H2O Purepechas vs 
Lobos ULMX• Primera Premier, Mexico
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 11:33 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.39 | 3.30 | 2.80 | 7.9% |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.20 | 2.75 | 9.6% |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.00 | 2.80 | 10.7% |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.70 | 10.8% |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.75 | 11.1% |
| 1xBet | 2.31 | 3.18 | 2.67 | 12.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.31 | 3.18 | 2.67 | 12.2% |
| Pinnacle | 2.35 | 2.99 | 2.75 | 12.4% |
| Best of all books | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.80 | 7.7% |
| Average | 2.34 | 3.17 | 2.74 | 10.8% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 01:10 UTC
H2O Purepechas
1W 1D 4L · goals 3:7 · per match 0.5 for, 1.2 against
| 11 Oct | H | Lobos ULMX | 2-0 | W |
| 4 Oct | A | Tigres de Alica | 0-1 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Los Cabos United | 0-1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Zacatepec 1948 | 0-1 | L |
| 5 Sep | A | Reboceros La Piedad | 0-3 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Cordobés | 1-1 | D |
Lobos ULMX
4W 1D 5L · goals 13:18 · per match 1.3 for, 1.8 against
| 4 Oct | H | Tritons Vallarta | 2-1 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Irapuato | 0-3 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Tigres de Alica | 1-1 | D |
| 13 Sep | H | Los Cabos United | 1-2 | L |
| 5 Sep | A | Zacatepec 1948 | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Apr | A | Calor de San Pedro | 1-4 | L |
| 29 Mar | H | Zitacuaro | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Mar | A | Atletico Hidalgo | 3-1 | W |
| 15 Mar | H | Cordobés | 3-1 | W |
| 7 Mar | A | Deportivo Zap | 0-3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings between H2O Purepechas and Lobos ULMX on record.
Primera Premier tableRegular Seasonupdated 20 Oct 01:00 UTC
In the Primera Premier table, H2O Purepechas sit 15th with 4 points from 6 games, while Lobos ULMX are 12th with 7 points from 7.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Irapuato | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16:4 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | Racing de Veracruz | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19:7 | +12 | 17 |
| 3 | Pioneros de Cancún | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:7 | +11 | 16 |
| 4 | Reboceros La Piedad | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 15 |
| 5 | Tigres de Alica | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 | Celaya | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | +5 | 13 |
| 7 | Jaguares de Chiapas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Montañeses | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Zacatepec 1948 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Los Cabos United | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Chapulineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Lobos ULMX | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Cordobés | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Deportiva Venados | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | H2O Purepechas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Inter Playa del Carmen | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Tapachula | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:16 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 | Tritons Vallarta | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 5.6% |
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 1.73 | 8.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.93 | 1.75 | 9.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 1.75 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.93 | 1.75 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.00 | 1.80 | 5.6% |
| Average | 1.95 | 1.76 | 8.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 2.00 | 7.8% |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 1.95 | 8.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 1.96 | 9.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.72 | 1.93 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.75 | 2.00 | 7.1% |
| Average | 1.73 | 1.96 | 8.8% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated H2O Purepechas at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lobos ULMX at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.34 | 3.17 | 2.74, which imply roughly 31.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera Premier table: H2O Purepechas are 15th (4 pts, 3-7 goals), Lobos ULMX 12th (7 pts, 7-11).
Over their last five matches, H2O Purepechas averaged 0.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Lobos ULMX averaged 1 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lobos ULMX and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.34 | 3.17 | 2.74 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.37 | 1.50 | 1.28 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.74 | 2.00 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.73 | 1.96 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.97 | 2.08 | 3.38 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.90 | 9.00 | 2.09 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 8.57 |
| 1.5 | 1.28 | 3.15 |
| 2.5 | 1.95 | 1.76 |
| 3.5 | 3.43 | 1.24 |
| 4.5 | 7.25 | 1.07 |
| 5.5 | 17.0 | 1.02 |
10 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.03 | 7.70 |
| 1.25 | 1.17 | 3.99 |
| 1.75 | 1.35 | 2.78 |
| 2 | 1.47 | 2.40 |
| 2.25 | 1.71 | 1.98 |
| 2.75 | 2.19 | 1.56 |
| 3 | 2.66 | 1.38 |
| 3.25 | 2.97 | 1.30 |
| 3.75 | 4.15 | 1.16 |
| 4 | 5.75 | 1.07 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 2.76 | 1.36 |
| -0.5 | 2.33 | 1.51 |
| -0.25 | 2.02 | 1.69 |
| 0 | 1.71 | 1.98 |
| +0.25 | 1.50 | 2.32 |
| +0.5 | 1.38 | 2.70 |
9 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9.90 | 1.01 |
| -2 | 8.90 | 1.01 |
| -1.5 | 4.75 | 1.12 |
| -1.25 | 4.30 | 1.15 |
| -1 | 3.82 | 1.18 |
| +0.75 | 1.25 | 3.29 |
| +1 | 1.12 | 4.80 |
| +1.25 | 1.11 | 4.87 |
| +1.5 | 1.07 | 5.75 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| 8.5 | 2.10 | 1.67 |