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Ilves vs SJK• Veikkausliiga, Finland

#92.0:0.82-0FT17/10 · Tammela Stadium, Tampere0.8:0.4#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.92PINX3.99PIN23.73PINMargin at best4.0%Books6Markets69Rating56 · 45Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 02:14 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.934.033.753.3%
1xBet1.923.723.586.9%
Marathonbet1.903.723.587.4%
Bet3651.853.603.609.6%
BetVictor1.853.703.509.7%
William Hill1.853.603.5010.4%
Best of all books1.934.033.753.3%
Average1.883.733.587.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

IlvesSJK
Last 10#9Table position#101.14Points per game0.8613Form pts · last 592.0Goals for · last 50.80.8Goals against · last 50.471Attack rating2933Defence rating6753Form rating4750H2H rating5073Goals model2756Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

Ilves

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:9 · per match 1.8 for, 0.9 against

10 OctAMariehamn1-1D
3 OctHHaka3-0W
19 SepATurku PS3-0W
12 SepHLahti3-1W
8 SepHFF Jaro2-0W
31 AugHHJK Helsinki1-2L
22 AugHVPS0-1L
17 AugAGnistan2-3L
13 AugHHNK Rijeka1-1D
9 AugHMariehamn2-0W

SJK

3W 4D 3L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

9 OctHLahti1-0W
18 SepHMariehamn2-1W
12 SepAFF Jaro1-1D
8 SepATurku PS0-0D
31 AugAAC Oulu0-0D
21 AugHLahti1-2L
15 AugAMariehamn0-2L
7 AugHGnistan2-2D
3 AugHHJK Helsinki3-0W
24 JulAFF Jaro1-2L

Head to head

15Ilves wins
12draws
16SJK wins

43 meetings · goals 65:67 · last 10: 2W 6D 2L for Ilves

27 Jun 2026VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaIlves2-2SJK
2 May 2026VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaSJK1-1Ilves
18 Feb 2026League CupLeague CupIlves3-1SJK
3 Nov 2025VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaIlves3-3SJK
4 Oct 2025VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaSJK2-1Ilves
5 Jul 2025VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaSJK1-1Ilves
18 Jun 2025VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaIlves2-3SJK
25 Jan 2025League CupLeague CupIlves1-1SJK
19 Oct 2024VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaIlves4-0SJK
19 Jun 2024VeikkausliigaVeikkausliigaIlves2-2SJK

Veikkausliiga tableVeikkausliigaupdated 21 Oct 19:40 UTC

In the Veikkausliiga table, Ilves sit 9th with 25 points from 22 games, while SJK are 10th with 19 points from 22.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1KuPS22127338:23+1543
2Inter Turku22119229:16+1342
3HJK Helsinki22114736:27+937
4Gnistan22106636:29+736
5AC Oulu22104825:25034
6VPS2296729:22+733
7Lahti2295826:19+732
8Turku PS2287728:23+531
9Ilves22741134:37-325
10SJK22471125:33-819
11FF Jaro22361318:44-2615
12Mariehamn22351417:43-2614

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.89X24%3.82227%3.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0116 Oct 20:401 1.89X 3.722 3.58
11.88 → 1.89 +0.5%X3.66 → 3.72 +1.6%23.63 → 3.58 -1.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.612.413.6%
Bet3651.572.356.2%
1xBet1.582.297.0%
Marathonbet1.582.297.0%
BetVictor1.572.218.9%
Best of all books1.612.413.6%
Average1.582.316.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.532.387.4%
1xBet1.522.378.0%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.502.408.3%
Marathonbet1.522.338.7%
Best of all books1.572.405.4%
Average1.532.358.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ilves 45%Draw 45%SJK 10%

The statistical model rated Ilves at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and SJK at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.89 | 3.82 | 3.50, which imply roughly 52.9% for a Ilves win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Veikkausliiga table: Ilves are 9th (25 pts, 34-37 goals), SJK 10th (19 pts, 25-33).

Over their last five matches, Ilves averaged 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; SJK averaged 0.8 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ilves or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Ilves

Coach: Camilo Speranza

Goalkeeper

  • 12F. Krkalić

Defence

  • 3M. Rale
  • 16T. Miettunen
  • 24V. Kumpu
  • 13K. Wallius
  • 19Goudouss Bamba

Midfield

  • 33Y. Sacko
  • 14A. Popovitch
  • 22O. Multala

Attack

  • 9T. Hytönen
  • 17S. Baranov
Substitutes (9)
  • 11H. Coulibaly
  • 28J. Kilo
  • 27F. Kouakou
  • 31R. Leislahti
  • 6Y. Raap
  • 72Aapeli Rasanen
  • 8M. Stjopin
  • 25S. Suvanne
  • 45E. Tamminen

SJK

Coach: J. Wiss

Goalkeeper

  • 60S. F. James

Defence

  • 2Facundo Costantini
  • 28K. Nwanege
  • 5O. Väistö

Midfield

  • 6S. Yussif
  • 8A. Boström
  • 19E. Mastokangas
  • 48A. Traore
  • 22L. Vesterbacka

Attack

  • 7Kelwin
  • 27A. Vellios
Substitutes (9)
  • 35J. Viitala
  • 37T. Tollinen
  • 9J. Streng
  • 1R. Paunio
  • 14Murilo
  • 15E. Mömmö
  • 54T. Kangaskokko
  • 51A. Cisse
  • 43S. Bagayogo

Match Statistics

IlvesSJK
1.24Expected Goals1.06
269Passes accurate448
4Shots insidebox11
2Shots outsidebox5
2Blocked Shots7
10Free Kicks8
3Shots on Goal1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
1Shots off Goal8
333Total passes522
6Total Shots16
2Yellow Cards3
0Offsides3
0Corner Kicks10
8Fouls10
0Red Cards0
35%Ball Possession65%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.883.733.58

Double chance

1XX212
1.251.811.26

Draw no bet

12
1.412.67

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.532.35

1st half

1X2
2.412.364.02

2nd half

1X2
2.212.643.59

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.9014.030.3
HT X5.236.178.50
HT 222.314.85.97

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6315.82.30

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.8
1.51.164.73
2.51.582.31
3.52.391.51
4.54.321.18
5.58.231.04
6.517.01.02
7.534.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.40
1.251.066.15
1.751.174.01
21.223.56
2.251.402.70
2.751.722.05
31.911.80
3.252.161.62
3.752.741.35
43.481.22
4.253.821.19
4.755.101.10
57.001.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.252.881.37
-12.571.45
-0.752.111.66
-0.51.891.90
-0.251.652.16
01.432.72
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.56.371.08
-2.255.931.09
-25.581.10
-1.753.961.19
-1.53.241.30
+0.251.343.09
+0.51.293.63
+0.751.164.33
+11.086.37
+1.251.066.80
+1.51.047.10

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.066.30
7.51.164.18
8.51.342.89
9.51.612.16
10.52.011.73
11.52.511.44
12.53.311.25
13.54.601.14
14.56.001.07
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.751.352.74
91.472.55
9.251.502.37
9.751.652.05
101.821.98
10.251.881.84
10.752.111.63
112.341.55
11.252.431.48
11.752.781.34

Next Veikkausliiga matches

24 OctVPS – Inter Turku
24 OctGnistan – AC Oulu

All Veikkausliiga fixtures and the table

Latest Veikkausliiga results

21 OctPK-35 1-1 FF Jaro
18 OctKuPS 2-0 VPS
17 OctInter Turku 1-2 AC Oulu
17 OctHJK Helsinki 4-0 Gnistan
17 OctLahti 5-1 Turku PS
17 OctFF Jaro 1-1 Mariehamn