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Sydney United vs South Melbourne• Australian Championship, Australia

#21.5:1.504:00Tomorrow · Sydney United Sports Centre, Sydney1.5:0.3#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.54PINX3.50B36522.75DAFMargin at best4.3%Books9Markets80Rating33 · 68Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Nov 16:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.493.452.755.5%
Pinnacle2.543.232.727.1%
Betano2.423.402.707.8%
1xBet2.473.282.668.6%
Marathonbet2.473.282.668.6%
Bet3652.303.502.6010.5%
Betfair2.453.102.6311.1%
William Hill2.383.202.6011.7%
SBO2.322.942.4917.3%
Best of all books2.543.502.754.3%
Average2.433.262.659.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sydney UnitedSouth Melbourne
Last 10#2Table position#11.50Points per game2.508Form pts · last 591.5Goals for · last 51.51.5Goals against · last 50.350Attack rating5014Defence rating8633Form rating670H2H rating1000Goals model10033Overall rating68

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Nov 06:01 UTC

Sydney United

5W 4D 1L · goals 20:9 · per match 2.0 for, 0.9 against

6 NovACanberra FC1-2L
31 OctASutherland Sharks2-1W
23 OctASouth Melbourne1-1D
18 OctHCanberra FC1-1D
13 SepAAPIA Leichhardt Tigers3-1W
6 SepHManly United3-1W
30 AugHSt. George Saints6-0W
23 AugHAPIA Leichhardt Tigers0-0D
15 AugASydney Olympic2-1W
12 AugAAPIA Leichhardt Tigers1-1D

South Melbourne

5W 3D 2L · goals 13:8 · per match 1.3 for, 0.8 against

7 NovHSutherland Sharks0-0D
29 OctACanberra FC2-0W
23 OctHSydney United1-1D
17 OctASutherland Sharks1-0W
10 OctHMelbourne Victory1-1D
15 SepHLions3-1W
11 SepAOakleigh Cannons1-2L
6 SepHHeidelberg United2-1W
29 AugASunshine Georgies0-1L
26 AugAPreston Lions2-1W

Head to head

0Sydney United wins
1draws
0South Melbourne wins

1 meeting · goals 1:1 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for Sydney United

23 Oct 2026Australian ChampionshipAustralian ChampionshipSouth Melbourne1-1Sydney United

Australian Championship tableAustralian Championshipupdated 13 Nov 12:50 UTC

In the Australian Championship table, Sydney United sit 2nd with 6 points from 4 games, while South Melbourne are 1st with 10 points from 4.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1South Melbourne44006:1+510
1Wests APIA540113:5+813
1Bayswater City43019:4+510
1Preston Lions53028:6+210
2Sydney United42026:606
2Broadmeadow Magic43017:5+28
2Oakleigh Cannons53029:6+310
2Lions530211:9+29
3Sutherland Sharks41033:4-14
3Avondale42028:10-25
3Marconi Stallions52038:12-44
3Wollongong Wolves42025:505
4Canberra FC41033:7-44
4Adelaide City50056:14-81
4Sydney Olympic41036:10-43
4South Hobart41035:9-43

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.42X28%3.27235%2.64

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11 Nov 06:0013 Nov 16:001 2.42X 3.272 2.64
12.40 → 2.42 +0.8%X3.36 → 3.27 -2.7%22.60 → 2.64 +1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Pinnacle1.971.835.4%
SBO1.961.806.6%
Betano1.871.877.0%
1xBet1.871.867.2%
Marathonbet1.871.867.2%
Best of all books1.971.874.2%
Average1.921.846.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.622.207.2%
Betano1.702.057.6%
William Hill1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.672.088.0%
Marathonbet1.672.058.7%
Best of all books1.732.203.3%
Average1.682.087.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sydney United 10%Draw 45%South Melbourne 45%

The statistical model rates Sydney United at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and South Melbourne at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.42 | 3.27 | 2.64, which imply roughly 30.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Australian Championship table: Sydney United are 2nd (6 pts, 6-6 goals), South Melbourne 1st (10 pts, 6-1).

Over their last five matches, Sydney United averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; South Melbourne averaged 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or South Melbourne and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.433.262.65

Double chance

1XX212
1.411.481.27

Draw no bet

12
1.781.96

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.682.08

1st half

1X2
3.012.113.22

2nd half

1X2
2.722.482.94

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.9014.029.0
HT X5.865.226.26
HT 227.614.04.32

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8911.22.02

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.068.65
1.51.263.37
2.51.921.85
3.53.081.32
4.55.731.09
5.59.611.03
6.512.71.01
7.521.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.65
11.028.10
1.251.134.61
1.751.323.00
21.422.62
2.251.652.10
2.752.111.66
32.511.46
3.252.841.36
3.753.771.19
45.101.10
4.255.451.08
4.756.401.05
59.001.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.921.36
-0.52.381.52
-0.252.121.67
01.821.95
+0.251.582.26
+0.51.432.62
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.510.81.03
-29.301.03
-1.756.321.08
-1.54.681.14
-1.254.361.16
-13.911.20
+0.751.313.14
+11.164.38
+1.251.144.82
+1.51.115.37
+1.751.067.07
+21.048.63
+2.251.106.80
+2.51.039.47

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.085.41
7.51.223.47
8.51.452.51
9.51.761.95
10.52.231.57
11.53.031.30
12.54.281.14
13.56.551.03
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.085.28
71.095.03
7.251.164.05
7.751.253.28
81.283.10
8.251.382.71
8.751.522.32
91.582.23
9.251.702.02
9.751.901.80
102.001.75
10.252.161.61
10.752.471.46
112.641.40
11.252.881.33
11.753.401.23
123.951.16
12.254.131.15
12.755.021.09
136.131.04
13.256.341.03

Next Australian Championship matches

14 NovSouth Hobart – Wollongong Wolves
14 NovBayswater City – Sydney Olympic
15 NovBroadmeadow Magic – Avondale
15 NovSutherland Sharks – Canberra FC

All Australian Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Australian Championship results

13 NovPreston Lions 3-1 Lions
13 NovOakleigh Cannons 2-2 Marconi Stallions
8 NovSouth Hobart 2-4 Lions
8 NovAvondale 2-1 Adelaide City
7 NovSouth Melbourne 0-0 Sutherland Sharks
7 NovWollongong Wolves 1-2 Preston Lions