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AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki• Veikkausliiga, Finland

#50.4:0.83-4FT12/10 · Raatin stadion, Oulu2.2:0.6#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.50B365X4.02PIN21.78PINMargin at best3.3%Books10Markets73Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Oct 12:06 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle4.464.021.783.5%
Dafabet4.403.901.774.9%
Betano4.353.751.756.8%
1xBet4.183.881.756.8%
Marathonbet4.203.881.737.4%
William Hill4.203.701.738.6%
Bet3654.503.801.659.1%
BetVictor4.203.701.709.7%
Betfair4.203.751.6710.4%
SBO3.773.361.7114.8%
Best of all books4.504.021.783.3%
Average4.253.771.728.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AC OuluHJK Helsinki
Last 10#5Table position#31.55Points per game1.686Form pts · last 5110.4Goals for · last 52.20.8Goals against · last 50.615Attack rating8543Defence rating5727Form rating7340H2H rating6038Goals model6234Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:03 UTC

AC Oulu

3W 1D 6L · goals 10:13 · per match 1.0 for, 1.3 against

17 OctAInter Turku2-1W
12 OctHHJK Helsinki3-4L
8 OctAKuPS1-0W
18 SepHInter Turku0-1L
12 SepHGnistan1-2L
8 SepAVPS0-1L
31 AugHSJK0-0D
22 AugAFF Jaro1-0W
16 AugHInter Turku2-3L
9 AugHHJK Helsinki0-1L

HJK Helsinki

5W 2D 3L · goals 20:12 · per match 2.0 for, 1.2 against

12 OctAAC Oulu4-3W
8 OctHVPS6-0W
18 SepAGnistan1-1D
13 SepAKuPS0-0D
9 SepHInter Turku2-1W
5 SepAInter Turku0-1L
31 AugAIlves2-1W
23 AugHGnistan2-3L
16 AugHFF Jaro3-0W
13 AugAMotherwell0-2L

Head to head

5AC Oulu wins
2draws
9HJK Helsinki wins

16 meetings · goals 13:28 · last 10: 3W 1D 6L for AC Oulu

9 Aug 2026VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaAC Oulu0-1HJK Helsinki
11 Apr 2026VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaHJK Helsinki0-1AC Oulu
14 Mar 2026League CupLeague CupAC Oulu2-1HJK Helsinki
21 Aug 2025Suomen CupSuomen CupHJK Helsinki1-0AC Oulu
20 Jul 2025VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaHJK Helsinki3-1AC Oulu
14 Jun 2025VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaAC Oulu0-4HJK Helsinki
27 Jul 2024VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaHJK Helsinki3-0AC Oulu
31 May 2024VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaAC Oulu1-0HJK Helsinki
27 Aug 2023VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaAC Oulu1-3HJK Helsinki
23 Apr 2023VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaHJK Helsinki1-1AC Oulu

Veikkausliiga tableVeikkausliigaupdated 21 Oct 03:40 UTC

In the Veikkausliiga table, AC Oulu sit 5th with 34 points from 22 games, while HJK Helsinki are 3rd with 37 points from 22.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1KuPS22127338:23+1543
2Inter Turku22119229:16+1342
3HJK Helsinki22114736:27+937
4Gnistan22106636:29+736
5AC Oulu22104825:25034
6VPS2296729:22+733
7Lahti2295826:19+732
8Turku PS2287728:23+531
9Ilves22741134:37-325
10SJK22471125:33-819
11FF Jaro22361318:44-2615
12Mariehamn22351417:43-2614

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg122%4.25X25%3.77254%1.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

9 Oct 00:0112 Oct 14:201 4.25X 3.772 1.72
14.33 → 4.25 -1.8%X3.87 → 3.77 -2.6%21.71 → 1.72 +0.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.752.173.2%
SBO1.662.195.9%
Betano1.702.126.0%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
1xBet1.682.116.9%
Marathonbet1.682.116.9%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
BetVictor1.672.048.9%
Best of all books1.752.192.8%
Average1.692.126.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.672.156.4%
William Hill1.652.157.1%
Bet3651.702.057.6%
Betano1.652.127.8%
1xBet1.642.137.9%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
Marathonbet1.642.108.6%
Best of all books1.702.155.3%
Average1.662.117.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AC Oulu 10%Draw 45%HJK Helsinki 45%

The statistical model rated AC Oulu at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and HJK Helsinki at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.25 | 3.77 | 1.72, which imply roughly 26.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Veikkausliiga table: AC Oulu are 5th (34 pts, 25-25 goals), HJK Helsinki 3rd (37 pts, 36-27).

Over their last five matches, AC Oulu averaged 0.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; HJK Helsinki averaged 2.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or HJK Helsinki.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

AC Oulu

4-4-2

Coach: M. Isokangas

Goalkeeper

  • 13Miguel Santos

Defence

  • 16O. Kemppainen
  • 5M. Pitkänen
  • 66J. Pirinen
  • 22T. Kaukua

Midfield

  • 36J. Lotvonen
  • 25M. Arsalo
  • 21I. Mendolin
  • 27E. Kallio

Attack

  • 7R. Karjalainen
  • 10C. Triana
Substitutes (9)
  • 18Adramane Cassamá
  • 11L. Ghezali
  • 14N. Jokelainen
  • 3J. Lietsa
  • 30J. Makelainen
  • 9R. Riski
  • 99N. Schulz
  • 2S. Sipola
  • 19J. Omotayo

HJK Helsinki

4-3-3

Coach: J. Rantanen

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Öst

Defence

  • 17N. Alho
  • 31M. Bogićević
  • 6V. Tikkanen
  • 14L. Montano

Midfield

  • 22L. Möller
  • 4A. Ring
  • 8P. Mentu

Attack

  • 29S. Haarala
  • 9M. Borchers
  • 7Alfie Cicale
Substitutes (9)
  • 13K. Simojoki
  • 77J. Veteli
  • 20T. Pukki
  • 30J. Samooja
  • 10L. Lingman
  • 24E. Leveälahti
  • 87N. Kroupkin
  • 32Mouhamed Guèye II
  • 11M. Kirilov

Match Statistics

AC OuluHJK Helsinki
1.76Expected Goals3.44
292Passes accurate430
10Shots insidebox12
4Shots outsidebox6
4Blocked Shots2
7Free Kicks11
4Shots on Goal6
2Goalkeeper Saves1
6Shots off Goal10
3Offsides2
346Total passes501
14Total Shots18
4Yellow Cards0
6Corner Kicks6
12Fouls7
0Red Cards0
40%Ball Possession60%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.253.771.72

Double chance

1XX212
2.041.191.22

Draw no bet

12
3.251.31

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.662.11

1st half

1X2
4.472.302.25

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.5414.01.56

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.6
1.51.204.10
2.51.692.12
3.52.701.42
4.55.001.15
5.59.431.04
6.517.71.01
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.028.70
1.251.085.55
1.751.213.59
21.283.14
2.251.502.47
2.751.871.88
32.131.65
3.252.381.51
3.753.081.28
44.051.16
4.254.401.14
4.755.951.07
58.301.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.411.50
+0.52.091.72
+0.751.841.91
+11.592.30
+1.251.452.59
+1.51.372.91
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.59.001.01
-18.001.02
-0.755.321.11
-0.54.151.22
-0.253.651.24
03.201.31
+1.751.253.60
+21.134.87
+2.251.125.30
+2.51.105.70
+2.751.047.55
+31.0110.0
+3.51.019.80

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.037.60
6.51.124.88
7.51.273.28
8.51.522.38
9.51.901.85
10.52.401.50
11.53.191.29
12.54.431.14
13.55.801.08
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.751.283.08
8.251.422.60
8.751.572.19
91.682.13
9.251.781.93
9.752.011.70
102.161.66
10.252.311.53
10.752.621.38
11.253.081.28

Next Veikkausliiga matches

21 OctPK-35 – FF Jaro
24 OctVPS – Inter Turku
24 OctGnistan – AC Oulu

All Veikkausliiga fixtures and the table

Latest Veikkausliiga results

18 OctKuPS 2-0 VPS
17 OctInter Turku 1-2 AC Oulu
17 OctHJK Helsinki 4-0 Gnistan
17 OctLahti 5-1 Turku PS
17 OctIlves 2-0 SJK
17 OctFF Jaro 1-1 Mariehamn