Maldives vs
Lebanon• Friendlies, World
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 30 Sep 12:07 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 17.0 | 12.5 | 1.13 | 2.4% |
| Betfair | 29.0 | 11.0 | 1.07 | 6.0% |
| Marathonbet | 26.0 | 7.90 | 1.09 | 8.2% |
| Bet365 | 34.0 | 9.00 | 1.06 | 8.4% |
| Best of all books | 29.0 | 12.5 | 1.13 | -0.1% |
| Average | 26.5 | 10.1 | 1.09 | 5.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Oct 14:31 UTC
Maldives
1W 2D 7L · goals 4:22 · per match 0.4 for, 2.2 against
| 28 Sep | A | Kyrgyzstan | 0-5 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | China | 0-3 | L |
| 7 Jun | H | Bangladesh U23 | 1-1 | D |
| 4 Jun | H | Pakistan | 0-3 | L |
| 1 Jun | H | Afghanistan | 0-1 | L |
| 31 Mar | H | Timor-Leste | 2-1 | W |
| 18 Nov | H | Philippines | 0-2 | L |
| 14 Oct | H | Tajikistan | 0-3 | L |
| 9 Oct | A | Tajikistan | 0-2 | L |
| 9 Sep | A | Sri Lanka | 1-1 | D |
Lebanon
5W 2D 3L · goals 17:5 · per match 1.7 for, 0.5 against
| 1 Oct | A | Maldives | 6-0 | W |
| 4 Jun | H | Yemen | 0-2 | L |
| 26 Nov | A | Sudan | 1-2 | L |
| 18 Nov | A | Brunei | 3-0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Bhutan | 4-0 | W |
| 9 Oct | H | Bhutan | 2-0 | W |
| 8 Sep | A | Indonesia | 0-0 | D |
| 24 Aug | A | Qatar | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Jun | A | Yemen | 0-0 | D |
| 28 May | A | Oman | 0-1 | L |
Head to head
1 meeting · goals 0:1 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Maldives
| 28 Jun 2023SAFF Championship | SAFF Championship | Lebanon1-0Maldives |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.6% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 6.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.36 | 2.70 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 2.70 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.40 | 2.88 | 6.2% |
| Average | 1.37 | 2.76 | 9.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 1.22 | 7.0% |
| 1xBet | 2.51 | 1.46 | 8.3% |
| Marathonbet | 2.51 | 1.45 | 8.8% |
| Best of all books | 2.51 | 1.46 | 8.3% |
| Average | 3.01 | 1.38 | 5.9% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Maldives at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Lebanon at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 34.78 | 10.45 | 1.06, which imply roughly 9.6% for the draw versus the model's 50%.
Over their last five matches, Maldives averaged 0.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Lebanon averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lebanon and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 26.5 | 10.1 | 1.09 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 23.0 | 1.01 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 3.01 | 1.38 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 15.0 | 3.02 | 1.40 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.95 | 17.5 | 1.10 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 17.3 |
| 1.5 | 1.09 | 5.93 |
| 2.5 | 1.37 | 2.76 |
| 3.5 | 1.98 | 1.81 |
| 4.5 | 3.12 | 1.30 |
| 5.5 | 5.40 | 1.11 |
| 6.5 | 11.0 | 1.05 |
| 7.5 | 21.0 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 41.0 | – |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 13.5 |
| 1.75 | 1.10 | 5.15 |
| 2 | 1.12 | 4.70 |
| 2.25 | 1.24 | 3.34 |
| 2.75 | 1.44 | 2.44 |
| 3 | 1.55 | 2.18 |
| 3.25 | 1.82 | 1.97 |
| 3.75 | 2.15 | 1.58 |
| 4 | 2.50 | 1.42 |
| 4.25 | 2.78 | 1.34 |
| 4.75 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| 5 | 4.70 | 1.12 |
| 5.25 | 5.05 | 1.10 |
| 6 | 9.20 | – |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3 | 1.56 | 2.28 |
| -2.75 | 1.68 | 2.17 |
| -2.5 | 1.94 | 1.86 |
| -2.25 | 1.96 | 1.69 |
| -2 | 2.28 | 1.50 |
| -1.75 | 2.56 | 1.40 |
12 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -5.5 | 1.01 | 9.90 |
| -4.5 | 1.09 | 5.25 |
| -4.25 | 1.11 | 4.90 |
| -4 | 1.13 | 4.60 |
| -3.75 | 1.22 | 3.50 |
| -3.5 | 1.35 | 2.82 |
| -3.25 | 1.36 | 2.69 |
| -1.5 | 3.14 | 1.29 |
| -1.25 | 3.50 | 1.22 |
| -1 | 4.95 | 1.11 |
| -0.75 | 5.40 | 1.09 |
| 0 | 15.0 | 1.01 |
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