USA vs 
Canada• Friendlies, World
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 5 Oct 00:09 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.70 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.70 | 9.1% |
| Average | 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.70 | 9.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 01:21 UTC
USA
7W 0D 3L · goals 26:15 · per match 2.6 for, 1.5 against
| 4 Oct | H | Mexico | 3-0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Chile | 4-2 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Peru | 4-1 | W |
| 7 Jul | H | Belgium | 1-4 | L |
| 2 Jul | H | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 2-0 | W |
| 26 Jun | A | Türkiye | 2-3 | L |
| 19 Jun | H | Australia | 2-0 | W |
| 13 Jun | H | Paraguay | 4-1 | W |
| 6 Jun | H | Germany | 1-2 | L |
| 31 May | H | Senegal | 3-2 | W |
Canada
5W 3D 2L · goals 15:7 · per match 1.5 for, 0.7 against
| 3 Oct | H | Peru | 2-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Chile | 1-0 | W |
| 4 Jul | H | Morocco | 0-3 | L |
| 28 Jun | A | South Africa | 1-0 | W |
| 24 Jun | A | Switzerland | 1-2 | L |
| 18 Jun | H | Qatar | 6-0 | W |
| 12 Jun | H | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Jun | H | Rep. Of Ireland | 1-1 | D |
| 2 Jun | H | Uzbekistan | 2-0 | W |
| 31 Mar | H | Tunisia | 0-0 | D |
Head to head
9 meetings · goals 12:12 · last 9: 3W 2D 4L for USA
| 22 Mar 2025CONCACAF Nations League | CONCACAF Nations League | Canada2-1USA |
| 7 Sep 2024Friendlies | Friendlies | USA1-2Canada |
| 9 Jul 2023CONCACAF Gold Cup | CONCACAF Gold Cup | USA2-2Canada |
| 19 Jun 2023CONCACAF Nations League | CONCACAF Nations League | Canada0-2USA |
| 30 Jan 2022World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Canada2-0USA |
| 6 Sep 2021World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | USA1-1Canada |
| 18 Jul 2021CONCACAF Gold Cup | CONCACAF Gold Cup | USA1-0Canada |
| 16 Nov 2019CONCACAF Nations League | CONCACAF Nations League | USA4-1Canada |
| 15 Oct 2019CONCACAF Nations League | CONCACAF Nations League | Canada2-0USA |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 5.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.80 | 2.00 | 5.6% |
| Average | 1.80 | 2.00 | 5.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 2.10 | 7.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.67 | 2.10 | 7.5% |
| Average | 1.67 | 2.10 | 7.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated USA at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Canada at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.75 | 3.77 | 3.97, which imply roughly 26.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, USA averaged 3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Canada averaged 1.2 scored and 0.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Canada.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Match Statistics
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.28 | 1.91 | 1.30 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.40 | 2.75 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.67 | 2.10 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | 2.30 | 4.00 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.67 | 12.0 | 2.30 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 12.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.22 | 4.00 |
| 2.5 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 3.5 | 2.75 | 1.40 |
| 4.5 | 5.50 | 1.14 |
| 5.5 | 11.0 | 1.05 |
| 6.5 | 23.0 | 1.01 |
| 7.5 | 51.0 | – |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.25 | 3.00 | 1.38 |
| -1 | 2.68 | 1.45 |
| -0.75 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| -0.5 | 1.92 | 1.88 |
| -0.25 | 1.68 | 2.15 |
| 0 | 1.42 | 2.75 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.25 | 6.60 | 1.11 |
| -2 | 6.25 | 1.12 |
| -1.75 | 4.25 | 1.21 |
| -1.5 | 3.45 | 1.30 |
| +0.25 | 1.32 | 3.30 |
| +0.5 | 1.26 | 3.70 |
| +0.75 | 1.18 | 4.65 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| 9 | 1.95 | 1.85 |