Irapuato vs Tritons Vallarta• Primera Premier, Mexico

#12.6:0.81-0FT11/10 · Irapuato0.6:1.2#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.24BTNX5.95MAR212.21XBMargin at best5.6%Books9Markets52Rating79 · 21Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 19:51 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.22	5.80	11.0	8.3%
Betano	1.24	5.50	9.50	9.4%
BetVictor	1.20	5.75	11.5	9.4%
William Hill	1.22	5.00	12.0	10.3%
1xBet	1.17	5.90	12.0	10.8%
Bet365	1.22	5.50	9.00	11.3%
Marathonbet	1.16	5.90	11.3	12.0%
Betfair	1.18	5.50	10.5	12.5%
Pinnacle	1.20	5.31	8.99	13.3%
Best of all books	1.24	5.90	12.0	5.9%
Average	1.20	5.57	10.6	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

IrapuatoTritons Vallarta

Last 10#1Table position#183.00Points per game0.3315Form pts · last 522.6Goals for · last 50.60.8Goals against · last 51.281Attack rating1960Defence rating4088Form rating120H2H rating087Goals model1379Overall rating21

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 23:10 UTC

Irapuato

7W 2D 1L · goals 20:10 · per match 2.0 for, 1.0 against

27 Sep	H	Lobos ULMX	3-0	W
22 Sep	A	Reboceros La Piedad	3-2	W
13 Sep	H	Tigres de Alica	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Cordobés	3-0	W
30 Aug	H	Los Cabos United	2-1	W
19 Apr	H	Mineros de Zacatecas	0-0	D
11 Apr	A	Tapatío	2-1	W
4 Apr	H	CA La Paz	3-1	W
29 Mar	A	Monarcas	0-2	L
21 Mar	H	Cancún	2-2	D

Tritons Vallarta

1W 4D 5L · goals 6:10 · per match 0.6 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	A	Irapuato	0-1	L
4 Oct	A	Lobos ULMX	1-2	L
27 Sep	A	Tigres de Alica	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Los Cabos United	0-1	L
11 Sep	H	Zacatepec 1948	1-1	D
28 Aug	H	Reboceros La Piedad	0-1	L
25 Apr	A	Deportiva Venados	0-1	L
22 Apr	H	Deportiva Venados	1-1	D
19 Apr	A	Tapachula	1-1	D
15 Apr	H	Tapachula	1-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Irapuato and Tritons Vallarta on record.

Primera Premier tableRegular Seasonupdated 20 Oct 01:00 UTC

In the Primera Premier table, Irapuato sit 1st with 21 points from 7 games, while Tritons Vallarta are 18th with 2 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Irapuato	7	7	0	0	16:4	+12	21
2	Racing de Veracruz	7	5	2	0	19:7	+12	17
3	Pioneros de Cancún	7	5	1	1	18:7	+11	16
4	Reboceros La Piedad	7	5	0	2	13:11	+2	15
5	Tigres de Alica	8	4	2	2	13:7	+6	14
6	Celaya	7	4	1	2	12:7	+5	13
7	Jaguares de Chiapas	7	3	2	2	6:6	0	11
8	Montañeses	8	3	1	4	13:15	-2	10
9	Zacatepec 1948	7	3	1	3	8:10	-2	10
10	Los Cabos United	7	3	0	4	7:9	-2	9
11	Chapulineros	7	2	2	3	8:13	-5	8
12	Lobos ULMX	7	2	1	4	7:11	-4	7
13	Cordobés	7	2	1	4	5:9	-4	7
14	Deportiva Venados	6	1	2	3	10:14	-4	5
15	H2O Purepechas	6	1	1	4	3:7	-4	4
16	Inter Playa del Carmen	7	1	1	5	5:12	-7	4
17	Tapachula	6	1	0	5	6:16	-10	3
18	Tritons Vallarta	6	0	2	4	3:7	-4	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg175%1.20X16%5.6028%10.7

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.31 → 1.20 -8.4%X4.75 → 5.60 +17.9%27.56 → 10.7 +42.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Betano	1.52	2.32	8.9%
BetVictor	1.53	2.29	9.0%
Pinnacle	1.47	2.38	10.0%
1xBet	1.46	2.38	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.38	10.5%
Best of all books	1.62	2.38	3.7%
Average	1.51	2.33	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	2.10	1.67	7.5%
William Hill	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Betano	2.00	1.70	8.8%
1xBet	2.01	1.69	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.01	1.67	9.6%
Best of all books	2.10	1.75	4.8%
Average	2.01	1.70	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Irapuato 50%Draw 50%Tritons Vallarta 0%

The statistical model rated Irapuato at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Tritons Vallarta at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.20 | 5.60 | 10.74, which imply roughly 83.3% for a Irapuato win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Primera Premier table: Irapuato are 1st (21 pts, 16-4 goals), Tritons Vallarta 18th (2 pts, 3-7).

Over their last five matches, Irapuato averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Tritons Vallarta averaged 0.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Irapuato.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.20	5.57	10.6

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.05	3.72	1.09

Draw no bet

1	2
1.06	7.43

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.01	1.70

1st half

1	X	2
1.62	2.69	8.47

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.27	16.0	3.83

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.0
1.5	1.14	4.61
2.5	1.51	2.33
3.5	2.22	1.56
4.5	3.85	1.20
5.5	7.10	1.07

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.16	4.07
2	1.17	3.98
2.25	1.32	2.88
2.75	1.60	2.13
3	1.78	1.89
3.25	2.01	1.68
3.75	2.52	1.41
4	3.14	1.27
4.25	3.42	1.23
5	6.25	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.54	1.41
-2.25	2.32	1.50
-2	2.05	1.64
-1.75	1.79	1.87
-1.5	1.66	2.08
-1.25	1.44	2.45

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	9.10	1.02
-3.5	4.60	1.13
-3.25	4.30	1.14
-3	3.90	1.18
-2.75	3.02	1.29
-1	1.32	2.97
-0.75	1.22	3.50
-0.25	1.09	5.30
0	1.01	8.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.92	1.81

Latest Primera Premier results

20 Oct	Tapachula 1-4 Deportiva Venados
11 Oct	Montañeses 2-1 Tapachula
11 Oct	H2O Purepechas 2-0 Lobos ULMX
10 Oct	Deportiva Venados 1-4 Pioneros de Cancún
10 Oct	Racing de Veracruz 2-1 Celaya
10 Oct	Cordobés 1-0 Tigres de Alica