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Fluminense vs Palmeiras• CONMEBOL Libertadores, World

1.6:0.81-2FT15/10 · Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro2.0:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.11PINX3.10B36522.85PINMargin6.3%Books10Markets83Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 20:04 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano3.003.002.822.1%
Pinnacle3.112.742.853.7%
1xBet2.952.952.754.2%
Dafabet2.853.052.754.2%
Bet3652.883.102.625.1%
BetVictor2.902.882.755.6%
Marathonbet2.862.862.667.5%
Betfair2.882.752.708.1%
William Hill2.902.702.629.7%
SBO2.642.812.5213.1%
Best of all books3.113.102.85-0.5%
Average2.902.882.706.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FluminensePalmeiras
Last 106Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 52.00.8Goals against · last 51.044Attack rating5656Defence rating4448Form rating5250H2H rating5046Goals model5449Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 10:30 UTC

Fluminense

5W 1D 4L · goals 18:13 · per match 1.8 for, 1.3 against

15 OctHPalmeiras1-2L
11 OctAFlamengo0-1L
9 OctHCoritiba4-0W
20 SepACorinthians3-1W
15 SepAPlatense1-2L
12 SepAAtletico-MG1-3L
8 SepHPlatense2-0W
6 SepHVasco DA Gama1-0W
30 AugAAtletico Paranaense3-3D
22 AugHRemo2-1W

Palmeiras

5W 4D 1L · goals 13:6 · per match 1.3 for, 0.6 against

15 OctAFluminense2-1W
11 OctHCorinthians4-1W
9 OctHBahia1-0W
20 SepAGremio0-0D
16 SepALDU de Quito2-3L
12 SepHSao Paulo2-0W
9 SepHLDU de Quito1-0W
6 SepABotafogo0-0D
3 SepASantos0-0D
30 AugAMirassol1-1D

Head to head

14Fluminense wins
5draws
13Palmeiras wins

32 meetings · goals 33:40 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Fluminense

15 Aug 2026Serie ASerie AFluminense3-2Palmeiras
26 Feb 2026Serie ASerie APalmeiras2-1Fluminense
23 Nov 2025Serie ASerie APalmeiras0-0Fluminense
23 Jul 2025Serie ASerie AFluminense1-2Palmeiras
8 Dec 2024Serie ASerie APalmeiras0-1Fluminense
25 Jul 2024Serie ASerie AFluminense1-0Palmeiras
3 Dec 2023Serie ASerie APalmeiras1-0Fluminense
6 Aug 2023Serie ASerie AFluminense2-1Palmeiras
27 Aug 2022Serie ASerie AFluminense1-1Palmeiras
8 May 2022Serie ASerie APalmeiras1-1Fluminense

CONMEBOL Libertadores tableGroup Aupdated 15 Oct 05:00 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Flamengo651014:2+1216
2Estudiantes L.P.62316:5+19
3Independiente Medellin62136:11-57
4Cusco60154:12-81

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.93X33%2.86235%2.69

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

10 Oct 00:0114 Oct 22:101 2.90X 2.882 2.70
12.85 → 2.90 +1.8%X2.85 → 2.88 +1.1%22.64 → 2.70 +2.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano2.701.503.7%
Pinnacle2.811.464.1%
1xBet2.501.564.1%
Bet3652.601.486.0%
Betfair2.701.446.5%
BetVictor2.441.479.0%
Marathonbet2.351.4710.6%
Best of all books2.811.56-0.3%
Average2.591.486.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair2.101.735.4%
Betano2.121.677.1%
Bet3652.101.677.5%
William Hill2.001.737.8%
1xBet2.011.727.9%
Marathonbet2.011.708.6%
BetVictor2.051.678.7%
Best of all books2.121.735.0%
Average2.061.707.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fluminense 33%Draw 33%Palmeiras 33%

The statistical model rated Fluminense at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and Palmeiras at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.93 | 2.86 | 2.69, which imply roughly 34.1% for a Fluminense win versus the model's 33%.

Over their last five matches, Fluminense averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Palmeiras averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: No predictions available.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Fluminense

4-2-3-1

Coach: Marcão

Goalkeeper

  • 1Fábio

Defence

  • 23Guga
  • 3Thiago Silva
  • 29J. Millán
  • 13Guilherme Arana

Midfield

  • 16Nonato
  • 8Martinelli
  • 17A. Canobbio
  • 10PH Ganso
  • 11J. Savarino

Attack

  • 7Hulk
Substitutes (12)
  • 19R. Castillo
  • 32L. Acosta
  • 94Otávio
  • 35Hércules
  • 21Igor Rabello
  • 44Jemmes
  • 6Renê
  • 90K. Serna
  • 30Y. Soteldo
  • 2Samuel Xavier
  • 27Marcelo
  • 34Wesley Nata

Palmeiras

3-4-2-1

Coach: Abel Ferreira

Goalkeeper

  • 1Carlos Miguel

Defence

  • 26Murilo
  • 15G. Gómez
  • 2A. Barboza

Midfield

  • 4A. Giay
  • 8Andreas Pereira
  • 17Marlon Freitas
  • 22J. Piquerez
  • 11J. Arias
  • 30Lucas Evangelista

Attack

  • 42J. López
Substitutes (12)
  • 7Felipe Anderson
  • 14Marcelo Lomba
  • 18Maurício
  • 32E. Martínez
  • 50Luis Felipe
  • 10Paulinho
  • 56Arthur
  • 12Khellven
  • 19R. Sosa
  • 48Larson
  • 39Heittor
  • 3Bruno Fuchs

Match Statistics

FluminensePalmeiras
0.52Expected Goals1.19
731Passes accurate280
5Shots insidebox6
6Shots outsidebox1
2Blocked Shots0
14Free Kicks9
3Shots on Goal5
3Goalkeeper Saves2
6Shots off Goal2
2Offsides2
810Total passes353
11Total Shots7
1Yellow Cards3
6Corner Kicks0
9Fouls15
0Red Cards0
70%Ball Possession30%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.902.882.70

Double chance

1XX212
1.441.401.38

Draw no bet

12
1.931.81

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.061.70

1st half

1X2
3.651.873.44

2nd half

1X2
3.212.153.03

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.7714.537.8
HT X6.073.965.83
HT 237.614.74.42

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.146.302.07

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.106.26
1.51.512.49
2.52.591.48
3.55.171.14
4.510.61.04
5.520.51.01
11 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.095.52
11.114.95
1.251.343.07
1.751.652.18
21.911.84
2.252.221.63
2.752.831.33
33.721.20
3.254.111.16
3.755.751.07
48.501.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.861.41
-0.252.401.55
01.971.83
+0.251.622.21
+0.51.472.68
+0.751.303.28
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.513.01.01
-211.51.01
-1.758.281.02
-1.56.431.08
-1.255.731.10
-15.541.12
-0.753.581.25
+11.154.84
+1.251.125.23
+1.51.095.88
+1.751.038.28
+21.0111.5
+2.51.0113.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.086.90
3.51.204.20
4.51.422.75
5.51.791.93
6.52.351.55
7.53.201.32
8.54.501.18
9.56.301.10
10.58.501.05

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0211.9
5.51.047.50
6.51.115.01
7.51.253.34
8.51.482.43
9.51.841.88
10.52.351.52
11.53.101.29
12.54.281.15
13.55.931.08
14.57.321.04
15.510.51.02
16.511.81.02
17 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.055.42
71.143.87
7.751.263.12
81.322.83
8.251.372.61
8.751.542.25
91.642.13
9.251.762.00
9.751.941.73
102.111.66
10.252.201.53
10.752.541.39
112.721.34
11.252.951.25
123.521.17
134.621.09
145.651.04