Bolivia vs
Paraguay• Friendlies, World
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 26 Sep 00:15 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.48 | 11.6% |
| Best of all books | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.48 | 11.6% |
| Average | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.48 | 11.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Sep 19:51 UTC
Bolivia
2W 1D 7L · goals 7:20 · per match 0.7 for, 2.0 against
| 27 Sep | H | Paraguay | 0-2 | L |
| 11 Jun | H | Algeria | 0-4 | L |
| 6 Jun | H | Scotland | 0-4 | L |
| 1 Apr | A | Iraq | 1-2 | L |
| 26 Mar | H | Suriname | 2-1 | W |
| 15 Mar | H | Trinidad and Tobago | 3-0 | W |
| 25 Jan | H | Mexico | 0-1 | L |
| 18 Jan | H | Panama | 1-1 | D |
| 21 Dec | A | Peru | 0-2 | L |
| 18 Nov | A | Japan | 0-3 | L |
Paraguay
5W 2D 3L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against
| 27 Sep | A | Bolivia | 2-0 | W |
| 4 Jul | H | France | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Jun | A | Germany | 1-1 | D |
| 26 Jun | H | Australia | 0-0 | D |
| 20 Jun | A | Türkiye | 1-0 | W |
| 13 Jun | A | USA | 1-4 | L |
| 5 Jun | H | Nicaragua | 4-0 | W |
| 31 Mar | A | Morocco | 1-2 | L |
| 27 Mar | A | Greece | 1-0 | W |
| 19 Nov | A | Mexico | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
7 meetings · goals 11:10 · last 7: 2W 2D 3L for Bolivia
| 19 Nov 2024World Cup - Qualification South America | World Cup - Qualification South America | Bolivia2-2Paraguay |
| 17 Oct 2023World Cup - Qualification South America | World Cup - Qualification South America | Paraguay1-0Bolivia |
| 14 Oct 2021World Cup - Qualification South America | World Cup - Qualification South America | Bolivia4-0Paraguay |
| 15 Jun 2021Copa America | Copa America | Paraguay3-1Bolivia |
| 17 Nov 2020World Cup - Qualification South America | World Cup - Qualification South America | Paraguay2-2Bolivia |
| 15 Nov 2016World Cup - Qualification South America | World Cup - Qualification South America | Bolivia1-0Paraguay |
| 17 Nov 2015World Cup - Qualification South America | World Cup - Qualification South America | Paraguay2-1Bolivia |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.1% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 5.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.73 | 2.08 | 5.9% |
| Average | 1.73 | 2.08 | 5.9% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 9.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.83 | 1.83 | 9.3% |
| Average | 1.83 | 1.83 | 9.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Bolivia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Paraguay at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.30 | 4.07 | 1.47, which imply roughly 24.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Bolivia averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Paraguay averaged 2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Paraguay.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
Bolivia
4-1-4-1Coach: Óscar Adolfo Villegas Cámara
Goalkeeper
- 23Guillermo Viscarra
Defence
- 3Diego Medina
- 5Efraín Morales
- 4Luis Haquín
- 17Roberto Fernández
- 2Diego Arroyo
Midfield
- 15Gabriel Villamil
- 11Fernando Nava
- 6Héctor Cuellar
- 20Carlos Melgar
- 7Miguelito
Substitutes (15)
- 12Gerónimo Govea
- 1Rodrigo Banegas
- 22Marcelo Torrez
- 8Damian Medina
- 21Yomar Rocha
- 19Richet Gomez
- 16Oscar Lopez
- 13Leonardo Viviani
- 18Jesús Maraude
- 24Guilmar Centella
- 25Rai Lima
- 9José Flores
- 14Robson Matheus
- 10Ramiro Vaca
- 26José Martínez
Paraguay
5-4-1Coach: Gustavo Alfaro
Goalkeeper
- 22Gastón Olveira
Defence
- 4Juan Cáceres
- 15Gustavo Gómez
- 3Omar Alderete
- 26Alexandro Maidana
Midfield
- 14Andrés Cubas
- 10Miguel Almirón
- 8Diego Gómez
- 11Mauricio
- 19Julio Enciso
Attack
- 21Robert Morales
Substitutes (15)
- 12Orlando Gill
- 1Santiago Rojas
- 5Clever Ferreira
- 13José Canale
- 6Junior Alonso
- 2Alan Benítez
- 24Gustavo Caballero
- 16Hugo Quintana
- 23Matías Galarza
- 20Mathias Villasanti
- 17Enso González
- 7Ramón Sosa
- 25Hugo Adrián Benítez
- 18Alex Arce
- 9Antonio Sanabria
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.48 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | 1.14 | 1.20 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 4.50 | 1.18 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.83 | 1.83 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 6.00 | 2.40 | 2.00 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.88 | 13.0 | 1.44 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 13.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.22 | 4.00 |
| 2.5 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 3.5 | 2.75 | 1.40 |
| 4.5 | 5.50 | 1.14 |
| 5.5 | 11.0 | 1.05 |
| 6.5 | 23.0 | 1.01 |
| 7.5 | 51.0 | – |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.5 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| +0.75 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| +1 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| +1.25 | 1.72 | 2.08 |
| +1.5 | 1.58 | 2.35 |
| +1.75 | 1.42 | 2.75 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 5.75 | 1.14 |
| -0.25 | 5.25 | 1.16 |
| 0 | 4.50 | 1.19 |
| +0.25 | 3.10 | 1.35 |
| +2 | 1.27 | 3.55 |
| +2.25 | 1.24 | 3.90 |
| +2.5 | 1.21 | 4.25 |
| +2.75 | 1.14 | 5.75 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 1.73 | 2.00 |
| 9 | 2.00 | 1.80 |