Pafos vs Riga• UEFA Europa Conference League, World

#322.0:2.016:45Today · Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi1.0:0.6#22

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62WHX4.201XB25.61PINMargin at best3.4%Books6Markets80Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 00:17 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.62	4.20	5.54	3.6%
Pinnacle	1.58	4.16	5.61	5.2%
Marathonbet	1.56	4.05	5.35	7.5%
BetVictor	1.55	4.00	5.50	7.7%
Bet365	1.57	4.00	5.25	7.7%
William Hill	1.62	3.80	5.00	8.0%
Best of all books	1.62	4.20	5.61	3.4%
Average	1.58	4.04	5.38	6.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PafosRiga

Last 10#32Table position#220.00Points per game1.007Form pts · last 5132.0Goals for · last 51.02.0Goals against · last 50.655Attack rating4533Defence rating6731Form rating6950H2H rating5053Goals model4744Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 19 Oct 18:00 UTC

Pafos

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:9 · per match 1.4 for, 0.9 against

19 Oct	H	Apoel Nicosia	0-0	D
15 Oct	A	Atalanta	1-3	L
11 Oct	A	Anorthosis	3-1	W
18 Sep	H	AEL	0-2	L
13 Sep	A	AEK Larnaca	1-0	W
7 Sep	H	Olympiakos	0-0	D
3 Sep	A	Omonia Nicosia	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Karmiotissa	3-0	W
27 Aug	H	Dinamo Tirana	4-2	W
20 Aug	A	Dinamo Tirana	1-1	D

Riga

6W 3D 1L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against

18 Oct	H	Super Nova	2-1	W
15 Oct	H	Kairat Almaty	1-1	D
10 Oct	A	Tukums	2-0	W
3 Oct	A	Aris	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	FS Jelgava	1-0	W
15 Sep	A	Super Nova	1-0	W
11 Sep	H	Auda	2-2	D
7 Sep	H	BFC Daugavpils	1-1	D
3 Sep	A	Rīgas FS	3-2	W
31 Aug	A	FK Liepaja	2-3	L

Head to head

No previous meetings between Pafos and Riga on record.

UEFA Europa Conference League tableUEFA Conference Leagueupdated 22 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the UEFA Europa Conference League table, Pafos sit 32nd with 0 points from 1 games, while Riga are 22nd with 1 points from 1.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Brighton	1	1	0	0	4:0	+4	3
2	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	3:0	+3	3
3	Trabzonspor	1	1	0	0	4:2	+2	3
4	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	3:1	+2	3
5	Mjallby AIF	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
6	St. Truiden	1	1	0	0	2:0	+2	3
7	SC Freiburg	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
8	FC Lugano	1	1	0	0	3:2	+1	3
9	Monaco	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
10	HNK Hajduk Split	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
11	Panathinaikos	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
12	Brann	1	1	0	0	2:1	+1	3
13	Gent	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
14	Twente	1	1	0	0	1:0	+1	3
15	Getafe	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
16	FC Midtjylland	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
17	FC Nordsjaelland	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
18	Kairat Almaty	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
19	Heart Of Midlothian	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
20	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
21	Universitatea Craiova	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
22	Riga	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
23	FK Jablonec	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
24	FK Crvena Zvezda	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
25	Ajax	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
26	Borac Banja Luka	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
27	Lincoln Red Imps FC	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
28	CSKA Sofia	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
29	Aarhus	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
30	FC Thun	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
31	KuPS	1	0	0	1	2:4	-2	0
32	Pafos	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
33	Inter Club d'Escaldes	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
35	SC Braga	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.59X23%4.03218%5.33

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.55 → 1.59 +2.6%X4.18 → 4.03 -3.6%25.86 → 5.33 -9.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.77	2.13	3.4%
Pinnacle	1.74	2.12	4.6%
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Marathonbet	1.71	2.06	7.0%
BetVictor	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Best of all books	1.77	2.13	3.4%
Average	1.73	2.08	6.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.74	1.98	8.0%
BetVictor	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.95	8.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Average	1.74	1.99	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pafos 10%Draw 45%Riga 45%

The statistical model rates Pafos at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Riga at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.59 | 4.03 | 5.33, which imply roughly 24.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the UEFA Europa Conference League table: Pafos are 32nd (0 pts, 1-3 goals), Riga 22nd (1 pts, 1-1).

Over their last five matches, Pafos averaged 2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Riga averaged 1 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Riga.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.58	4.03	5.38

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.16	2.29	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.23	3.87

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
2.09	2.35	5.41

2nd half

1	X	2
1.93	2.64	4.75

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.33	16.3	43.3
HT X	4.37	6.07	11.2
HT 2	23.7	16.8	9.03

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	13.8	2.84

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	12.7
1.5	1.20	4.01
2.5	1.73	2.08
3.5	2.73	1.39
4.5	5.30	1.13
5.5	10.7	1.03
6.5	22.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.40
1.25	1.08	5.50
1.75	1.23	3.51
2	1.31	3.01
2.25	1.53	2.42
2.75	1.88	1.83
3	2.17	1.61
3.25	2.45	1.47
3.75	3.28	1.25
4	4.33	1.14
4.25	4.70	1.12
4.75	7.10	1.06
5	8.70	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.57	1.47
-1.25	2.26	1.58
-1	1.97	1.79
-0.75	1.69	2.05
-0.5	1.56	2.37
-0.25	1.37	2.84

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.5	1.02
-3	9.50	1.03
-2.75	6.32	1.08
-2.5	4.87	1.13
-2.25	4.47	1.15
-2	4.12	1.19
-1.75	3.19	1.33
0	1.21	4.02
+0.25	1.17	4.46
+0.5	1.16	5.25
+0.75	1.06	7.22
+1	1.02	10.0
+1.5	1.01	11.5

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.06	5.79
6.5	1.16	3.88
7.5	1.35	2.77
8.5	1.67	2.09
9.5	2.09	1.65
10.5	2.70	1.36
11.5	3.61	1.19
12.5	4.27	1.11
13.5	5.39	1.05

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.08	4.85
7	1.19	3.37
7.25	1.27	3.06
7.75	1.38	2.60
8	1.46	2.49
8.25	1.55	2.23
8.75	1.75	1.92
9	1.89	1.89
9.25	2.00	1.69
9.75	2.25	1.50
10	2.42	1.49
10.25	2.64	1.36
11	3.02	1.24
12	4.07	1.12
13	5.25	1.06

Next UEFA Europa Conference League matches

22 Oct	Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos
22 Oct	FK Crvena Zvezda – FC Copenhagen
22 Oct	Inter Club d'Escaldes – Universitatea Craiova
22 Oct	FK Jablonec – Brighton
22 Oct	FC Nordsjaelland – CSKA Sofia
22 Oct	Trabzonspor – Heart Of Midlothian

All UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and the table

Latest UEFA Europa Conference League results

15 Oct	FC Copenhagen 3-0 SC Braga
15 Oct	Twente 1-0 FC Thun
15 Oct	Atalanta 3-1 Pafos
15 Oct	Heart Of Midlothian 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland
15 Oct	SC Freiburg 3-2 FK Jablonec
15 Oct	St. Truiden 2-0 FC Iberia 1999