Papua New Guinea vs 
Solomon Islands• Friendlies, World
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 16:15 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.45 | 7.3% |
| 1xBet | 2.69 | 3.12 | 2.54 | 8.6% |
| Marathonbet | 2.72 | 3.12 | 2.51 | 8.7% |
| Betano | 2.77 | 3.05 | 2.50 | 8.9% |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.45 | 11.2% |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 2.90 | 2.45 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.54 | 5.9% |
| Average | 2.73 | 3.07 | 2.48 | 9.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Sep 00:51 UTC
Papua New Guinea
4W 2D 4L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against
| 27 Sep | A | Fiji | 0-2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | New Caledonia | 1-2 | L |
| 23 Nov | H | Vanuatu | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Nov | H | Fiji | 2-0 | W |
| 13 Nov | H | Solomon Islands | 1-0 | W |
| 21 Dec | A | Vanuatu | 2-1 | W |
| 17 Nov | H | Solomon Islands | 1-2 | L |
| 14 Nov | H | Fiji | 3-3 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | New Caledonia | 1-3 | L |
| 22 Jun | A | Samoa | 2-1 | W |
Solomon Islands
2W 2D 6L · goals 16:28 · per match 1.6 for, 2.8 against
| 24 Sep | H | Vanuatu | 3-3 | D |
| 21 Sep | A | New Caledonia | 2-0 | W |
| 30 Mar | A | St. Kitts and Nevis | 2-4 | L |
| 27 Mar | H | Bulgaria | 2-10 | L |
| 22 Nov | A | Fiji | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Nov | A | Vanuatu | 1-2 | L |
| 13 Nov | A | Papua New Guinea | 0-1 | L |
| 21 Dec | H | Fiji | 1-3 | L |
| 17 Nov | A | Papua New Guinea | 2-1 | W |
| 14 Nov | H | New Caledonia | 2-3 | L |
Head to head
7 meetings · goals 10:14 · last 7: 2W 0D 5L for Papua New Guinea
| 13 Nov 2025Friendlies | Friendlies | Papua New Guinea1-0Solomon Islands |
| 17 Nov 2024World Cup - Qualification Oceania | World Cup - Qualification Oceania | Papua New Guinea1-2Solomon Islands |
| 8 Oct 2023Friendlies | Friendlies | Papua New Guinea1-3Solomon Islands |
| 27 Mar 2022World Cup - Qualification Oceania | World Cup - Qualification Oceania | Solomon Islands3-2Papua New Guinea |
| 13 Jun 2017World Cup - Qualification Oceania | World Cup - Qualification Oceania | Papua New Guinea1-2Solomon Islands |
| 9 Jun 2017World Cup - Qualification Oceania | World Cup - Qualification Oceania | Solomon Islands3-2Papua New Guinea |
| 8 Jun 2016OFC Nations Cup | OFC Nations Cup | Papua New Guinea2-1Solomon Islands |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 6.4% |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 1.67 | 6.4% |
| 1xBet | 2.06 | 1.70 | 7.4% |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 1.70 | 7.4% |
| Betano | 2.02 | 1.62 | 11.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.15 | 1.70 | 5.3% |
| Average | 2.09 | 1.67 | 7.7% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.87 | 1.90 | 6.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 1.93 | 8.0% |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 1.85 | 8.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 1.90 | 8.8% |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 9.3% |
| Betano | 1.75 | 1.85 | 11.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.87 | 1.93 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.81 | 1.88 | 8.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Papua New Guinea at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Solomon Islands at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.80 | 3.21 | 2.36, which imply roughly 31.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Papua New Guinea averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Solomon Islands averaged 2.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Solomon Islands.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Match Statistics
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.73 | 3.07 | 2.48 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.49 | 1.40 | 1.33 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.93 | 1.75 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.81 | 1.88 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.43 | 2.00 | 3.15 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.05 | 8.50 | 1.96 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 7.92 |
| 1.5 | 1.33 | 2.95 |
| 2.5 | 2.09 | 1.67 |
| 3.5 | 3.66 | 1.23 |
| 4.5 | 7.40 | 1.06 |
| 5.5 | 17.0 | 1.02 |
| 6.5 | 41.0 | – |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.02 | 7.80 |
| 1 | 1.04 | 7.10 |
| 1.25 | 1.16 | 4.05 |
| 1.75 | 1.38 | 2.63 |
| 2 | 1.51 | 2.27 |
| 2.25 | 1.80 | 1.89 |
| 2.75 | 2.32 | 1.50 |
| 3 | 2.89 | 1.32 |
| 3.25 | 3.20 | 1.26 |
| 3.75 | 4.55 | 1.13 |
| 4 | 6.50 | 1.05 |
| 4.25 | 6.90 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.75 | 1.42 |
| -0.25 | 2.29 | 1.56 |
| 0 | 1.95 | 1.80 |
| +0.25 | 1.63 | 2.11 |
| +0.5 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| +0.75 | 1.32 | 3.01 |
12 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12.0 | 1.02 |
| -1.75 | 7.88 | 1.02 |
| -1.5 | 5.91 | 1.09 |
| -1.25 | 5.38 | 1.11 |
| -1 | 4.85 | 1.13 |
| -0.75 | 3.31 | 1.27 |
| +1 | 1.17 | 4.27 |
| +1.25 | 1.14 | 4.73 |
| +1.5 | 1.12 | 5.26 |
| +1.75 | 1.06 | 7.25 |
| +2 | 1.01 | 9.70 |
| +2.5 | 1.03 | 10.0 |
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