Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.• CONMEBOL Libertadores, World

#11.2:0.600:30Tomorrow · Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro1.2:0.4#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.40B365X4.761XB29.601XBMargin at best2.9%Books6Markets85Rating56 · 45Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 00:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.37	4.76	9.60	4.4%
Bet365	1.40	4.33	8.50	6.3%
Pinnacle	1.37	4.52	8.91	6.3%
Marathonbet	1.34	4.55	9.20	7.5%
William Hill	1.36	4.33	8.50	8.4%
BetVictor	1.36	4.10	8.50	9.7%
Best of all books	1.40	4.76	9.60	2.9%
Average	1.37	4.43	8.87	7.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FlamengoEstudiantes L.P.

Last 10#1Table position#22.67Points per game1.5011Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 51.20.6Goals against · last 50.450Attack rating5040Defence rating6050Form rating5075H2H rating2556Goals model4456Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 20 Oct 00:01 UTC

Flamengo

7W 3D 0L · goals 16:5 · per match 1.6 for, 0.5 against

18 Oct	A	Bahia	3-0	W
16 Oct	A	Estudiantes L.P.	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Fluminense	1-0	W
8 Oct	A	Santos	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	RB Bragantino	2-1	W
18 Sep	H	Independiente del Valle	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Corinthians	2-1	W
11 Sep	A	Independiente del Valle	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Remo	1-0	W
2 Sep	H	Mirassol	2-0	W

Estudiantes L.P.

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

18 Oct	H	San Lorenzo	1-2	L
16 Oct	H	Flamengo	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Central Cordoba de Santiago	2-2	D
5 Oct	H	Gimnasia M.	3-0	W
2 Oct	A	Platense	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Rosario Central	1-3	L
22 Sep	A	Lanus	1-2	L
17 Sep	A	Corinthians	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Platense	2-1	W
10 Sep	H	Corinthians	1-1	D

Head to head

2Flamengo wins

2draws

1Estudiantes L.P. wins

5 meetings · goals 4:3 · last 5: 2W 2D 1L for Flamengo

16 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores	CONMEBOL Libertadores	Estudiantes L.P.0-0Flamengo
21 May 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores	CONMEBOL Libertadores	Flamengo1-0Estudiantes L.P.
30 Apr 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores	CONMEBOL Libertadores	Estudiantes L.P.1-1Flamengo
26 Sep 2025CONMEBOL Libertadores	CONMEBOL Libertadores	Estudiantes L.P.1-0Flamengo
19 Sep 2025CONMEBOL Libertadores	CONMEBOL Libertadores	Flamengo2-1Estudiantes L.P.

CONMEBOL Libertadores tableGroup Aupdated 22 Oct 02:30 UTC

In the CONMEBOL Libertadores table, Flamengo sit 1st with 16 points from 6 games, while Estudiantes L.P. are 2nd with 9 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	6	5	1	0	14:2	+12	16
2	Estudiantes L.P.	6	2	3	1	6:5	+1	9
3	Independiente Medellin	6	2	1	3	6:11	-5	7
4	Cusco	6	0	1	5	4:12	-8	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg168%1.37X21%4.43211%8.87

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.39 → 1.37 -1.4%X4.31 → 4.43 +2.8%28.33 → 8.87 +6.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.09	1.77	4.3%
Pinnacle	2.08	1.75	5.2%
Bet365	2.08	1.73	5.9%
Marathonbet	2.04	1.73	6.8%
BetVictor	1.99	1.70	9.1%
Best of all books	2.09	1.77	4.3%
Average	2.06	1.74	6.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
1xBet	2.43	1.50	7.8%
William Hill	2.30	1.55	8.0%
BetVictor	2.40	1.50	8.3%
Marathonbet	2.43	1.48	8.7%
Best of all books	2.43	1.55	5.7%
Average	2.39	1.51	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Flamengo 45%Draw 45%Estudiantes L.P. 10%

The statistical model rates Flamengo at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Estudiantes L.P. at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.37 | 4.43 | 8.87, which imply roughly 73% for a Flamengo win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the CONMEBOL Libertadores table: Flamengo are 1st (16 pts, 14-2 goals), Estudiantes L.P. 2nd (9 pts, 6-5).

Over their last five matches, Flamengo averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Estudiantes L.P. averaged 1.2 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Flamengo or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.37	4.43	8.87

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	2.95	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.10	6.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.39	1.51

1st half

1	X	2
1.86	2.27	8.55

2nd half

1	X	2
1.71	2.56	7.63

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.93	21.7	70.7
HT X	3.70	5.83	18.1
HT 2	28.7	23.7	17.1

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.32	9.63	4.03

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.30
1.5	1.31	3.12
2.5	2.06	1.74
3.5	3.65	1.24
4.5	7.65	1.05
5.5	16.8	1.02
6.5	34.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.60
1	1.02	7.80
1.25	1.15	4.20
1.75	1.40	2.70
2	1.53	2.33
2.25	1.80	1.96
2.75	2.32	1.54
3	2.86	1.33
3.25	3.20	1.26
3.75	4.50	1.13
4	6.40	1.05
4.25	6.85	1.04
5	13.0	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.56	1.48
-1.5	2.16	1.65
-1.25	1.90	1.88
-1	1.60	2.26
-0.75	1.44	2.60
-0.5	1.38	2.99

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4	17.0	1.01
-3.5	8.50	1.01
-3.25	7.98	1.02
-3	7.50	1.03
-2.75	5.20	1.12
-2.5	4.00	1.19
-2.25	3.65	1.24
-2	3.22	1.30
-0.25	1.21	4.00
0	1.06	6.83
+0.25	1.06	7.07
+0.5	1.10	7.00

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.92	1.78

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.07	5.65
6.5	1.17	3.79
7.5	1.37	2.68
8.5	1.69	2.05
9.5	2.15	1.61
10.5	2.77	1.34
11.5	3.69	1.18
12.5	5.08	1.09
13.5	6.86	1.03

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.09	4.60
6.75	1.15	3.78
7	1.22	3.17
7.25	1.27	3.06
7.75	1.38	2.60
8	1.50	2.38
8.25	1.56	2.21
8.75	1.75	1.92
9	1.95	1.83
9.25	1.98	1.70
9.75	2.25	1.50
10	2.55	1.44
10.25	2.64	1.36
11	3.20	1.21
12	4.32	1.11
13	5.52	1.05

Latest CONMEBOL Libertadores results

22 Oct	Palmeiras 0-1 Fluminense
16 Oct	Estudiantes L.P. 0-0 Flamengo
15 Oct	Fluminense 1-2 Palmeiras