Auckland United vs Napier City Rovers• National League - National, New-Zealand

#21.0:1.07-1FT04/10 · Keith Hay Park1.0:1.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.50BTNX4.141XB22.461XBMargin at best4.8%Books7Markets43Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 18:28 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.46	4.14	2.46	5.5%
Pinnacle	2.39	3.94	2.38	9.2%
BetVictor	2.45	3.60	2.45	9.4%
Betano	2.50	3.65	2.30	10.9%
Bet365	2.35	3.80	2.35	11.4%
Marathonbet	2.35	3.68	2.35	12.3%
William Hill	2.30	3.70	2.30	14.0%
Best of all books	2.50	4.14	2.46	4.8%
Average	2.40	3.79	2.37	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Auckland UnitedNapier City Rovers

Last 10#2Table position#82.00Points per game0.504Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 51.050Attack rating5050Defence rating5050Form rating5080H2H rating200Goals model057Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 01:41 UTC

Auckland United

3W 1D 6L · goals 14:19 · per match 1.4 for, 1.9 against

26 Sep	A	Wellington Phoenix II	1-1	D
26 Jul	A	Nelson Suburbs	1-2	L
4 Jul	H	Cambridge	3-1	W
7 Dec	A	Auckland FC 2	0-3	L
30 Nov	H	Wellington Olympic	0-3	L
23 Nov	A	Western Suburbs	0-1	L
15 Nov	H	Birkenhead United	3-2	W
8 Nov	A	Auckland City	2-4	L
1 Nov	H	Coastal Spirit	3-0	W
26 Oct	A	Western Springs	1-2	L

Napier City Rovers

6W 1D 3L · goals 33:11 · per match 3.3 for, 1.1 against

26 Sep	H	Miramar	1-1	D
16 Aug	A	Cashmere Technical	1-2	L
26 Jul	A	Hibiscus Coast	5-2	W
4 Jul	A	Petone	4-0	W
30 Aug	A	Wellington Olympic	0-1	L
24 Aug	H	Petone	5-1	W
9 Aug	A	Miramar	2-3	L
3 Aug	H	Waterside Karori	6-0	W
20 Jul	H	Island Bay United	4-1	W
12 Jul	A	Upper Hutt City	5-0	W

Head to head

1Auckland United wins

1draws

0Napier City Rovers wins

2 meetings · goals 6:5 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Auckland United

18 Nov 2023National League - National	National League - National	Auckland United3-3Napier City Rovers
26 Nov 2022National League - National	National League - National	Auckland United3-2Napier City Rovers

National League - National tableFirst Division: Championship Groupupdated 9 Oct 15:50 UTC

In the National League - National table, Auckland United sit 2nd with 4 points from 2 games, while Napier City Rovers are 8th with 1 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cashmere Technical	2	2	0	0	14:0	+14	6
2	Auckland United	2	1	1	0	8:2	+6	4
3	Miramar	2	1	1	0	3:2	+1	4
4	Ferrymead Bays	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
5	Auckland City	1	1	0	0	4:2	+2	3
6	Wellington Olympic	2	1	0	1	4:4	0	3
7	Eastern Suburbs	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
8	Napier City Rovers	2	0	1	1	2:8	-6	1
9	Wellington Phoenix II	2	0	1	1	1:11	-10	1
10	Auckland FC 2	2	0	0	2	3:5	-2	0
11	Birkenhead United	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.38X25%3.67238%2.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.50	2.54	6.0%
Pinnacle	1.47	2.55	7.2%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
BetVictor	1.49	2.39	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.45	2.41	10.5%
Best of all books	1.53	2.55	4.6%
Average	1.49	2.45	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
1xBet	1.42	2.59	9.0%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.53	9.9%
Best of all books	1.44	2.70	6.5%
Average	1.42	2.58	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Auckland United 45%Draw 45%Napier City Rovers 10%

The statistical model rated Auckland United at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Napier City Rovers at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.38 | 3.67 | 2.40, which imply roughly 42% for a Auckland United win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - National table: Auckland United are 2nd (4 pts, 8-2 goals), Napier City Rovers 8th (1 pts, 2-8).

Over their last five matches, Auckland United averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Napier City Rovers averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Auckland United or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.40	3.79	2.37

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.48	1.45	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.86	1.81

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.42	2.58

1st half

1	X	2
2.91	2.40	2.89

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.89	19.0	1.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	12.0
1.5	1.11	5.22
2.5	1.49	2.45
3.5	2.19	1.60
4.5	3.72	1.22
5.5	7.20	1.05

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.50
1.75	1.13	4.60
2	1.19	3.95
2.25	1.33	3.02
2.75	1.58	2.19
3	1.76	1.93
3.25	2.00	1.74
3.75	2.54	1.43
4	3.15	1.30
4.25	3.59	1.23
4.75	4.80	1.12
5	6.65	1.05
5.25	7.20	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.38	1.51
-0.25	2.10	1.64
0	1.86	1.86
+0.25	1.70	2.04
+0.5	1.51	2.38
+0.75	1.38	2.73

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.60	1.03
-1.75	6.05	1.06
-1.5	4.65	1.12
-1.25	4.20	1.15
-1	3.78	1.19
-0.75	2.80	1.35
+1	1.19	3.78
+1.25	1.15	4.20
+1.5	1.12	4.65
+1.75	1.06	6.05
+2.5	1.03	8.60

Latest National League - National results

10 Oct	Auckland City 2-2 Wellington Olympic
4 Oct	Cashmere Technical 10-0 Wellington Phoenix II
3 Oct	Wellington Olympic 1-2 Ferrymead Bays
26 Sep	Wellington Phoenix II 1-1 Auckland United