Wellington Olympic vs 
Ferrymead Bays• National League - National, New-Zealand
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 16:16 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 4.86 | 4.22 | 4.9% |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 4.27 | 4.31 | 9.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.33 | 4.33 | 9.9% |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.95 | 4.05 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.58 | 4.10 | 4.10 | 12.1% |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 13.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 4.00 | 3.20 | 13.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.75 | 4.86 | 4.33 | 0.8% |
| Average | 1.63 | 4.19 | 4.03 | 10.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 22:01 UTC
Wellington Olympic
5W 1D 4L · goals 18:14 · per match 1.8 for, 1.4 against
| 3 Oct | H | Ferrymead Bays | 1-2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Auckland FC 2 | 3-2 | W |
| 13 Dec | H | Auckland City | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Dec | H | Miramar | 2-1 | W |
| 30 Nov | A | Auckland United | 3-0 | W |
| 21 Nov | H | Christchurch United | 2-3 | L |
| 15 Nov | A | Auckland FC 2 | 1-2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Western Suburbs | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Birkenhead United | 4-2 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Auckland City | 0-1 | L |
Ferrymead Bays
3W 3D 4L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against
| 26 Sep | H | Eastern Suburbs | 0-0 | D |
| 24 Feb | A | Cashmere Technical | 1-2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Nomads United | 2-1 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Wanaka | 2-1 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Coastal Spirit | 0-2 | L |
| 9 Aug | H | Cashmere Technical | 0-3 | L |
| 2 Aug | A | Dunedin City Royals | 2-2 | D |
| 19 Jul | H | Universities | 4-2 | W |
| 11 Jul | A | Christchurch United | 0-1 | L |
| 28 Jun | H | Selwyn United | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Wellington Olympic and Ferrymead Bays on record.
National League - National tableFirst Division: Championship Groupupdated 9 Oct 15:50 UTC
In the National League - National table, Wellington Olympic sit 6th with 3 points from 2 games, while Ferrymead Bays are 4th with 4 points from 2.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cashmere Technical | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14:0 | +14 | 6 |
| 2 | Auckland United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | +6 | 4 |
| 3 | Miramar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 4 | Ferrymead Bays | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 5 | Auckland City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 | Wellington Olympic | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Eastern Suburbs | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 8 | Napier City Rovers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
| 9 | Wellington Phoenix II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:11 | -10 | 1 |
| 10 | Auckland FC 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Birkenhead United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.34 | 3.04 | 7.5% |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 7.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 3.00 | 8.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 2.83 | 10.5% |
| Best of all books | 1.40 | 3.04 | 4.3% |
| Average | 1.35 | 2.90 | 8.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 2.88 | 8.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.39 | 2.69 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.39 | 2.63 | 10.0% |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 2.70 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.39 | 2.88 | 6.7% |
| Average | 1.38 | 2.72 | 9.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Wellington Olympic at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Ferrymead Bays at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.51 | 4.47 | 4.71, which imply roughly 66.2% for a Wellington Olympic win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the National League - National table: Wellington Olympic are 6th (3 pts, 4-4 goals), Ferrymead Bays 4th (4 pts, 2-1).
Over their last five matches, Wellington Olympic averaged 3 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Ferrymead Bays averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Wellington Olympic.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.63 | 4.19 | 4.03 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.18 | 2.08 | 1.17 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.33 | 3.02 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.38 | 2.73 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.10 | 2.60 | 4.14 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.49 | 25.0 | 2.43 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.06 | 6.62 |
| 2.5 | 1.35 | 2.91 |
| 3.5 | 1.88 | 1.83 |
| 4.5 | 2.90 | 1.35 |
| 5.5 | 5.11 | 1.12 |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.08 | 5.50 |
| 2 | 1.10 | 5.10 |
| 2.25 | 1.23 | 3.63 |
| 2.75 | 1.41 | 2.61 |
| 3 | 1.51 | 2.35 |
| 3.25 | 1.72 | 2.00 |
| 3.75 | 2.08 | 1.64 |
| 4 | 2.41 | 1.48 |
| 4.25 | 2.71 | 1.40 |
| 4.75 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| 5 | 4.40 | 1.14 |
| 5.25 | 4.80 | 1.13 |
| 6 | 8.10 | 1.02 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.45 | 1.46 |
| -1.25 | 2.21 | 1.56 |
| -1 | 1.96 | 1.75 |
| -0.75 | 1.73 | 1.94 |
| -0.5 | 1.68 | 2.09 |
| -0.25 | 1.43 | 2.55 |
13 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 7.90 | 1.02 |
| -3 | 7.30 | 1.03 |
| -2.75 | 5.31 | 1.09 |
| -2.5 | 4.30 | 1.15 |
| -2.25 | 3.96 | 1.17 |
| -2 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| -1.75 | 2.88 | 1.34 |
| 0 | 1.28 | 3.18 |
| +0.25 | 1.22 | 3.50 |
| +0.75 | 1.11 | 4.95 |
| +1 | 1.04 | 7.10 |
| +1.25 | 1.07 | 5.90 |
| +1.5 | 1.02 | 7.80 |
Latest National League - National results
| 10 Oct | Auckland City 2-2 Wellington Olympic |
| 4 Oct | Cashmere Technical 10-0 Wellington Phoenix II |
| 4 Oct | Auckland United 7-1 Napier City Rovers |
| 26 Sep | Wellington Phoenix II 1-1 Auckland United |