Mexico vs Chile• Friendlies, World

1.6:1.20-2FTToday · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles1.3:2.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.641XBX4.19PIN25.901XBMargin at best1.8%Books9Markets66Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Oct 02:22 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.65	4.19	5.69	2.0%
Betano	1.62	4.05	4.90	6.8%
Pinnacle	1.57	4.12	5.18	7.3%
Betfair	1.53	4.10	5.50	7.9%
Bet365	1.60	3.75	5.25	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.55	3.94	5.35	8.6%
BetVictor	1.53	4.00	5.25	9.4%
William Hill	1.55	3.75	5.00	11.2%
SBO	1.50	3.57	4.58	16.5%
Best of all books	1.65	4.19	5.69	2.0%
Average	1.57	3.94	5.19	8.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MexicoChile

Last 105Form pts · last 531.6Goals for · last 51.31.2Goals against · last 52.062Attack rating3857Defence rating4373Form rating2738H2H rating6281Goals model1958Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 03:31 UTC

Mexico

6W 2D 2L · goals 18:9 · per match 1.8 for, 0.9 against

4 Oct	A	USA	0-3	L
30 Sep	H	Peru	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Colombia	1-1	D
6 Jul	H	England	2-3	L
1 Jul	H	Ecuador	2-0	W
25 Jun	A	Czechia	3-0	W
19 Jun	H	South Korea	1-0	W
11 Jun	H	South Africa	2-0	W
5 Jun	H	Serbia	5-1	W
31 May	H	Australia	1-0	W

Chile

5W 1D 4L · goals 16:16 · per match 1.6 for, 1.6 against

30 Sep	A	USA	2-4	L
26 Sep	A	Canada	0-1	L
9 Jun	A	Congo DR	2-1	W
6 Jun	A	Portugal	1-2	L
30 Mar	A	New Zealand	1-4	L
27 Mar	H	Cape Verde Islands	4-2	W
18 Nov	H	Peru	2-1	W
15 Nov	A	Russia	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Peru	2-1	W
9 Sep	H	Uruguay	0-0	D

Head to head

1Mexico wins

2draws

2Chile wins

5 meetings · goals 8:14 · last 5: 1W 2D 2L for Mexico

9 Dec 2021Friendlies	Friendlies	Mexico2-2Chile
23 Mar 2019Friendlies	Friendlies	Mexico3-1Chile
17 Oct 2018Friendlies	Friendlies	Mexico0-1Chile
19 Jun 2016Copa America	Copa America	Mexico0-7Chile
15 Jun 2015Copa America	Copa America	Chile3-3Mexico

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.56X24%3.89217%5.38

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.57 → 1.58 +0.6%X3.94 → 3.88 -1.5%25.19 → 5.37 +3.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.80	2.15	2.1%
Betano	1.72	2.10	5.8%
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.72	2.08	6.2%
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Marathonbet	1.71	2.05	7.3%
SBO	1.66	2.11	7.6%
BetVictor	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Best of all books	1.80	2.15	2.1%
Average	1.71	2.09	6.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.75	2.05	5.9%
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Betano	1.75	1.98	7.6%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.75	1.97	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.94	8.7%
Best of all books	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Average	1.74	2.00	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mexico 45%Draw 45%Chile 10%

The statistical model rated Mexico at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Chile at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.56 | 3.89 | 5.38, which imply roughly 64.1% for a Mexico win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Mexico averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Chile averaged 1.3 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Mexico or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Match Statistics

MexicoChile

3Shots on Goal4

7Shots off Goal3

12Total Shots8

2Blocked Shots1

5Shots insidebox7

7Shots outsidebox1

9Fouls7

5Corner Kicks1

2Offsides1

62%Ball Possession38%

2Yellow Cards1

2Goalkeeper Saves3

492Total passes301

423Passes accurate237

86%Passes %79%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.57	3.94	5.19

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.31	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.21	4.04

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	2.00

1st half

1	X	2
2.05	2.32	5.23

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	12.6	2.85

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.0
1.5	1.21	3.97
2.5	1.71	2.09
3.5	2.70	1.41
4.5	4.92	1.15
5.5	9.33	1.03
6.5	17.8	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.80
1.25	1.10	5.10
1.75	1.24	3.34
2	1.30	2.99
2.25	1.53	2.42
2.75	1.91	1.86
3	2.15	1.62
3.25	2.42	1.49
3.75	3.14	1.27
4	4.10	1.16
4.25	4.40	1.14
4.75	5.85	1.07
5	8.00	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.51	1.50
-1.25	2.21	1.61
-1	1.96	1.80
-0.75	1.68	2.08
-0.5	1.55	2.38
-0.25	1.36	2.88

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.90	1.02
-3	7.90	1.02
-2.75	5.60	1.10
-2.5	4.54	1.16
-2.25	4.00	1.19
-2	3.79	1.23
-1.75	3.08	1.36
0	1.20	4.10
+0.25	1.15	4.68
+0.5	1.14	5.75
+0.75	1.06	6.64
+1	1.02	9.20
+1.5	1.02	10.3

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.75	2.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.32	2.98
7.5	1.61	2.14
8.5	2.09	1.66
9.5	2.80	1.36
10.5	3.97	1.19

6 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.25	1.50	2.32
7.75	1.70	1.98
8	1.88	1.92
8.25	1.95	1.74
8.75	2.26	1.55
9.25	2.62	1.39