FC Nordsjaelland vs CSKA Sofia• UEFA Europa Conference League, World

#172.4:0.616:45Today · Right to Dream Park, Farum1.0:2.0#28

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.45PINX5.071XB27.50B365Margin at best2.0%Books6Markets84Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 00:17 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.43	5.07	7.21	3.5%
Pinnacle	1.45	4.85	6.52	4.9%
Bet365	1.40	4.75	7.50	5.8%
BetVictor	1.40	4.75	7.00	6.8%
Marathonbet	1.38	4.85	6.90	7.6%
William Hill	1.40	4.60	6.50	8.6%
Best of all books	1.45	5.07	7.50	2.0%
Average	1.41	4.81	6.94	6.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC NordsjaellandCSKA Sofia

Last 10#17Table position#281.00Points per game0.003Form pts · last 5102.4Goals for · last 51.00.6Goals against · last 52.092Attack rating840Defence rating60100Form rating00H2H rating00Goals model066Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 00:02 UTC

FC Nordsjaelland

3W 4D 3L · goals 15:16 · per match 1.5 for, 1.6 against

18 Oct	A	Lyngby	3-3	D
15 Oct	A	Heart Of Midlothian	1-1	D
9 Oct	H	Odense	0-0	D
3 Oct	A	Malmo FF	0-3	L
20 Sep	A	Viborg	1-4	L
16 Sep	A	Vatanspor	3-0	W
13 Sep	H	Aarhus	2-0	W
7 Sep	A	FC Midtjylland	2-2	D
3 Sep	A	FC Copenhagen	0-2	L
30 Aug	H	Brondby	3-1	W

CSKA Sofia

6W 2D 2L · goals 21:12 · per match 2.1 for, 1.2 against

18 Oct	A	Nesebar	2-0	W
15 Oct	H	Monaco	1-2	L
11 Oct	A	CSKA 1948	3-2	W
20 Sep	A	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1-1	D
16 Sep	A	Lokomotiv Sofia	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Arda Kardzhali	4-1	W
9 Sep	A	Levski Sofia	4-2	W
5 Sep	A	Spartak Varna	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Cherno More Varna	3-1	W
27 Aug	H	OFI	0-2	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between FC Nordsjaelland and CSKA Sofia on record.

UEFA Europa Conference League tableUEFA Conference Leagueupdated 22 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the UEFA Europa Conference League table, FC Nordsjaelland sit 17th with 1 points from 1 games, while CSKA Sofia are 28th with 0 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Brighton	1	1	0	0	4:0	+4	3
2	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	3:0	+3	3
3	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	0	4:2	+2	3
4	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	3:1	+2	3
5	Mjallby AIF	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
6	St. Truiden	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
7	SC Freiburg	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
8	FC Lugano	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
9	Monaco	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
10	HNK Hajduk Split	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
11	Panathinaikos	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
12	Brann	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
13	Gent	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
14	Twente	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
15	Getafe	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
16	FC Midtjylland	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
17	FC Nordsjaelland	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
18	Kairat Almaty	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
19	Heart Of Midlothian	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
20	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
21	Universitatea Craiova	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
22	Riga	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
23	FK Jablonec	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
24	FK Crvena Zvezda	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
25	Ajax	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
26	Borac Banja Luka	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
27	Lincoln Red Imps FC	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
28	CSKA Sofia	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
29	Aarhus	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
30	FC Thun	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
31	KuPS	1	0	0	1	2:4	-2	0
32	Pafos	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
33	Inter Club d'Escaldes	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
35	SC Braga	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg167%1.41X20%4.81214%6.94

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.53 → 1.41 -7.8%X4.43 → 4.81 +8.6%25.71 → 6.94 +21.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.53	2.48	5.7%
Bet365	1.53	2.40	7.0%
BetVictor	1.51	2.34	9.0%
1xBet	1.46	2.38	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.38	10.5%
Best of all books	1.53	2.48	5.7%
Average	1.50	2.40	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.69	2.05	8.0%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.02	8.7%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.70	2.04	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Nordsjaelland 45%Draw 45%CSKA Sofia 10%

The statistical model rates FC Nordsjaelland at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and CSKA Sofia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.41 | 4.81 | 6.94, which imply roughly 70.9% for a FC Nordsjaelland win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Europa Conference League table: FC Nordsjaelland are 17th (1 pts, 1-1 goals), CSKA Sofia 28th (0 pts, 1-2).

Over their last five matches, FC Nordsjaelland averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; CSKA Sofia averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : FC Nordsjaelland.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.41	4.81	6.94

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	2.88	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.13	5.42

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	2.04

1st half

1	X	2
1.83	2.59	6.32

2nd half

1	X	2
1.67	2.98	5.95

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.93	18.1	51.3
HT X	4.21	7.73	16.1
HT 2	20.3	19.4	12.7

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.35	18.4	3.16

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	16.5
1.5	1.13	5.14
2.5	1.50	2.40
3.5	2.28	1.60
4.5	3.93	1.21
5.5	7.65	1.05
6.5	15.0	1.03
7.5	29.0	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	12.0
1.25	1.05	6.70
1.75	1.13	4.50
2	1.17	4.05
2.25	1.34	2.84
2.75	1.62	2.15
3	1.79	1.91
3.25	2.06	1.73
3.75	2.57	1.42
4	3.20	1.27
4.25	3.50	1.22
4.75	4.75	1.12
5	6.55	1.05
5.25	6.90	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.41	1.54
-1.5	2.10	1.71
-1.25	1.86	1.91
-1	1.60	2.20
-0.75	1.46	2.49
-0.5	1.39	2.84

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	6.77	1.06
-3.25	6.50	1.07
-3	6.12	1.08
-2.75	4.36	1.16
-2.5	3.52	1.25
-2.25	3.25	1.29
-2	2.94	1.35
-0.25	1.25	3.53
0	1.11	5.48
+0.25	1.09	5.80
+0.5	1.11	6.60
+0.75	1.04	8.13
+1	1.01	11.5

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.07	5.51
6.5	1.18	3.69
7.5	1.38	2.63
8.5	1.72	2.01
9.5	2.19	1.59
10.5	2.81	1.33
11.5	3.81	1.17
12.5	4.47	1.10
13.5	5.60	1.04

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.09	4.64
7	1.21	3.20
7.25	1.29	2.96
7.75	1.42	2.47
8	1.51	2.36
8.25	1.60	2.14
8.75	1.82	1.85
9	1.98	1.80
9.25	2.07	1.64
9.75	2.36	1.45
10	2.56	1.44
10.25	2.80	1.33
11	3.20	1.22
12	4.29	1.11
13	5.49	1.05

Next UEFA Europa Conference League matches

22 Oct	Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos
22 Oct	FK Crvena Zvezda – FC Copenhagen
22 Oct	Inter Club d'Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova
22 Oct	Pafos – Riga
22 Oct	FK Jablonec – Brighton
22 Oct	Trabzonspor – Heart Of Midlothian

All UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and the table

Latest UEFA Europa Conference League results

15 Oct	Atalanta 3-1 Pafos
15 Oct	Heart Of Midlothian 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland
15 Oct	FC Copenhagen 3-0 SC Braga
15 Oct	SC Freiburg 3-2 FK Jablonec
15 Oct	St. Truiden 2-0 FC Iberia 1999
15 Oct	Twente 1-0 FC Thun