Algeria vs Niger• Friendlies, World

3.0:0.02-1FT06/10 · Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium, Tizi Ouzou0.3:0.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.241XBX6.631XB213.0B365Margin at best3.4%Books6Markets62Rating90 · 10Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Oct 12:10 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.23	6.54	18.0	2.1%
Betfair	1.22	5.50	13.0	7.8%
Pinnacle	1.21	6.11	11.2	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.21	5.25	14.5	8.6%
Bet365	1.20	5.25	15.0	9.0%
William Hill	1.22	5.00	12.0	10.3%
Best of all books	1.23	6.54	15.0	3.3%
Average	1.22	5.61	13.9	7.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AlgeriaNiger

Last 108Form pts · last 543.0Goals for · last 50.30.0Goals against · last 50.892Attack rating8100Defence rating083Form rating1793H2H rating7100Goals model090Overall rating10

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Oct 12:51 UTC

Algeria

5W 3D 2L · goals 22:12 · per match 2.2 for, 1.2 against

29 Sep	A	Burundi	2-2	D
25 Sep	H	Zambia	3-1	W
3 Jul	A	Switzerland	0-2	L
28 Jun	H	Austria	3-3	D
23 Jun	A	Jordan	2-1	W
17 Jun	A	Argentina	0-3	L
11 Jun	A	Bolivia	4-0	W
3 Jun	A	Netherlands	1-0	W
31 Mar	H	Uruguay	0-0	D
27 Mar	H	Guatemala	7-0	W

Niger

3W 3D 4L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

29 Sep	A	Gabon	0-2	L
25 Sep	H	Lesotho	2-1	W
8 Jun	H	Mauritania	0-1	L
5 Jun	A	Benin	1-1	D
31 Mar	H	Togo	0-1	L
27 Mar	A	Libya	0-0	D
18 Nov	A	Guinea	1-1	D
14 Nov	A	Burkina Faso	2-3	L
12 Oct	A	Zambia	1-0	W
8 Oct	H	Congo	3-1	W

Head to head

5Algeria wins

1draws

0Niger wins

6 meetings · goals 18:2 · last 6: 5W 1D 0L for Algeria

18 Aug 2025African Nations Championship	African Nations Championship	Algeria0-0Niger
27 Mar 2023Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	Niger0-1Algeria
23 Mar 2023Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification	Algeria2-1Niger
31 Jan 2023African Nations Championship	African Nations Championship	Algeria5-0Niger
12 Oct 2021World Cup - Qualification Africa	World Cup - Qualification Africa	Niger0-4Algeria
8 Oct 2021World Cup - Qualification Africa	World Cup - Qualification Africa	Algeria6-1Niger

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg176%1.22X16%5.7528%11.9

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.21 → 1.22 +0.8%X5.61 → 5.72 +2.0%213.9 → 11.9 -14.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.75	2.23	2.0%
Betfair	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Pinnacle	1.55	2.36	6.9%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.12	7.4%
Best of all books	1.75	2.36	-0.5%
Average	1.65	2.22	5.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.25	1.60	6.9%
Betfair	2.15	1.65	7.1%
1xBet	2.40	1.51	7.9%
Marathonbet	2.40	1.49	8.8%
Best of all books	2.40	1.65	2.3%
Average	2.30	1.56	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Algeria 50%Draw 50%Niger 0%

The statistical model rated Algeria at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Niger at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.22 | 5.75 | 11.94, which imply roughly 82% for a Algeria win versus the model's 50%.

Over their last five matches, Algeria averaged 3 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Niger averaged 0.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Algeria and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Algeria

4-2-3-1

Goalkeeper

1Melvin Mastil

Defence

19Saâdi Redouani
3Achref Abada
21Ramy Bensebaini
13Jaouen Hadjam

Midfield

17Himad Abdelli
10Farès Chaïbi
20Mohamed Belloumi
18Adil Boulbina

Attack

30Ibrahim Maza
12Amin Chiakha

Niger

4-4-1-1

Goalkeeper

22Djibrilla Kassali Djibo

Defence

24Aboubacar Camara
13Mohamed Abdouramane
3Oumar Sako
2Abdel Rahim

Midfield

6Youssouf Oumarou
14Ali Mohamed
12Ousseni Badamassi
9Kairou Amoustapha

Attack

15Konan N'Dri
7Daniel Sosah

Substitutes (13)

–Issiaka Kanta
–Younoussa Abiboulaye
–Ibrahim Sani
–Yac Diori
–Alhabib Hassane Abdou
24Hassane Adamou Amadou
–Hamza Boubacar
26Mamane Amadou Sabo
20Amadou Moutari
9Harouna Moussa Ibrahim
–Victorien Adebayor
28Abdoul-Latif Djibril Goumey
25Amadou Wonkoye

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.21	5.61	13.9

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.04	4.17	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.04	10.7

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.30	1.56

1st half

1	X	2
1.62	2.61	10.6

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.19	12.0	5.35

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.2
1.5	1.18	4.21
2.5	1.65	2.22
3.5	2.49	1.47
4.5	4.33	1.17
5.5	8.27	1.03
6.5	17.0	1.01

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.90
1	1.01	8.70
1.25	1.09	5.30
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.27	3.16
2.25	1.51	2.55
2.75	1.78	2.00
3	1.96	1.74
3.25	2.21	1.56
3.75	2.88	1.32
4	3.68	1.20
4.25	4.00	1.17
4.75	5.50	1.08
5	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.66	1.41
-2.25	2.38	1.56
-2	2.09	1.69
-1.75	1.85	1.94
-1.5	1.69	2.11
-1.25	1.47	2.48

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	8.40	1.01
-4	7.80	1.02
-3.75	5.93	1.09
-3.5	4.91	1.14
-3.25	4.31	1.17
-3	3.96	1.20
-2.75	3.10	1.31
-1	1.29	3.22
-0.75	1.24	3.60
-0.5	1.23	4.10
-0.25	1.11	6.38
0	1.05	10.3

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