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Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo• CONMEBOL Libertadores, World

#21.4:0.40-0FTToday · Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata1.8:0.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.31PINX3.10B36522.20BTNMargin at best0.9%Books10Markets79Rating40 · 61Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 20:04 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano4.153.102.182.2%
Pinnacle4.142.922.203.9%
1xBet4.113.002.154.2%
Dafabet4.012.902.234.3%
BetVictor4.003.002.106.0%
Bet3653.753.002.156.5%
Betfair4.002.882.107.3%
Marathonbet3.982.912.087.6%
William Hill3.802.802.158.5%
SBO3.562.822.1011.2%
Best of all books4.153.102.231.2%
Average3.952.932.146.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo
Last 10#2Table position#11.50Points per game2.675Form pts · last 591.4Goals for · last 51.80.4Goals against · last 50.644Attack rating5660Defence rating4050Form rating5020H2H rating8025Goals model7540Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 16:03 UTC

Estudiantes L.P.

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:11 · per match 1.1 for, 1.1 against

16 OctHFlamengo0-0D
10 OctACentral Cordoba de Santiago2-2D
5 OctHGimnasia M.3-0W
2 OctAPlatense0-1L
26 SepHRosario Central1-3L
22 SepALanus1-2L
17 SepACorinthians1-0W
12 SepHPlatense2-1W
10 SepHCorinthians1-1D
6 SepAVelez Sarsfield0-1L

Flamengo

7W 3D 0L · goals 16:5 · per match 1.6 for, 0.5 against

16 OctAEstudiantes L.P.0-0D
11 OctHFluminense1-0W
8 OctASantos2-2D
20 SepHRB Bragantino2-1W
18 SepHIndependiente del Valle1-1D
13 SepHCorinthians2-1W
11 SepAIndependiente del Valle2-0W
6 SepARemo1-0W
2 SepHMirassol2-0W
30 AugHBotafogo3-0W

Head to head

1Estudiantes L.P. wins
1draws
2Flamengo wins

4 meetings · goals 3:4 · last 4: 1W 1D 2L for Estudiantes L.P.

21 May 2026CONMEBOL LibertadoresCONMEBOL LibertadoresFlamengo1-0Estudiantes L.P.
30 Apr 2026CONMEBOL LibertadoresCONMEBOL LibertadoresEstudiantes L.P.1-1Flamengo
26 Sep 2025CONMEBOL LibertadoresCONMEBOL LibertadoresEstudiantes L.P.1-0Flamengo
19 Sep 2025CONMEBOL LibertadoresCONMEBOL LibertadoresFlamengo2-1Estudiantes L.P.

CONMEBOL Libertadores tableGroup Aupdated 15 Oct 05:00 UTC

In the CONMEBOL Libertadores table, Estudiantes L.P. sit 2nd with 9 points from 6 games, while Flamengo are 1st with 16 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Flamengo651014:2+1216
2Estudiantes L.P.62316:5+19
3Independiente Medellin62136:11-57
4Cusco60154:12-81

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg123%4.08X32%2.98245%2.09

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

10 Oct 00:0115 Oct 19:101 3.99X 2.952 2.12
13.40 → 3.99 +17.4%X2.98 → 2.95 -1.0%22.22 → 2.12 -4.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano2.771.474.1%
Betfair2.881.444.2%
Pinnacle2.981.405.0%
Bet3652.701.446.5%
BetVictor2.801.407.1%
1xBet2.591.3910.6%
Marathonbet2.591.3910.6%
Best of all books2.981.471.6%
Average2.761.426.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.151.676.4%
Betano2.221.626.8%
William Hill2.251.606.9%
Bet3652.381.537.4%
1xBet2.241.587.9%
Marathonbet2.241.568.7%
BetVictor2.301.538.8%
Best of all books2.381.671.9%
Average2.251.587.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Estudiantes L.P. 10%Draw 45%Flamengo 45%

The statistical model rated Estudiantes L.P. at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Flamengo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.08 | 2.98 | 2.09, which imply roughly 33.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the CONMEBOL Libertadores table: Estudiantes L.P. are 2nd (9 pts, 6-5 goals), Flamengo 1st (16 pts, 14-2).

Over their last five matches, Estudiantes L.P. averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Flamengo averaged 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Flamengo and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Estudiantes L.P.

4-2-3-1

Coach: Alexander Medina

Goalkeeper

  • 16F. Muslera

Defence

  • 40E. Mancuso
  • 4S. Núñez
  • 26R. Funes Mori
  • 13G. Benedetti

Midfield

  • 21Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
  • 22A. Castro
  • 31B. Gallego
  • 10T. Palacios
  • 17J. Burgos

Attack

  • 9G. Carrillo
Substitutes (12)
  • 27L. Alario
  • 28B. Aguirre
  • 15S. Arzamendia
  • 18E. Cetré
  • 32J. Correa
  • 3Máximo Desábato
  • 19A. Gaich
  • 1F. Iacovich
  • 52B. Kociubinski
  • 34M. Monsalve
  • 29F. Pérez Escudero
  • 7J. Sosa

Flamengo

4-2-3-1

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Goalkeeper

  • 1A. Rossi

Defence

  • 22Emerson Royal
  • 3Léo Ortiz
  • 4Léo Pereira
  • 26Alex Sandro

Midfield

  • 5E. Pulgar
  • 8Saúl
  • 15J. Carrascal
  • 11Lucas Paquetá
  • 16Samuel Lino

Attack

  • 27Bruno Henrique
Substitutes (12)
  • 61João Victor Cunha
  • 7Luiz Araújo
  • 42Andrew
  • 44Vitão
  • 2G. Varela
  • 14A. Valencia
  • 19G. Plata
  • 77Johnny Góes
  • 30J. Freitas
  • 49Dyogo
  • 9Pedro
  • 18N. de la Cruz

Match Statistics

Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo
1.13Expected Goals0.18
273Passes accurate361
16Shots insidebox3
5Shots outsidebox2
6Blocked Shots1
14Free Kicks14
6Shots on Goal0
9Shots off Goal4
367Total passes458
21Total Shots5
2Yellow Cards3
6Corner Kicks4
0Goalkeeper Saves6
14Fouls14
0Red Cards0
45%Ball Possession55%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.952.932.14

Double chance

1XX212
1.701.241.37

Draw no bet

12
2.661.43

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.251.58

1st half

1X2
4.791.842.88

2nd half

1X2
4.192.122.51

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 16.8015.633.4
HT X7.793.904.82
HT 246.114.93.46

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.645.701.80

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.116.00
1.51.582.34
2.52.761.42
3.55.671.12
4.511.71.03
5.525.01.01
6.550.5–
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.124.86
11.154.30
1.251.392.88
1.751.772.01
22.071.71
2.252.391.51
2.753.141.27
34.301.14
3.254.701.12
3.757.751.06
410.21.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.253.301.31
02.701.45
+0.252.011.76
+0.51.722.12
+0.751.482.47
+11.293.39
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.59.331.02
-1.258.481.01
-18.001.02
-0.755.031.14
-0.53.831.27
+1.251.223.86
+1.51.174.43
+1.751.105.50
+21.028.00
+2.51.029.13

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.039.75
2.51.115.90
3.51.273.55
4.51.552.37
5.52.001.74
6.52.751.42
7.53.901.23
8.55.501.12
9.57.701.06
10.59.251.04

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0112.5
4.51.0210.6
5.51.066.91
6.51.174.30
7.51.362.87
8.51.672.08
9.52.131.64
10.52.871.36
11.54.001.19
12.55.641.10
13.58.051.04
14.510.51.02
15.511.51.02
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.442.43
81.552.37
8.251.622.11
8.751.831.83
91.921.86
9.252.111.63
9.752.461.47
102.641.45
10.252.881.34
10.753.341.24
11.254.161.18