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HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan• Veikkausliiga, Finland

#32.6:1.04-0FT17/10 · Bolt Arena, Helsinki0.8:0.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.49PINX5.03PIN25.91PINMargin at best3.9%Books6Markets82Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 08:12 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.495.035.913.9%
1xBet1.454.755.916.9%
Marathonbet1.444.755.907.4%
BetVictor1.444.505.759.1%
William Hill1.444.505.509.8%
Bet3651.454.335.5010.2%
Best of all books1.495.035.913.9%
Average1.454.645.757.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HJK HelsinkiGnistan
Last 10#3Table position#41.68Points per game1.6411Form pts · last 552.6Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 50.876Attack rating2444Defence rating5665Form rating3571H2H rating2952Goals model4863Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

HJK Helsinki

5W 2D 3L · goals 20:12 · per match 2.0 for, 1.2 against

12 OctAAC Oulu4-3W
8 OctHVPS6-0W
18 SepAGnistan1-1D
13 SepAKuPS0-0D
9 SepHInter Turku2-1W
5 SepAInter Turku0-1L
31 AugAIlves2-1W
23 AugHGnistan2-3L
16 AugHFF Jaro3-0W
13 AugAMotherwell0-2L

Gnistan

3W 5D 2L · goals 13:15 · per match 1.3 for, 1.5 against

17 OctAHJK Helsinki0-4L
12 OctAVPS0-1L
7 OctHInter Turku0-0D
18 SepHHJK Helsinki1-1D
12 SepAAC Oulu2-1W
8 SepHKuPS1-1D
31 AugHTurku PS1-1D
23 AugAHJK Helsinki3-2W
17 AugHIlves3-2W
7 AugASJK2-2D

Head to head

8HJK Helsinki wins
2draws
5Gnistan wins

15 meetings · goals 34:20 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for HJK Helsinki

18 Sep 2026VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaGnistan1-1HJK Helsinki
23 Aug 2026VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaHJK Helsinki2-3Gnistan
18 Apr 2026VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaGnistan0-3HJK Helsinki
10 Mar 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsHJK Helsinki3-0Gnistan
7 Feb 2026League CupLeague CupHJK Helsinki3-1Gnistan
3 Nov 2025VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaGnistan2-2HJK Helsinki
3 Oct 2025VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaHJK Helsinki2-3Gnistan
28 Jul 2025VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaGnistan2-4HJK Helsinki
22 Apr 2025VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaHJK Helsinki0-1Gnistan
11 Jan 2025League CupLeague CupHJK Helsinki0-1Gnistan

Veikkausliiga tableVeikkausliigaupdated 21 Oct 19:40 UTC

In the Veikkausliiga table, HJK Helsinki sit 3rd with 37 points from 22 games, while Gnistan are 4th with 36 points from 22.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1KuPS22127338:23+1543
2Inter Turku22119229:16+1342
3HJK Helsinki22114736:27+937
4Gnistan22106636:29+736
5AC Oulu22104825:25034
6VPS2296729:22+733
7Lahti2295826:19+732
8Turku PS2287728:23+531
9Ilves22741134:37-325
10SJK22471125:33-819
11FF Jaro22361318:44-2615
12Mariehamn22351417:43-2614

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.41X20%4.72215%6.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0117 Oct 08:301 1.45X 4.642 5.75
11.49 → 1.45 -2.7%X4.50 → 4.64 +3.1%25.36 → 5.75 +7.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.432.914.3%
Bet3651.402.886.2%
BetVictor1.402.757.8%
1xBet1.362.6910.7%
Marathonbet1.362.6910.7%
Best of all books1.432.914.3%
Average1.392.787.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.572.307.2%
1xBet1.532.357.9%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.502.408.3%
Marathonbet1.532.318.6%
Best of all books1.572.405.4%
Average1.542.328.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

HJK Helsinki 45%Draw 45%Gnistan 10%

The statistical model rated HJK Helsinki at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Gnistan at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.41 | 4.72 | 6.31, which imply roughly 70.9% for a HJK Helsinki win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Veikkausliiga table: HJK Helsinki are 3rd (37 pts, 36-27 goals), Gnistan 4th (36 pts, 36-29).

Over their last five matches, HJK Helsinki averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Gnistan averaged 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : HJK Helsinki or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

HJK Helsinki

4-2-3-1

Coach: J. Rantanen

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Öst

Defence

  • 13K. Simojoki
  • 31M. Bogićević
  • 6V. Tikkanen
  • 14L. Montano

Midfield

  • 4A. Ring
  • 8P. Mentu
  • 9M. Borchers
  • 7Alfie Cicale

Attack

  • 20T. Pukki

Squad

  • 29S. Haarala
Substitutes (9)
  • 17N. Alho
  • 3T. Cissokho
  • 32Mouhamed Guèye II
  • 26L. Lappalainen
  • 10L. Lingman
  • 22L. Möller
  • 30J. Samooja
  • 77J. Veteli
  • 11M. Kirilov

Gnistan

5-4-1

Coach: Jussi Leppälahti

Squad

  • 1O. Virtanen
  • 19B. Milovanov
  • 24P. Gnanou
  • 3Ruxi
  • 31A. Jouhi
  • 15G. Europaeus
  • 14S. Eremenko
  • 12E. Arko-Mensah
  • 7A. Atarah
  • 10J. Latonen
  • 23S. Ylätupa
Substitutes (7)
  • 95M. Jurička
  • 27O. Hannula
  • 26R. Eremenko
  • 2B. Dahlström
  • 67A. Obileye
  • 40J. Ojala
  • 11D. Pérez

Match Statistics

HJK HelsinkiGnistan
3.35Expected Goals0.39
564Passes accurate194
12Shots insidebox5
5Shots outsidebox5
5Blocked Shots0
15Free Kicks6
8Shots on Goal4
4Goalkeeper Saves4
4Shots off Goal6
646Total passes268
17Total Shots10
4Corner Kicks6
0Offsides1
0Red Cards1
0Yellow Cards3
7Fouls15
63%Ball Possession37%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.454.645.75

Double chance

1XX212
1.112.601.16

Draw no bet

12
1.174.67

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.542.32

1st half

1X2
1.892.675.48

2nd half

1X2
1.723.054.98

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.0216.342.3
HT X4.478.0013.7
HT 218.417.410.3

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4122.52.79

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0218.5
1.51.106.12
2.51.392.78
3.52.021.74
4.53.291.29
5.56.051.10
6.513.01.04
7.523.01.01
8.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0212.0
1.751.095.25
21.124.75
2.251.243.34
2.751.482.47
31.602.20
3.251.821.92
3.752.271.57
42.621.39
4.252.881.32
4.753.841.18
55.001.10
5.255.301.09
69.30–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.471.50
-1.52.161.66
-1.251.931.82
-11.672.09
-0.751.522.37
-0.51.472.72
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-410.51.01
-3.56.601.05
-3.256.371.08
-36.021.09
-2.754.351.16
-2.53.521.24
-2.253.351.29
-23.011.35
-0.251.303.29
01.144.67
+0.251.125.13
+0.51.126.00
+11.0110.0
+1.51.0110.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.056.50
7.51.154.35
8.51.322.97
9.51.572.23
10.51.901.84
11.52.451.47
12.53.191.27
13.54.401.15
14.55.801.08
15.56.601.05
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.751.332.83
9.251.472.46
9.751.612.12
101.762.02
10.251.831.87
10.752.051.67
112.121.71
11.252.341.50
11.752.661.37
12.252.961.33

Next Veikkausliiga matches

24 OctVPS – Inter Turku
24 OctGnistan – AC Oulu

All Veikkausliiga fixtures and the table

Latest Veikkausliiga results

21 OctPK-35 1-1 FF Jaro
18 OctKuPS 2-0 VPS
17 OctInter Turku 1-2 AC Oulu
17 OctLahti 5-1 Turku PS
17 OctIlves 2-0 SJK
17 OctFF Jaro 1-1 Mariehamn