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Russia vs Nigeria• Friendlies, World

2.8:0.23-3FT06/10 · Nizhny Novgorod Stadium, Nizhny Novgorod2.0:1.2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.661XBX4.06PIN26.001XBMargin at best1.5%Books2Markets58Rating66 · 35Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Oct 02:22 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.903.584.681.9%
Marathonbet1.803.404.457.4%
Best of all books1.903.584.681.9%
Average1.853.494.564.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

RussiaNigeria
Last 1012Form pts · last 572.8Goals for · last 52.00.2Goals against · last 51.258Attack rating4286Defence rating1460Form rating4050H2H rating5089Goals model1166Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Oct 16:11 UTC

Russia

6W 2D 2L · goals 21:5 · per match 2.1 for, 0.5 against

3 OctHNamibia6-0W
29 SepHIran2-0W
9 JunHTrinidad and Tobago3-0W
5 JunHBurkina Faso3-0W
28 MayAEgypt0-1L
31 MarHMali0-0D
27 MarHNicaragua3-1W
15 NovHChile0-2L
12 NovHPeru1-1D
14 OctHBolivia3-0W

Nigeria

4W 4D 2L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

29 SepAGuinea-Bissau0-3L
25 SepHMadagascar2-1W
10 JunAPortugal1-2L
3 JunAPoland2-2D
30 MayAJamaica3-0W
26 MayHZimbabwe2-0W
31 MarAJordan2-2D
27 MarAIran2-1W
17 JanAEgypt0-0D
14 JanHMorocco0-0D

Head to head

0Russia wins
1draws
0Nigeria wins

1 meeting · goals 1:1 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for Russia

6 Jun 2025FriendliesFriendliesRussia1-1Nigeria

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.60X25%3.79217%5.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

5 Oct 03:216 Oct 13:411 1.60X 3.792 5.55
11.85 → 1.60 -13.5%X3.49 → 3.79 +8.6%24.56 → 5.55 +21.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.091.851.9%
Marathonbet1.991.767.1%
Best of all books2.091.851.9%
Average2.041.814.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.851.858.1%
Marathonbet1.851.838.7%
Best of all books1.851.858.1%
Average1.851.848.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Russia 45%Draw 45%Nigeria 10%

The statistical model rated Russia at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Nigeria at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.60 | 3.79 | 5.55, which imply roughly 62.5% for a Russia win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Russia averaged 2.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Nigeria averaged 2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Russia or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Russia

4-3-3

Goalkeeper

  • 1Aleksandr Maksimenko

Defence

  • 30Ilya Vakhaniya
  • 14Viktor Melekhin
  • 5Maksim Osipenko
  • 4Danil Krugovoy

Midfield

  • 27Ivan Oblyakov
  • 31Matvey Kislyak
  • 11Aleksey Batrakov

Attack

  • 59Aleksey Miranchuk
  • 7Aleksandr Sobolev
  • 20Lechi Sadulaev
Substitutes (13)
  • 16Anton Mitryushkin
  • 12Stanislav Agkatsev
  • 2Turpal-Ali Ibishev
  • 3Igor Diveev
  • 21Arsen Adamov
  • 19Kirill Glebov
  • 15Artem Karpukas
  • 22Mingiyan Beveev
  • 67Maksim Glushenkov
  • 25Danyl Prutsev
  • 8Nail Umyarov
  • 10Konstantin Tyukavin
  • 23Maksim Petrov

Nigeria

4-4-2

Goalkeeper

  • 1Samuel Friday James

Defence

  • 2Abdullahi Bewene
  • 5Benjamin Fredrick
  • 6Emmanuel Fernandez
  • 3Isaac James

Midfield

  • 4Aderemi Adeoye
  • 8Stephen Michael
  • 10Wilfred George Igor
  • 17Chibuzo Nwoko

Attack

  • 15Moses Simon
  • 14Kelechi Iheanacho
Substitutes (9)
  • 23Stanley Nwabali
  • 16Michael Atata
  • 13Kenneth Igboke
  • 20Vince Osuji
  • 11Umar Abubakar
  • 19Ibraheem Ajasa
  • 22Akor Adams
  • 12Osayande Peter Edokpolor
  • 7Abdullahi Umar

Match Statistics

RussiaNigeria
6Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal3
15Total Shots9
3Blocked Shots1
10Shots insidebox5
5Shots outsidebox4
16Fouls9
7Corner Kicks3
2Offsides2
62%Ball Possession38%
2Yellow Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
524Total passes318
453Passes accurate250
86%Passes %79%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.853.494.56

Double chance

1XX212
1.211.971.31

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.851.84

1st half

1X2
2.422.035.05

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.628.202.74

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.028.20
1.51.283.08
2.52.041.81
3.53.341.24
4.56.551.05
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.57
11.046.95
1.251.164.10
1.751.372.71
21.482.36
2.251.792.01
2.752.311.61
32.731.36
3.253.041.29
3.754.201.15
45.801.07
4.256.151.06
512.51.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.53.101.28
-1.252.791.38
-12.481.49
-0.751.981.69
-0.251.582.36
01.303.49
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.758.401.01
-2.56.401.05
-2.255.951.07
-25.551.08
-1.753.901.18
+0.251.213.58
+0.751.085.50
+11.019.00
+1.51.0211.5

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.154.43
7.51.312.97
8.51.572.18
9.51.991.73
10.52.531.42
11.53.451.23
12.54.931.12
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.332.83
8.251.482.41
8.751.642.07
9.251.881.84
9.752.131.62
10.252.451.46
10.752.831.33

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