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KuPS vs VPS• Veikkausliiga, Finland

#10.6:0.62-0FT18/10 · Savon Sanomat Areena, Kuopio0.4:1.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.58PINX4.29PIN25.78PINMargin at best3.9%Books6Markets75Rating64 · 36Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 08:09 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.584.295.783.9%
1xBet1.574.055.367.0%
Marathonbet1.554.055.457.6%
BetVictor1.553.905.259.2%
Bet3651.553.705.509.7%
William Hill1.573.805.0010.0%
Best of all books1.584.295.783.9%
Average1.563.965.397.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KuPSVPS
Last 10#1Table position#61.95Points per game1.506Form pts · last 530.6Goals for · last 50.40.6Goals against · last 51.860Attack rating4075Defence rating2545Form rating5571H2H rating2963Goals model3764Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 06:00 UTC

KuPS

3W 2D 5L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

18 OctHVPS2-0W
15 OctHTrabzonspor2-4L
11 OctAInter Turku0-1L
8 OctHAC Oulu0-1L
19 SepAVPS2-0W
13 SepHHJK Helsinki0-0D
8 SepAGnistan1-1D
31 AugAInter Turku0-1L
27 AugHShamrock Rovers1-0W
23 AugHMariehamn2-4L

VPS

4W 0D 6L · goals 7:16 · per match 0.7 for, 1.6 against

18 OctAKuPS0-2L
12 OctHGnistan1-0W
8 OctAHJK Helsinki0-6L
19 SepHKuPS0-2L
14 SepAInter Turku0-1L
8 SepHAC Oulu1-0W
31 AugHLahti0-1L
22 AugAIlves1-0W
14 AugHTurku PS1-3L
8 AugAFF Jaro3-1W

Head to head

24KuPS wins
10draws
9VPS wins

43 meetings · goals 71:39 · last 10: 6W 3D 1L for KuPS

19 Sep 2026VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaVPS0-2KuPS
25 Jul 2026VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaKuPS3-1VPS
13 Jun 2026VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaVPS1-1KuPS
10 Jun 2026Suomen CupSuomen CupKuPS0-0VPS
31 Jan 2026League CupLeague CupKuPS3-1VPS
19 Jul 2025VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaVPS1-1KuPS
25 May 2025VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaKuPS0-2VPS
1 Feb 2025League CupLeague CupKuPS2-0VPS
14 Sep 2024VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaKuPS3-1VPS
22 May 2024VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaVPS1-3KuPS

Veikkausliiga tableVeikkausliigaupdated 21 Oct 17:30 UTC

In the Veikkausliiga table, KuPS sit 1st with 43 points from 22 games, while VPS are 6th with 33 points from 22.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1KuPS22127338:23+1543
2Inter Turku22119229:16+1342
3HJK Helsinki22114736:27+937
4Gnistan22106636:29+736
5AC Oulu22104825:25034
6VPS2296729:22+733
7Lahti2295826:19+732
8Turku PS2287728:23+531
9Ilves22741134:37-325
10SJK22471125:33-819
11FF Jaro22361318:44-2615
12Mariehamn22351417:43-2614

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.56X23%3.97217%5.39

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0118 Oct 08:501 1.56X 3.972 5.39
11.56 → 1.56 0.0%X3.88 → 3.97 +2.3%25.58 → 5.39 -3.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.802.093.4%
Bet3651.752.055.9%
1xBet1.761.997.1%
Marathonbet1.761.997.1%
BetVictor1.721.978.9%
Best of all books1.802.093.4%
Average1.762.026.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.801.956.8%
1xBet1.811.907.9%
BetVictor1.781.938.0%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.811.878.7%
Best of all books1.811.956.5%
Average1.791.927.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

KuPS 45%Draw 45%VPS 10%

The statistical model rated KuPS at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and VPS at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.56 | 3.97 | 5.39, which imply roughly 64.1% for a KuPS win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Veikkausliiga table: KuPS are 1st (43 pts, 38-23 goals), VPS 6th (33 pts, 29-22).

Over their last five matches, KuPS averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; VPS averaged 0.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : KuPS or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

KuPS

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Nuutinen

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Kreidl

Defence

  • 6S. Savolainen
  • 33T. Hämäläinen
  • 23A. Lötjönen
  • 25C. Antwi

Midfield

  • 10V. Gasc
  • 8P. Pennanen
  • 14S. Pasanen

Attack

  • 21J. Luyeye-Lutumba
  • 24B. Armah
  • 11J. Moreno
Substitutes (9)
  • 34J. Eskesen
  • 9G. Engvall
  • 15A. Aiki
  • 3S. Heiskanen
  • 16T. Jyry
  • 20P. Parzyszek
  • 29A. Puukko
  • 12H. Riihimäki
  • 22S. Touray

VPS

3-4-1-2

Coach: J. Nuorela

Goalkeeper

  • 41M. Jalloh

Defence

  • 23M. Niemi
  • 27K. Kouassivi-Benissan

Midfield

  • 6E. Okereke
  • 2L. Mane
  • 34A. Räisänen
  • 8Paulo Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima
  • 7J. Turfkruier
  • 30J. Vahtera

Attack

  • 9C. Holmelund
  • 20X. Odhiambo
Substitutes (9)
  • 24Y. Daoussi
  • 14S. Lindholm
  • 11J. Muzinga
  • 13Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi
  • 1A. Piispa
  • 25Henri Salomaa
  • 29W. Samaké
  • 3Razak Simpson
  • 17Dren Tërrnava

Match Statistics

KuPSVPS
1.69Expected Goals0.84
430Passes accurate368
8Shots insidebox3
2Shots outsidebox5
4Blocked Shots4
14Free Kicks9
4Shots on Goal2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
2Shots off Goal2
3Offsides3
542Total passes467
10Total Shots8
2Yellow Cards3
1Corner Kicks5
9Fouls15
0Red Cards0
42%Ball Possession58%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.563.975.39

Double chance

1XX212
1.132.321.21

Draw no bet

12
1.214.11

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.791.92

1st half

1X2
2.082.335.52

2nd half

1X2
1.912.605.05

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.2916.142.3
HT X4.336.2011.8
HT 223.017.39.60

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4711.52.94

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0210.7
1.51.233.78
2.51.762.02
3.52.831.37
4.55.411.12
5.59.931.04
6.523.01.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.88
11.018.60
1.251.114.95
1.751.273.21
21.372.87
2.251.562.33
2.751.931.79
32.261.57
3.252.541.45
3.753.281.25
44.331.14
4.254.701.12
58.601.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.511.47
-1.252.221.60
-11.961.81
-0.751.682.08
-0.51.552.41
-0.251.362.92
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.701.01
-38.101.02
-2.755.881.09
-2.54.551.15
-2.254.181.18
-23.991.21
-1.753.021.35
01.194.18
+0.251.164.75
+0.51.145.75
+0.751.066.67
+11.019.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.085.70
7.51.193.87
8.51.412.64
9.51.682.05
10.52.091.68
11.52.681.39
12.53.611.21
13.55.031.11
14.56.601.05
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.751.402.56
91.522.42
9.251.572.24
9.751.741.93
101.941.85
10.251.981.73
10.752.241.56
112.531.47
11.252.621.42
11.752.971.30

Next Veikkausliiga matches

24 OctVPS – Inter Turku
24 OctGnistan – AC Oulu

All Veikkausliiga fixtures and the table

Latest Veikkausliiga results

21 OctPK-35 1-1 FF Jaro
17 OctInter Turku 1-2 AC Oulu
17 OctHJK Helsinki 4-0 Gnistan
17 OctLahti 5-1 Turku PS
17 OctIlves 2-0 SJK
17 OctFF Jaro 1-1 Mariehamn