MVV vs 
Excelsior• KNVB Beker, Netherlands
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 00:00 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 6.60 | 5.00 | 1.44 | 4.6% |
| Betano | 6.20 | 4.65 | 1.44 | 7.1% |
| 1xBet | 6.26 | 4.75 | 1.41 | 7.9% |
| Marathonbet | 6.20 | 4.75 | 1.40 | 8.6% |
| BetVictor | 6.00 | 4.60 | 1.40 | 9.8% |
| William Hill | 6.00 | 4.50 | 1.40 | 10.3% |
| Betfair | 6.00 | 5.00 | 1.33 | 11.9% |
| Bet365 | 5.75 | 4.33 | 1.40 | 11.9% |
| Best of all books | 6.60 | 5.00 | 1.44 | 4.6% |
| Average | 6.13 | 4.70 | 1.40 | 8.9% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 15:01 UTC
MVV
2W 2D 6L · goals 10:30 · per match 1.0 for, 3.0 against
| 23 Oct | A | Den Bosch | 2-2 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Heracles | 1-5 | L |
| 9 Oct | A | NAC Breda | 0-1 | L |
| 3 Oct | A | FC OSS | 1-4 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Helmond Sport | 2-0 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Waalwijk | 1-6 | L |
| 11 Sep | H | Almere City FC | 0-4 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Roda | 1-1 | D |
| 28 Aug | A | Jong AZ | 2-1 | W |
| 25 Aug | A | KRC Genk II | 0-6 | L |
Excelsior
3W 2D 5L · goals 16:19 · per match 1.6 for, 1.9 against
| 25 Oct | A | Fortuna Sittard | 0-1 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Heerenveen | 0-4 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Groningen | 1-5 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Ajax | 2-2 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | Utrecht | 1-2 | L |
| 8 Sep | A | NEC Nijmegen | 2-2 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Willem II | 3-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Sparta Rotterdam | 2-1 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | PSV Eindhoven | 1-2 | L |
| 7 Aug | A | Cambuur | 4-0 | W |
Head to head
10 meetings · goals 9:20 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for MVV
| 4 Apr 2025Eerste Divisie | Eerste Divisie | MVV1-2Excelsior |
| 18 Oct 2024Eerste Divisie | Eerste Divisie | Excelsior3-2MVV |
| 19 Oct 2022KNVB Beker | KNVB Beker | Excelsior5-1MVV |
| 15 Apr 2022Eerste Divisie | Eerste Divisie | MVV1-1Excelsior |
| 10 Dec 2021Eerste Divisie | Eerste Divisie | Excelsior2-1MVV |
| 20 Feb 2021Eerste Divisie | Eerste Divisie | MVV1-0Excelsior |
| 19 Jan 2021KNVB Beker | KNVB Beker | MVV2-2Excelsior |
| 16 Oct 2020Eerste Divisie | Eerste Divisie | Excelsior2-0MVV |
| 6 Mar 2020Eerste Divisie | Eerste Divisie | Excelsior3-0MVV |
| 18 Oct 2019Eerste Divisie | Eerste Divisie | MVV0-0Excelsior |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.9% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 6.2% |
| Betano | 1.42 | 2.75 | 6.8% |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 2.88 | 8.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 2.88 | 8.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.35 | 2.74 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 2.74 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.42 | 2.88 | 5.1% |
| Average | 1.37 | 2.81 | 8.4% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.57 | 2.30 | 7.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 2.45 | 7.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 2.35 | 7.9% |
| Betano | 1.55 | 2.30 | 8.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 2.31 | 8.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 2.38 | 8.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.57 | 2.45 | 4.5% |
| Average | 1.53 | 2.35 | 7.9% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates MVV at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Excelsior at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.30 | 4.81 | 1.40, which imply roughly 20.8% for the draw versus the model's 50%.
Over their last five matches, MVV averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Excelsior averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Excelsior.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 6.13 | 4.70 | 1.40 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.74 | 1.11 | 1.15 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 4.93 | 1.15 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.53 | 2.35 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.57 | 2.67 | 1.82 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.16 | 3.11 | 1.68 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 10.8 | 16.9 | 17.8 |
| HT X | 14.1 | 8.04 | 4.39 |
| HT 2 | 43.4 | 15.9 | 1.98 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.90 | 23.5 | 1.38 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 16.1 |
| 1.5 | 1.09 | 6.10 |
| 2.5 | 1.37 | 2.81 |
| 3.5 | 1.99 | 1.76 |
| 4.5 | 3.19 | 1.30 |
| 5.5 | 5.73 | 1.11 |
| 6.5 | 11.3 | 1.04 |
| 7.5 | 23.0 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 50.5 | – |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 12.5 |
| 1.75 | 1.09 | 5.40 |
| 2 | 1.11 | 4.95 |
| 2.25 | 1.23 | 3.43 |
| 2.75 | 1.44 | 2.49 |
| 3 | 1.56 | 2.22 |
| 3.25 | 1.76 | 1.93 |
| 3.75 | 2.16 | 1.59 |
| 4 | 2.53 | 1.45 |
| 4.25 | 2.80 | 1.35 |
| 4.75 | 3.69 | 1.21 |
| 5 | 4.75 | 1.12 |
| 5.25 | 5.10 | 1.10 |
| 6 | 9.10 | – |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.5 | 2.75 | 1.42 |
| +0.75 | 2.46 | 1.47 |
| +1 | 2.18 | 1.60 |
| +1.25 | 1.88 | 1.82 |
| +1.5 | 1.71 | 2.04 |
| +1.75 | 1.54 | 2.33 |
15 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 11.0 | 1.02 |
| -1 | 9.60 | 1.01 |
| -0.5 | 6.00 | 1.12 |
| -0.25 | 5.42 | 1.11 |
| 0 | 4.87 | 1.14 |
| +0.25 | 3.34 | 1.27 |
| +2 | 1.37 | 2.74 |
| +2.25 | 1.31 | 3.07 |
| +2.5 | 1.27 | 3.32 |
| +2.75 | 1.18 | 4.12 |
| +3 | 1.10 | 5.55 |
| +3.25 | 1.09 | 5.87 |
| +3.5 | 1.07 | 6.10 |
| +4 | 1.01 | 10.0 |
| +4.5 | 1.04 | 11.0 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 1.25 | 3.70 |
| 8.5 | 1.45 | 2.60 |
| 9.5 | 1.74 | 2.00 |
| 10 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| 10.5 | 2.27 | 1.60 |
| 11.5 | 3.05 | 1.35 |
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