FC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden• UEFA Europa Conference League, World

#162.4:0.819:00Today · MCH Arena, Herning2.0:0.0#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.671XBX4.201XB25.00B365Margin at best3.7%Books6Markets80Rating84 · 17Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 00:17 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.67	4.20	4.97	3.8%
Pinnacle	1.66	4.10	4.90	5.0%
Bet365	1.62	4.00	5.00	6.7%
BetVictor	1.62	4.10	4.75	7.2%
Marathonbet	1.62	4.05	4.80	7.3%
William Hill	1.65	3.90	4.75	7.3%
Best of all books	1.67	4.20	5.00	3.7%
Average	1.64	4.06	4.86	6.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC MidtjyllandSt. Truiden

Last 10#16Table position#61.00Points per game3.0011Form pts · last 562.4Goals for · last 52.00.8Goals against · last 50.086Attack rating140Defence rating10081Form rating190H2H rating00Goals model084Overall rating17

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 20:10 UTC

FC Midtjylland

6W 4D 0L · goals 26:9 · per match 2.6 for, 0.9 against

19 Oct	A	Viborg	2-1	W
15 Oct	A	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1-1	D
11 Oct	H	FC Copenhagen	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Odense	1-1	D
14 Sep	H	Brondby	4-1	W
10 Sep	A	Sundby	7-0	W
7 Sep	H	FC Nordsjaelland	2-2	D
2 Sep	A	Aarhus	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Silkeborg	1-1	D
27 Aug	A	HNK Rijeka	4-1	W

St. Truiden

5W 0D 5L · goals 20:17 · per match 2.0 for, 1.7 against

18 Oct	H	Lommel United	4-1	W
15 Oct	H	FC Iberia 1999	2-0	W
11 Oct	A	KV Mechelen	3-4	L
20 Sep	H	KVC Westerlo	0-2	L
12 Sep	A	SK Beveren	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	RAAL La Louvière	4-0	W
2 Sep	H	Union St. Gilloise	0-3	L
30 Aug	A	Antwerp	4-1	W
27 Aug	A	Omonia Nicosia	2-4	L
20 Aug	H	Omonia Nicosia	1-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between FC Midtjylland and St. Truiden on record.

UEFA Europa Conference League tableUEFA Conference Leagueupdated 22 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the UEFA Europa Conference League table, FC Midtjylland sit 16th with 1 points from 1 games, while St. Truiden are 6th with 3 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Brighton	1	1	0	0	4:0	+4	3
2	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	3:0	+3	3
3	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	0	4:2	+2	3
4	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	3:1	+2	3
5	Mjallby AIF	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
6	St. Truiden	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
7	SC Freiburg	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
8	FC Lugano	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
9	Monaco	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
10	HNK Hajduk Split	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
11	Panathinaikos	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
12	Brann	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
13	Gent	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
14	Twente	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
15	Getafe	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
16	FC Midtjylland	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
17	FC Nordsjaelland	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
18	Kairat Almaty	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
19	Heart Of Midlothian	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
20	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
21	Universitatea Craiova	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
22	Riga	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
23	FK Jablonec	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
24	FK Crvena Zvezda	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
25	Ajax	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
26	Borac Banja Luka	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
27	Lincoln Red Imps FC	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
28	CSKA Sofia	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
29	Aarhus	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
30	FC Thun	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
31	KuPS	1	0	0	1	2:4	-2	0
32	Pafos	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
33	Inter Club d'Escaldes	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
35	SC Braga	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.64X23%4.06219%4.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.75 → 1.64 -6.3%X3.89 → 4.06 +4.4%24.38 → 4.86 +11.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.58	2.42	4.6%
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
BetVictor	1.54	2.27	9.0%
1xBet	1.51	2.26	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.26	10.5%
Best of all books	1.58	2.42	4.6%
Average	1.54	2.31	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.60	2.30	6.0%
1xBet	1.57	2.26	7.9%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.22	8.7%
BetVictor	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Best of all books	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Average	1.57	2.26	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Midtjylland 45%Draw 45%St. Truiden 10%

The statistical model rates FC Midtjylland at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and St. Truiden at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.64 | 4.06 | 4.86, which imply roughly 61% for a FC Midtjylland win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Europa Conference League table: FC Midtjylland are 16th (1 pts, 1-1 goals), St. Truiden 6th (3 pts, 2-0).

Over their last five matches, FC Midtjylland averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; St. Truiden averaged 2 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : FC Midtjylland or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.64	4.06	4.86

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	2.21	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.65

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.26

1st half

1	X	2
2.12	2.44	4.78

2nd half

1	X	2
1.91	2.79	4.43

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.41	14.7	36.7
HT X	4.62	6.60	11.0
HT 2	20.3	15.7	8.27

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.51	16.8	2.59

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	16.0
1.5	1.15	4.78
2.5	1.54	2.31
3.5	2.36	1.56
4.5	4.05	1.20
5.5	7.50	1.05
6.5	17.0	1.02
7.5	29.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	11.5
1.75	1.16	4.10
2	1.20	3.68
2.25	1.37	2.69
2.75	1.66	2.08
3	1.85	1.86
3.25	2.11	1.69
3.75	2.62	1.40
4	3.20	1.27
4.25	3.50	1.22
4.75	4.65	1.12
5	6.20	1.06
5.25	6.50	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.62	1.46
-1.25	2.32	1.56
-1	2.04	1.74
-0.75	1.76	1.97
-0.5	1.62	2.24
-0.25	1.43	2.64

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.30	1.01
-3	7.80	1.02
-2.75	5.78	1.09
-2.5	4.57	1.15
-2.25	4.20	1.17
-2	3.94	1.21
-1.75	3.19	1.33
0	1.24	3.60
+0.25	1.20	4.10
+0.5	1.18	4.65
+0.75	1.09	5.90
+1	1.01	8.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.05	5.42
6.5	1.12	4.44
7.5	1.27	3.05
8.5	1.52	2.30
9.5	1.91	1.82
10.5	2.42	1.47
11.5	3.09	1.25
12.5	4.25	1.14
13.5	4.87	1.07

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.05	5.35
7	1.14	3.80
7.75	1.28	3.02
8	1.33	2.78
8.25	1.41	2.48
8.75	1.58	2.17
9	1.68	2.08
9.25	1.82	1.92
9.75	2.05	1.72
10	2.17	1.62
10.25	2.28	1.48
10.75	2.64	1.36
11	2.77	1.33
12	3.57	1.17
13	4.70	1.08

Next UEFA Europa Conference League matches

22 Oct	Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos
22 Oct	FK Crvena Zvezda – FC Copenhagen
22 Oct	Inter Club d'Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova
22 Oct	Pafos – Riga
22 Oct	FK Jablonec – Brighton
22 Oct	FC Nordsjaelland – CSKA Sofia

All UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and the table

Latest UEFA Europa Conference League results

15 Oct	FC Copenhagen 3-0 SC Braga
15 Oct	Twente 1-0 FC Thun
15 Oct	Atalanta 3-1 Pafos
15 Oct	Heart Of Midlothian 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland
15 Oct	SC Freiburg 3-2 FK Jablonec
15 Oct	St. Truiden 2-0 FC Iberia 1999