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Canberra FC vs South Melbourne• Australian Championship, Australia

#40.5:2.008:30Today · Deakin Stadium, Canberra1.5:0.5#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

18.751XBX5.60DAF21.33BTNMargin at best4.5%Books10Markets89Rating23 · 78Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Oct 00:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet8.405.601.334.9%
Pinnacle8.615.501.306.7%
Betano7.605.101.338.0%
1xBet8.755.251.298.0%
Marathonbet8.705.251.288.7%
BetVictor8.505.001.299.3%
Bet3657.005.001.3011.2%
Betfair8.505.001.2511.8%
William Hill8.005.501.2212.6%
SBO6.474.731.2516.6%
Best of all books8.755.601.334.5%
Average8.055.191.289.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Canberra FCSouth Melbourne
Last 10#4Table position#10.50Points per game2.507Form pts · last 580.5Goals for · last 51.52.0Goals against · last 50.525Attack rating7520Defence rating800Form rating1000H2H rating00Goals model10023Overall rating78

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 15:01 UTC

Canberra FC

7W 1D 2L · goals 25:14 · per match 2.5 for, 1.4 against

24 OctHSutherland Sharks0-2L
18 OctASydney United1-1D
13 SepHCooma Tigers FC0-3L
5 SepHQueanbeyan City1-0W
22 AugHBelconnen United4-0W
15 AugAMonaro Panthers3-2W
8 AugHO'Connor Knights5-4W
2 AugHCanberra Juventus4-0W
21 JulACanberra Juventus5-2W
11 JulHBrindabella2-0W

South Melbourne

5W 2D 3L · goals 15:10 · per match 1.5 for, 1.0 against

23 OctHSydney United1-1D
17 OctASutherland Sharks1-0W
10 OctHMelbourne Victory1-1D
15 SepHLions3-1W
11 SepAOakleigh Cannons1-2L
6 SepHHeidelberg United2-1W
29 AugASunshine Georgies0-1L
26 AugAPreston Lions2-1W
23 AugHHeidelberg United1-2L
15 AugAMelbourne City II3-0W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Canberra FC and South Melbourne on record.

Australian Championship tableAustralian Championshipupdated 28 Oct 15:01 UTC

In the Australian Championship table, Canberra FC sit 4th with 1 points from 2 games, while South Melbourne are 1st with 5 points from 2.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1South Melbourne22003:1+25
1Broadmeadow Magic22003:1+25
1Bayswater City22005:2+36
1Wollongong Wolves22003:0+35
2Sutherland Sharks21012:1+13
2Wests APIA21013:2+14
2Oakleigh Cannons21014:3+14
2Lions21013:303
3Sydney United21013:303
3Avondale21014:402
3Marconi Stallions21012:3-12
3South Hobart21012:3-13
4Canberra FC20021:4-31
4Adelaide City20023:6-31
4Sydney Olympic20023:6-30
4Preston Lions20021:3-21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg111%8.05X18%5.19271%1.28

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

27 Oct 15:0029 Oct 00:101 8.05X 5.192 1.28
18.35 → 8.05 -3.6%X5.37 → 5.19 -3.4%21.28 → 1.28 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.522.456.6%
Pinnacle1.532.407.0%
Bet3651.532.387.4%
BetVictor1.512.349.0%
1xBet1.492.3010.6%
Marathonbet1.492.3010.6%
Best of all books1.532.456.2%
Average1.512.368.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.801.956.8%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
1xBet1.861.848.1%
Betano1.821.888.1%
BetVictor1.831.858.7%
Marathonbet1.861.828.7%
Best of all books1.861.955.0%
Average1.831.888.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Canberra FC 0%Draw 50%South Melbourne 50%

The statistical model rates Canberra FC at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and South Melbourne at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 8.05 | 5.19 | 1.28, which imply roughly 19.3% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Australian Championship table: Canberra FC are 4th (1 pts, 1-4 goals), South Melbourne 1st (5 pts, 3-1).

Over their last five matches, Canberra FC averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; South Melbourne averaged 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or South Melbourne and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
8.055.191.28

Double chance

1XX212
3.301.051.12

Draw no bet

12
6.231.10

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.831.88

1st half

1X2
7.262.641.68

2nd half

1X2
6.813.131.55

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 114.420.620.3
HT X17.08.184.15
HT 253.118.91.78

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
3.5518.31.30

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.8
1.51.144.70
2.51.512.36
3.52.291.57
4.53.841.21
5.56.861.07
6.59.671.03
7.516.01.01
8.521.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0111.0
1.751.154.20
21.193.78
2.251.362.81
2.751.632.12
31.791.92
3.252.041.70
3.752.591.43
43.151.29
4.253.441.23
4.754.611.13
56.101.06
5.256.401.05
68.701.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+12.631.43
+1.252.141.62
+1.51.891.84
+1.751.702.04
+21.522.41
+2.251.422.64
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-0.256.601.11
06.481.07
+0.254.231.18
+0.53.301.32
+0.752.991.34
+2.51.362.89
+2.751.243.46
+31.154.63
+3.251.135.01
+3.51.115.38
+3.751.086.17
+41.019.00
+4.51.029.60

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.104.97
7.51.263.21
8.51.532.32
9.51.871.82
10.52.401.49
11.53.241.25
12.54.671.12
13.57.091.01
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.124.56
7.751.283.05
81.332.87
8.251.422.53
8.751.572.19
91.692.05
9.251.781.93
9.751.981.70
102.151.62
10.252.261.52
10.752.621.38
112.961.31
11.252.971.30
124.361.13
136.921.02

Next Australian Championship matches

30 OctBroadmeadow Magic – Adelaide City
30 OctSydney Olympic – Marconi Stallions
31 OctSutherland Sharks – Sydney United
31 OctSouth Hobart – Preston Lions
31 OctWollongong Wolves – Lions
1 NovBayswater City – Oakleigh Cannons

All Australian Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Australian Championship results

25 OctWollongong Wolves 2-0 South Hobart
25 OctSydney Olympic 1-2 Bayswater City
24 OctCanberra FC 0-2 Sutherland Sharks
24 OctMarconi Stallions 0-0 Oakleigh Cannons
24 OctAvondale 1-2 Broadmeadow Magic
23 OctSouth Melbourne 1-1 Sydney United