66	3.62

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.26	1.84	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.42	2.68

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.52	2.39

1st half

1	X	2
2.39	2.33	3.97

2nd half

1	X	2
2.16	2.69	3.67

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.90	13.3	30.0
HT X	5.08	6.08	8.50
HT 2	20.4	13.8	5.98

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.58	15.3	2.41

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.6
1.5	1.16	4.62
2.5	1.57	2.25
3.5	2.41	1.52
4.5	4.20	1.19
5.5	7.83	1.06
6.5	16.8	1.02
7.5	28.2	1.01
8.5	46.0	–

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.40
1.25	1.09	5.35
1.75	1.17	3.96
2	1.23	3.47
2.25	1.40	2.60
2.75	1.67	2.01
3	1.89	1.81
3.25	2.11	1.61
3.75	2.57	1.43
4	3.07	1.31
4.25	3.58	1.21
4.75	4.85	1.11
5	6.50	1.05
5.25	6.75	1.04
5.75	8.98	1.01
6	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.78	1.37
-1	2.55	1.47
-0.75	2.09	1.64
-0.5	1.88	1.88
-0.25	1.63	2.10
0	1.41	2.63

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.87	1.02
-3	8.90	1.01
-2.75	7.00	1.06
-2.5	6.00	1.09
-2.25	5.63	1.10
-2	5.35	1.11
-1.75	3.83	1.21
-1.5	3.08	1.33
+0.25	1.32	3.02
+0.5	1.26	3.70
+0.75	1.16	4.38
+1	1.07	6.40
+1.25	1.05	6.50
+1.5	1.05	6.93
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.83	1.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.27	3.55
9.5	1.47	2.57
10.5	1.78	1.98
11.5	2.25	1.60
12.5	3.00	1.36

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