Auckland City vs Wellington Olympic• National League - National, New-Zealand

#54.0:2.02-2FT10/10 · Kiwitea Street, Auckland2.0:2.0#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.77PINX4.10B36523.841XBMargin at best6.9%Books8Markets52Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L55.0

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 15:26 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.77	4.00	3.75	8.2%
Pinnacle	1.77	3.80	3.79	9.2%
BetVictor	1.75	3.90	3.75	9.5%
1xBet	1.73	3.70	3.84	10.9%
Betano	1.75	3.85	3.55	11.3%
Bet365	1.75	4.10	3.30	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.71	3.70	3.74	12.2%
William Hill	1.75	3.50	3.70	12.7%
Best of all books	1.77	4.10	3.84	6.9%
Average	1.75	3.82	3.68	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Auckland CityWellington Olympic

Last 10#5Table position#63.00Points per game1.5015Form pts · last 5104.0Goals for · last 52.02.0Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5067Defence rating3350Form rating5085H2H rating150Goals model062Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 22:01 UTC

Auckland City

8W 1D 1L · goals 25:11 · per match 2.5 for, 1.1 against

3 Oct	A	Eastern Suburbs	4-2	W
22 Aug	H	Central Coast	2-0	W
19 Aug	H	Rewa	3-1	W
16 Aug	H	Vénus	4-3	W
13 Aug	A	Tiga Sport	1-0	W
10 Aug	A	Central Coast	2-1	W
25 Jul	A	Fencibles United	2-3	L
4 Jul	H	Takapuna	3-0	W
13 Dec	A	Wellington Olympic	1-1	D
6 Dec	H	Coastal Spirit	3-0	W

Wellington Olympic

5W 1D 4L · goals 18:14 · per match 1.8 for, 1.4 against

3 Oct	H	Ferrymead Bays	1-2	L
27 Sep	A	Auckland FC 2	3-2	W
13 Dec	H	Auckland City	1-1	D
6 Dec	H	Miramar	2-1	W
30 Nov	A	Auckland United	3-0	W
21 Nov	H	Christchurch United	2-3	L
15 Nov	A	Auckland FC 2	1-2	L
31 Oct	H	Western Suburbs	1-0	W
26 Oct	A	Birkenhead United	4-2	W
18 Oct	H	Auckland City	0-1	L

Head to head

5Auckland City wins

4draws

2Wellington Olympic wins

11 meetings · goals 17:15 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Auckland City

13 Dec 2025National League - Championship - Final	National League - Championship - Final	Wellington Olympic1-1Auckland City
18 Oct 2025National League - National	National League - National	Wellington Olympic0-1Auckland City
5 Oct 2024National League - National	National League - National	Wellington Olympic0-1Auckland City
7 Sep 2024Chatham Cup	Chatham Cup	Wellington Olympic1-1Auckland City
16 Mar 2024OFC Champions League	OFC Champions League	Wellington Olympic3-3Auckland City
9 Mar 2024OFC Champions League	OFC Champions League	Auckland City1-0Wellington Olympic
26 Nov 2023National League - Championship - Final	National League - Championship - Final	Wellington Olympic2-0Auckland City
12 Nov 2023National League - National	National League - National	Auckland City1-3Wellington Olympic
18 Mar 2023OFC Champions League	OFC Champions League	Auckland City5-3Wellington Olympic
11 Mar 2023OFC Champions League	OFC Champions League	Wellington Olympic1-1Auckland City

National League - National tableFirst Division: Championship Groupupdated 9 Oct 15:50 UTC

In the National League - National table, Auckland City sit 5th with 3 points from 1 games, while Wellington Olympic are 6th with 3 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cashmere Technical	2	2	0	0	14:0	+14	6
2	Auckland United	2	1	1	0	8:2	+6	4
3	Miramar	2	1	1	0	3:2	+1	4
4	Ferrymead Bays	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
5	Auckland City	1	1	0	0	4:2	+2	3
6	Wellington Olympic	2	1	0	1	4:4	0	3
7	Eastern Suburbs	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
8	Napier City Rovers	2	0	1	1	2:8	-6	1
9	Wellington Phoenix II	2	0	1	1	1:11	-10	1
10	Auckland FC 2	2	0	0	2	3:5	-2	0
11	Birkenhead United	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.75X24%3.82225%3.68

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.49	2.48	7.4%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
BetVictor	1.44	2.60	7.9%
1xBet	1.44	2.43	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.43	10.6%
Best of all books	1.49	2.62	5.3%
Average	1.45	2.51	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.44	2.55	8.7%
1xBet	1.44	2.52	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.46	10.1%
William Hill	1.44	2.45	10.3%
Best of all books	1.44	2.55	8.7%
Average	1.44	2.50	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Auckland City 45%Draw 45%Wellington Olympic 10%

The statistical model rated Auckland City at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Wellington Olympic at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.75 | 3.82 | 3.68, which imply roughly 57.1% for a Auckland City win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - National table: Auckland City are 5th (3 pts, 4-2 goals), Wellington Olympic 6th (3 pts, 4-4).

Over their last five matches, Auckland City averaged 4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Wellington Olympic averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Auckland City and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.75	3.82	3.68

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.88	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.38	2.77

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.44	2.50

1st half

1	X	2
2.23	2.41	3.99

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.59	19.6	2.32

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.9
1.5	1.10	5.20
2.5	1.45	2.51
3.5	2.14	1.61
4.5	3.53	1.23
5.5	6.60	1.05

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	11.0
1.75	1.13	4.60
2	1.16	4.15
2.25	1.31	2.99
2.75	1.56	2.22
3	1.72	1.97
3.25	1.93	1.76
3.75	2.44	1.46
4	2.97	1.30
4.25	3.28	1.25
4.75	4.35	1.14
5	5.80	1.07
5.25	6.10	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.85	1.34
-1.25	2.56	1.43
-1	2.28	1.55
-0.75	1.94	1.77
-0.5	1.73	1.96
-0.25	1.53	2.27

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.50	1.05
-3	7.30	1.06
-2.75	6.75	1.05
-2.5	5.30	1.09
-2.25	4.95	1.11
-2	4.60	1.13
-1.75	3.42	1.23
0	1.33	2.90
+0.25	1.25	3.28
+0.75	1.12	4.70
+1	1.04	6.95
+1.25	1.06	6.30
+1.5	1.02	7.80

Latest National League - National results

4 Oct	Cashmere Technical 10-0 Wellington Phoenix II
4 Oct	Auckland United 7-1 Napier City Rovers
3 Oct	Wellington Olympic 1-2 Ferrymead Bays
26 Sep	Wellington Phoenix II 1-1 Auckland United