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Bolivia vs Paraguay• Friendlies, World

0.8:2.00-2FT27/09 · Audi Field, Washington2.0:0.7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

18.00BFRX4.50PIN21.531XBMargin at best0.1%Books1Markets39Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Sep 00:15 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Bet3655.254.001.4811.6%
Best of all books5.254.001.4811.6%
Average5.254.001.4811.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BoliviaParaguay
Last 103Form pts · last 580.8Goals for · last 52.02.0Goals against · last 50.740Attack rating6017Defence rating8340Form rating6038H2H rating6221Goals model7935Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Sep 19:51 UTC

Bolivia

2W 1D 7L · goals 7:20 · per match 0.7 for, 2.0 against

27 SepHParaguay0-2L
11 JunHAlgeria0-4L
6 JunHScotland0-4L
1 AprAIraq1-2L
26 MarHSuriname2-1W
15 MarHTrinidad and Tobago3-0W
25 JanHMexico0-1L
18 JanHPanama1-1D
21 DecAPeru0-2L
18 NovAJapan0-3L

Paraguay

5W 2D 3L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against

27 SepABolivia2-0W
4 JulHFrance0-1L
29 JunAGermany1-1D
26 JunHAustralia0-0D
20 JunATürkiye1-0W
13 JunAUSA1-4L
5 JunHNicaragua4-0W
31 MarAMorocco1-2L
27 MarAGreece1-0W
19 NovAMexico2-1W

Head to head

2Bolivia wins
2draws
3Paraguay wins

7 meetings · goals 11:10 · last 7: 2W 2D 3L for Bolivia

19 Nov 2024World Cup - Qualification South AmericaWorld Cup - Qualification South AmericaBolivia2-2Paraguay
17 Oct 2023World Cup - Qualification South AmericaWorld Cup - Qualification South AmericaParaguay1-0Bolivia
14 Oct 2021World Cup - Qualification South AmericaWorld Cup - Qualification South AmericaBolivia4-0Paraguay
15 Jun 2021Copa AmericaCopa AmericaParaguay3-1Bolivia
17 Nov 2020World Cup - Qualification South AmericaWorld Cup - Qualification South AmericaParaguay2-2Bolivia
15 Nov 2016World Cup - Qualification South AmericaWorld Cup - Qualification South AmericaBolivia1-0Paraguay
17 Nov 2015World Cup - Qualification South AmericaWorld Cup - Qualification South AmericaParaguay2-1Bolivia

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg115%6.30X23%4.07263%1.47

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

26 Sep 02:1127 Sep 17:111 6.56X 4.132 1.45
15.25 → 6.56 +25.0%X4.00 → 4.13 +3.2%21.48 → 1.45 -2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.732.085.9%
Best of all books1.732.085.9%
Average1.732.085.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Best of all books1.831.839.3%
Average1.831.839.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bolivia 10%Draw 45%Paraguay 45%

The statistical model rated Bolivia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Paraguay at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.30 | 4.07 | 1.47, which imply roughly 24.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Bolivia averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Paraguay averaged 2 scored and 0.7 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Paraguay.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Bolivia

4-1-4-1

Coach: Óscar Adolfo Villegas Cámara

Goalkeeper

  • 23Guillermo Viscarra

Defence

  • 3Diego Medina
  • 5Efraín Morales
  • 4Luis Haquín
  • 17Roberto Fernández
  • 2Diego Arroyo

Midfield

  • 15Gabriel Villamil
  • 11Fernando Nava
  • 6Héctor Cuellar
  • 20Carlos Melgar
  • 7Miguelito
Substitutes (15)
  • 12Gerónimo Govea
  • 1Rodrigo Banegas
  • 22Marcelo Torrez
  • 8Damian Medina
  • 21Yomar Rocha
  • 19Richet Gomez
  • 16Oscar Lopez
  • 13Leonardo Viviani
  • 18Jesús Maraude
  • 24Guilmar Centella
  • 25Rai Lima
  • 9José Flores
  • 14Robson Matheus
  • 10Ramiro Vaca
  • 26José Martínez

Paraguay

5-4-1

Coach: Gustavo Alfaro

Goalkeeper

  • 22Gastón Olveira

Defence

  • 4Juan Cáceres
  • 15Gustavo Gómez
  • 3Omar Alderete
  • 26Alexandro Maidana

Midfield

  • 14Andrés Cubas
  • 10Miguel Almirón
  • 8Diego Gómez
  • 11Mauricio
  • 19Julio Enciso

Attack

  • 21Robert Morales
Substitutes (15)
  • 12Orlando Gill
  • 1Santiago Rojas
  • 5Clever Ferreira
  • 13José Canale
  • 6Junior Alonso
  • 2Alan Benítez
  • 24Gustavo Caballero
  • 16Hugo Quintana
  • 23Matías Galarza
  • 20Mathias Villasanti
  • 17Enso González
  • 7Ramón Sosa
  • 25Hugo Adrián Benítez
  • 18Alex Arce
  • 9Antonio Sanabria

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
5.254.001.48

Double chance

1XX212
2.501.141.20

Draw no bet

12
4.501.18

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.831.83

1st half

1X2
6.002.402.00

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.8813.01.44

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0413.0
1.51.224.00
2.51.732.08
3.52.751.40
4.55.501.14
5.511.01.05
6.523.01.01
7.551.0–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.52.501.50
+0.752.301.60
+12.001.80
+1.251.722.08
+1.51.582.35
+1.751.422.75
8 more lines
LineHomeAway
-0.55.751.14
-0.255.251.16
04.501.19
+0.253.101.35
+21.273.55
+2.251.243.90
+2.51.214.25
+2.751.145.75

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.732.00
92.001.80

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