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Palmeiras vs Fluminense• CONMEBOL Libertadores, World

1.6:1.00-1FTToday · Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo1.2:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.741XBX3.60B36526.23PINMargin at best1.3%Books6Markets84Rating61 · 40Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 21 Oct 20:03 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.743.385.884.1%
Pinnacle1.693.436.234.4%
BetVictor1.673.605.755.0%
Bet3651.653.605.755.8%
Marathonbet1.683.285.707.6%
William Hill1.673.205.509.3%
Best of all books1.743.606.231.3%
Average1.683.415.805.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PalmeirasFluminense
Last 1012Form pts · last 561.6Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 51.057Attack rating4350Defence rating5061Form rating3971H2H rating2967Goals model3361Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 03:30 UTC

Palmeiras

6W 2D 2L · goals 14:6 · per match 1.4 for, 0.6 against

22 OctHFluminense0-1L
17 OctAAtletico Paranaense2-0W
15 OctAFluminense2-1W
11 OctHCorinthians4-1W
9 OctHBahia1-0W
20 SepAGremio0-0D
16 SepALDU de Quito2-3L
12 SepHSao Paulo2-0W
9 SepHLDU de Quito1-0W
6 SepABotafogo0-0D

Fluminense

5W 0D 5L · goals 15:11 · per match 1.5 for, 1.1 against

22 OctAPalmeiras1-0W
18 OctHSantos1-2L
15 OctHPalmeiras1-2L
11 OctAFlamengo0-1L
9 OctHCoritiba4-0W
20 SepACorinthians3-1W
15 SepAPlatense1-2L
12 SepAAtletico-MG1-3L
8 SepHPlatense2-0W
6 SepHVasco DA Gama1-0W

Head to head

14Palmeiras wins
5draws
14Fluminense wins

33 meetings · goals 42:34 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Palmeiras

15 Oct 2026CONMEBOL LibertadoresCONMEBOL LibertadoresFluminense1-2Palmeiras
15 Aug 2026Serie ASerie AFluminense3-2Palmeiras
26 Feb 2026Serie ASerie APalmeiras2-1Fluminense
23 Nov 2025Serie ASerie APalmeiras0-0Fluminense
23 Jul 2025Serie ASerie AFluminense1-2Palmeiras
8 Dec 2024Serie ASerie APalmeiras0-1Fluminense
25 Jul 2024Serie ASerie AFluminense1-0Palmeiras
3 Dec 2023Serie ASerie APalmeiras1-0Fluminense
6 Aug 2023Serie ASerie AFluminense2-1Palmeiras
27 Aug 2022Serie ASerie AFluminense1-1Palmeiras

CONMEBOL Libertadores tableGroup Aupdated 22 Oct 02:30 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Flamengo651014:2+1216
2Estudiantes L.P.62316:5+19
3Independiente Medellin62136:11-57
4Cusco60154:12-81

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.69X28%3.41216%5.78

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

19 Oct 00:0021 Oct 22:301 1.68X 3.412 5.80
11.91 → 1.68 -12.0%X3.42 → 3.41 -0.3%23.91 → 5.80 +48.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.371.614.3%
Pinnacle2.341.624.5%
Marathonbet2.311.577.0%
Bet3652.401.537.0%
BetVictor2.241.559.2%
Best of all books2.401.623.4%
Average2.331.586.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.201.627.2%
William Hill2.201.627.2%
1xBet2.181.618.0%
BetVictor2.251.578.1%
Marathonbet2.181.598.8%
Best of all books2.251.626.2%
Average2.201.607.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Palmeiras 45%Draw 45%Fluminense 10%

The statistical model rated Palmeiras at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Fluminense at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.69 | 3.41 | 5.78, which imply roughly 59.2% for a Palmeiras win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Palmeiras averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Fluminense averaged 1.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Palmeiras or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Palmeiras

3-4-2-1

Coach: Abel Ferreira

Goalkeeper

  • 1Carlos Miguel

Defence

  • 26Murilo
  • 15G. Gómez
  • 2A. Barboza

Midfield

  • 4A. Giay
  • 30Lucas Evangelista
  • 17Marlon Freitas
  • 22J. Piquerez
  • 11J. Arias
  • 8Andreas Pereira

Attack

  • 42J. López
Substitutes (12)
  • 14Marcelo Lomba
  • 7Felipe Anderson
  • 18Maurício
  • 32E. Martínez
  • 50Luis Felipe
  • 43Benedetti
  • 10Paulinho
  • 56Arthur
  • 12Khellven
  • 19R. Sosa
  • 48Larson
  • 3Bruno Fuchs

Fluminense

4-2-3-1

Coach: Marcão

Goalkeeper

  • 1Fábio

Defence

  • 23Guga
  • 3Thiago Silva
  • 29J. Millán
  • 13Guilherme Arana

Midfield

  • 35Hércules
  • 16Nonato
  • 17A. Canobbio
  • 10PH Ganso
  • 11J. Savarino

Attack

  • 7Hulk
Substitutes (12)
  • 14G. Cano
  • 19R. Castillo
  • 94Otávio
  • 21Igor Rabello
  • 6Renê
  • 90K. Serna
  • 30Y. Soteldo
  • 2Samuel Xavier
  • 4Ignacio
  • 34Wesley Nata
  • 98Vitor Eudes
  • 32L. Acosta

Match Statistics

PalmeirasFluminense
0.64Expected Goals0.24
480Passes accurate448
6Shots insidebox2
6Shots outsidebox2
4Blocked Shots2
12Free Kicks10
1Shots on Goal2
1Goalkeeper Saves1
7Shots off Goal0
2Offsides0
544Total passes524
12Total Shots4
2Yellow Cards1
2Corner Kicks4
11Fouls13
0Red Cards0
54%Ball Possession46%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.683.415.80

Double chance

1XX212
1.142.061.29

Draw no bet

12
1.223.88

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.201.60

1st half

1X2
2.342.025.90

2nd half

1X2
2.082.335.11

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.6816.748.3
HT X4.204.5310.3
HT 229.317.89.82

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.536.883.26

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.077.07
1.51.422.65
2.52.331.58
3.54.281.18
4.59.031.03
5.522.01.01
6.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.075.75
11.105.15
1.251.253.28
1.751.522.34
21.712.02
2.252.021.76
2.752.611.43
33.341.25
3.253.681.20
3.755.051.10
47.101.04
4.257.401.03
514.01.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.53.041.37
-1.252.611.45
-12.251.61
-0.751.851.89
-0.51.652.18
-0.251.422.66
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.515.51.01
-317.01.01
-2.757.301.03
-2.55.971.09
-2.255.531.10
-25.181.12
-1.753.851.25
01.223.88
+0.251.164.68
+0.51.175.26
+0.751.066.80
+11.0110.3
+1.251.028.00
+1.51.0110.6

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
5.51.781.92
6.52.101.67

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.036.98
6.51.114.67
7.51.243.20
8.51.472.42
9.51.821.92
10.52.301.52
11.52.941.28
12.54.041.15
13.55.491.07
14.55.601.04
17 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.055.49
71.133.95
7.751.253.18
81.312.88
8.251.362.64
8.751.522.30
91.622.17
9.251.742.02
9.751.961.79
102.051.72
10.252.151.54
10.752.511.40
112.671.36
11.252.881.26
123.451.18
134.551.09
145.591.04

Next CONMEBOL Libertadores matches

23 OctFlamengo – Estudiantes L.P.

All CONMEBOL Libertadores fixtures and the table

Latest CONMEBOL Libertadores results

16 OctEstudiantes L.P. 0-0 Flamengo
15 OctFluminense 1-2 Palmeiras