Bolívar vs Monagas II• Segunda División, Venezuela

#41.4:1.82-1FT04/102.0:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.20WHX3.721XB23.141XBMargin at best4.2%Books5Markets39Rating47 · 54 levelExp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 4 Oct 16:17 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.16	3.72	3.14	5.0%
Betano	2.18	3.10	3.05	10.9%
William Hill	2.20	2.90	3.10	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.19	2.95	3.06	12.2%
BetVictor	2.00	3.00	2.75	19.7%
Best of all books	2.20	3.72	3.14	4.2%
Average	2.15	3.13	3.02	11.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BolívarMonagas II

Last 10#4Table position#11.54Points per game1.8312Form pts · last 5121.4Goals for · last 52.01.8Goals against · last 51.041Attack rating5936Defence rating6439Form rating6171H2H rating2942Goals model5847Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 17:50 UTC

Bolívar

6W 1D 3L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

14 Oct	H	Mineros de Guyana	1-0	W
10 Oct	A	Marítimo	3-0	W
7 Oct	A	Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz	2-0	W
4 Oct	H	Monagas II	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Aragua FC	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Mineros de Guyana	1-4	L
9 Sep	A	Monagas SC	1-5	L
6 Sep	A	Petare FC	2-1	W
30 Aug	H	Atletico Avila FC	2-1	W

Monagas II

6W 2D 2L · goals 19:11 · per match 1.9 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	H	Atletico Avila FC	1-0	W
4 Oct	A	Bolívar	1-2	L
27 Sep	H	Mineros de Guyana	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Marítimo	3-0	W
13 Sep	H	Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Aragua FC	2-2	D
30 Aug	A	Petare FC	1-1	D
23 Aug	A	Atletico Avila FC	3-0	W
16 Aug	H	Bolívar	2-3	L
9 Aug	A	Mineros de Guyana	2-1	W

Head to head

4Bolívar wins

1draws

2Monagas II wins

7 meetings · goals 11:11 · last 7: 4W 1D 2L for Bolívar

16 Aug 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Monagas II2-3Bolívar
17 May 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Bolívar2-1Monagas II
23 Mar 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Monagas II0-1Bolívar
7 Sep 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Monagas II3-0Bolívar
24 Jul 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Bolívar1-1Monagas II
1 Jun 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Monagas II3-2Bolívar
13 Apr 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Bolívar2-1Monagas II

Segunda División tableSegunda Divisiónupdated 18 Oct 19:00 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Bolívar sit 4th with 37 points from 24 games, while Monagas II are 1st with 42 points from 23.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Monagas II	23	12	6	5	36:25	+11	42
2	Petare FC	24	12	5	7	33:23	+10	41
3	Aragua FC	24	10	9	5	26:17	+9	39
4	Bolívar	24	11	4	9	28:29	-1	37
5	Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz	24	8	8	8	28:28	0	32
6	Mineros de Guyana	25	4	9	12	26:36	-10	21
7	Marítimo	14	5	5	4	16:13	+3	20
8	Atletico Avila FC	24	1	10	13	10:32	-22	13

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.15X29%3.13230%3.02

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.89	1.91	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Betano	1.87	1.78	9.7%
BetVictor	1.68	1.65	20.1%
Best of all books	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Average	1.85	1.78	10.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.69	2.00	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.69	1.97	9.9%
BetVictor	1.55	1.80	20.1%
Best of all books	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Average	1.67	1.93	11.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bolívar 10%Draw 45%Monagas II 45%

The statistical model rated Bolívar at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Monagas II at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.15 | 3.13 | 3.02, which imply roughly 31.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Bolívar are 4th (37 pts, 28-29 goals), Monagas II 1st (42 pts, 36-25).

Over their last five matches, Bolívar averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Monagas II averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Monagas II.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.15	3.13	3.02

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.27	1.53	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.54	2.10

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	1.93

1st half

1	X	2
2.80	2.05	3.64

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.83	7.50	2.26

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	9.50
1.5	1.27	3.28
2.5	1.85	1.78
3.5	3.07	1.31
4.5	6.06	1.08
5.5	15.0	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.73
1.25	1.18	4.32
1.75	1.33	2.84
2	1.44	2.49
2.25	1.68	2.05
2.75	2.12	1.60
3	2.55	1.42
3.25	2.86	1.35
3.75	3.74	1.19
4	5.07	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.53	1.42
-0.5	2.11	1.63
-0.25	1.82	1.77
0	1.57	2.20
+0.25	1.41	2.55
+0.5	1.33	2.88

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.20	1.02
-2	7.50	1.03
-1.5	4.10	1.16
-1.25	3.72	1.20
-1	3.24	1.26
+0.75	1.19	3.74
+1	1.09	5.40
+1.25	1.08	5.47
+1.5	1.06	6.25

Next Segunda División matches

18 Oct	Monagas II – Petare FC
18 Oct	Urena SC – Yaracuyanos FC
18 Oct	Atletico Avila FC – Bolívar
18 Oct	Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz – Aragua FC

All Segunda División fixtures and the table

Latest Segunda División results

11 Oct	Petare FC 4-2 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
10 Oct	Yaracuyanos FC 3-2 Fundación Lara Deportiva
10 Oct	Monagas II 1-0 Atletico Avila FC
4 Oct	Atletico Avila FC 1-2 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
4 Oct	Mineros de Guyana 3-2 Petare FC
4 Oct	Urena SC 0-0 Club Atletico Barinas