Wellington Phoenix II vs Auckland United• National League - National, New-Zealand

#91-1FT26/09#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.75BVCX4.50B36521.58PINMargin at best6.6%Books6Markets53Rating63 · 37

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Sep 05:28 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	4.20	4.44	1.59	9.2%
BetVictor	4.50	4.40	1.55	9.5%
1xBet	4.42	4.30	1.54	10.8%
Betano	4.25	4.15	1.57	11.3%
Marathonbet	4.33	4.30	1.52	12.1%
William Hill	4.00	4.00	1.57	13.7%
Best of all books	4.50	4.44	1.59	7.6%
Average	4.28	4.26	1.56	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Wellington Phoenix IIAuckland United

Last 10#9Table position#20.50Points per game2.007Form pts · last 540Attack rating00Defence rating00Form rating071H2H rating290Goals model063Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 01:41 UTC

Wellington Phoenix II

3W 2D 5L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

26 Sep	H	Auckland United	1-1	D
7 Dec	A	Western Suburbs	7-2	W
29 Nov	H	Birkenhead United	2-3	L
22 Nov	A	Auckland City	0-2	L
15 Nov	H	Coastal Spirit	1-0	W
9 Nov	A	Western Springs	0-3	L
25 Oct	H	Miramar	1-4	L
18 Oct	A	Auckland United	0-0	D
11 Oct	H	Christchurch United	3-0	W
4 Oct	A	Auckland FC 2	1-2	L

Auckland United

3W 1D 6L · goals 14:19 · per match 1.4 for, 1.9 against

26 Sep	A	Wellington Phoenix II	1-1	D
26 Jul	A	Nelson Suburbs	1-2	L
4 Jul	H	Cambridge	3-1	W
7 Dec	A	Auckland FC 2	0-3	L
30 Nov	H	Wellington Olympic	0-3	L
23 Nov	A	Western Suburbs	0-1	L
15 Nov	H	Birkenhead United	3-2	W
8 Nov	A	Auckland City	2-4	L
1 Nov	H	Coastal Spirit	3-0	W
26 Oct	A	Western Springs	1-2	L

Head to head

1Wellington Phoenix II wins

2draws

0Auckland United wins

3 meetings · goals 6:5 · last 3: 1W 2D 0L for Wellington Phoenix II

18 Oct 2025National League - National	National League - National	Auckland United0-0Wellington Phoenix II
5 Nov 2023National League - National	National League - National	Auckland United3-4Wellington Phoenix II
9 Oct 2022National League - National	National League - National	Wellington Phoenix II2-2Auckland United

National League - National tableFirst Division: Championship Groupupdated 9 Oct 15:50 UTC

In the National League - National table, Wellington Phoenix II sit 9th with 1 points from 2 games, while Auckland United are 2nd with 4 points from 2.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Cashmere Technical	2	2	0	0	14:0	+14	6
2	Auckland United	2	1	1	0	8:2	+6	4
3	Miramar	2	1	1	0	3:2	+1	4
4	Ferrymead Bays	2	1	1	0	2:1	+1	4
5	Auckland City	1	1	0	0	4:2	+2	3
6	Wellington Olympic	2	1	0	1	4:4	0	3
7	Eastern Suburbs	2	0	1	1	2:4	-2	1
8	Napier City Rovers	2	0	1	1	2:8	-6	1
9	Wellington Phoenix II	2	0	1	1	1:11	-10	1
10	Auckland FC 2	2	0	0	2	3:5	-2	0
11	Birkenhead United	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg120%4.40X21%4.35259%1.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.28 → 4.40 +2.8%X4.27 → 4.35 +1.9%21.56 → 1.53 -1.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
BetVictor	1.29	3.30	7.8%
1xBet	1.27	3.14	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.27	3.14	10.6%
Best of all books	1.29	3.30	7.8%
Average	1.28	3.19	9.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.36	2.88	8.3%
BetVictor	1.33	3.00	8.5%
1xBet	1.35	2.86	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.35	2.79	9.9%
Best of all books	1.36	3.00	6.9%
Average	1.35	2.88	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Wellington Phoenix II 45%Draw 45%Auckland United 10%

The statistical model rated Wellington Phoenix II at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Auckland United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.40 | 4.35 | 1.53, which imply roughly 22.7% for a Wellington Phoenix II win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League - National table: Wellington Phoenix II are 9th (1 pts, 1-11 goals), Auckland United 2nd (4 pts, 8-2).

Over their last five matches, Wellington Phoenix II averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Auckland United averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Wellington Phoenix II or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.28	4.27	1.56

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.18	1.16	1.15

Draw no bet

1	2
3.33	1.26

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.35	2.88

1st half

1	X	2
4.26	2.66	1.97

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.49	31.0	1.45

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	25.0
1.5	1.05	6.93
2.5	1.28	3.19
3.5	1.75	1.93
4.5	2.66	1.40
5.5	4.49	1.14

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	12.5
1.75	1.06	6.25
2	1.07	5.85
2.25	1.17	4.00
2.75	1.32	2.88
3	1.40	2.61
3.25	1.58	2.18
3.75	1.92	1.77
4	2.17	1.59
4.25	2.40	1.48
4.75	3.04	1.29
5	3.80	1.19
5.25	4.05	1.16
6	6.90	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.64	1.40
+0.5	2.30	1.55
+0.75	2.05	1.65
+1	1.82	1.85
+1.25	1.64	2.08
+1.5	1.52	2.30

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.20	1.02
-1	7.50	1.03
-0.75	5.25	1.09
-0.25	3.78	1.19
0	3.42	1.23
+1.75	1.40	2.64
+2	1.26	3.20
+2.25	1.22	3.50
+2.5	1.18	3.84
+2.75	1.12	4.75
+3	1.06	6.35
+3.5	1.04	6.95

Latest National League - National results

10 Oct	Auckland City 2-2 Wellington Olympic
4 Oct	Cashmere Technical 10-0 Wellington Phoenix II
4 Oct	Auckland United 7-1 Napier City Rovers
3 Oct	Wellington Olympic 1-2 Ferrymead Bays